Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will FC Utrecht win on 2026-01-18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe0c0b976b023bbfe5f34ed91fa8c43808424af28e02f8178281fc2c7932e4653
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,696
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,783
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,696 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf975…4354backed Yes | 55c | 12,843$7,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,000 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked No | 46c | 8,000$3,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,320 | 376 | 41.5%156 W · 220 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 68c | 4,761$3,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,546.01 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 63c | 3,699$2,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,382.71 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 20c | 2,500$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 108 | 25%27 W · 81 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3859…3070backed Yes | 27c | 2,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0c3dbacked No | 70c | 1,700$1,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.9 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 79c | 1,530$1,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.32 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked No | 45c | 1,500$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825 | 473 | 25.4%120 W · 353 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked Yes | 54c | 1,200$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.25per pick | 53cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 8c | 736.57$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.42 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 54c | 621.55$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.52 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35b9…1d44backed No | 45c | 599.96$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.98 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | +6.0wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x61d0…6934backed Yes | 14c | 543.48$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.87 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c8…e4f7backed No | 76c | 500$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e69…200ebacked Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed No | 45c | 444$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.2 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 44c | 442.48$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.79 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked No | 69c | 400$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 216 | 58.8%127 W · 89 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…075fbacked Yes | 52c | 399.65$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.82 | 98 | 48%47 W · 51 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Yes | 34c | 380$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.8 | 240 | 30.4%73 W · 167 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf3…f535backed Yes | 20c | 375$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c30…7320backed Yes | 18c | 350$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 14c | 300$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 106 | 17.9%19 W · 87 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5944…bd5bbacked Yes | 51c | 300$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 77 | 63.6%49 W · 28 L | +8.6wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Yes | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -5.0wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4300…5c69backed Yes | 54c | 250$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf836…e7b5backed Yes | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 55c | 232.34$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.89 | 447 | 68%304 W · 143 L | +52.8wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x05dd…305cbacked Yes | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.28per pick | 40cpaid | -83.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Yes | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 113 | 59.3%67 W · 46 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 54c | 180.69$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 366 | 47.3%173 W · 193 L | -9.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bd…df80backed Yes | 55c | 156.36$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -5.7wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd77d…b01cbacked No | 48c | 156.25$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.25 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f1…c02dbacked Yes | 55c | 136.36$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 19c | 131.51$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.48 | 479 | 26.9%129 W · 350 L | -32.1wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce70…0be2backed Yes | 20c | 125$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x58f4…764ebacked Yes | 44c | 125$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 84 | 32.1%27 W · 57 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked No | 46c | 109.99$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.4 | 210 | 44.8%94 W · 116 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b94…315bbacked Yes | 55c | 109.09$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…6769backed No | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b2d…379dbacked Yes | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 25c | 99.07$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 357 | 40.6%145 W · 212 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0685…2b0cbacked Yes | 18c | 90.35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 46 | 21.7%10 W · 36 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 54c | 71$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.67 | 396 | 37.1%147 W · 249 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb2…b92abacked Yes | 20c | 66.23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 28cpaid | +68.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…6c3fbacked Yes | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 125 | 52%65 W · 60 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd573…f99ebacked Yes | 39c | 60$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6460…84efbacked No | 53c | 57.48$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.76 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 45c | 51$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.05 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 216 | 44.4%96 W · 120 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a0…993dbacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec5a…a319backed No | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c54…489fbacked Yes | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd57…e1febacked Yes | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65a6…3e59backed No | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 68 | 57.4%39 W · 29 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked No | 77c | 42.63$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.69 | 111 | 45%50 W · 61 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9c3…5ce1backed Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cff…83c4backed Yes | 54c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f7c…e75cbacked Yes | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 49c | 36.4$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.62 | 853 | 40.1%342 W · 511 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 45c | 33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.15 | 151 | 62.3%94 W · 57 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2e…c770backed No | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…1591backed No | 61c | 28.09$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc7…55f6backed No | 48c | 27.21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.05 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 54c | 24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 297 | 42.8%127 W · 170 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1c…dc02backed No | 47c | 23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.19 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Utrecht win on 2026-01-18?this page
- Will FC Volendam vs. FC Utrecht end in a draw?No won
- Will FC Volendam win on 2026-01-18?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.