CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs WHITEBIRD (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #15 Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x00516f687a704025f5fcc0becb0c85e26f0e5b31f2dfc21e491af8fb0eef5e50
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- WHITEBIRDof Leo Team, WHITEBIRD
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,872
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,671
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,872 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7d90…9845backed WHITEBIRD | 73c | 6,319$4,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,718.98 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b59…3aa6backed Leo Team | 48c | 3,200$1,533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,533.18 | 849 | 58.3%495 W · 354 L | +60.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Leo Team | 34c | 2,824$956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$956.1 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked WHITEBIRD | 65c | 1,891$1,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667.43 | 358 | 50.8%182 W · 176 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed Leo Team | 34c | 1,769$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.05 | 508 | 33.5%170 W · 338 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x861f…a189backed WHITEBIRD | 62c | 1,580$977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.97 | 921 | 52.6%484 W · 437 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79ac…9c87backed Leo Team | 32c | 1,067$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.72 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50e0…7132backed Leo Team | 11c | 800$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 7cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf878…05c1backed Leo Team | 11c | 700$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 10cpaid | +73.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb963…3fa0backed Leo Team | 25c | 666$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.5 | 500 | 43%215 W · 285 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Leo Team | 33c | 650.64$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.82 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd533…7b07backed Leo Team | 10c | 600$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5674…8b14backed WHITEBIRD | 51c | 538.72$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.72 | 367 | 42.8%157 W · 210 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed Leo Team | 35c | 515$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.25 | 388 | 35.8%139 W · 249 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d3c…3293backed Leo Team | 40c | 433$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.2 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Leo Team | 35c | 433$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.55 | 980 | 52.4%514 W · 466 L | +26.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x494c…8923backed Leo Team | 50c | 399.43$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 123 | 51.2%63 W · 60 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Leo Team | 15c | 332.21$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.94 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8afe…aec0backed WHITEBIRD | 65c | 312.09$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.79 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74a8…df59backed WHITEBIRD | 52c | 303.02$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.32 | 154 | 42.2%65 W · 89 L | -10.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf50d…7ba8backed Leo Team | 15c | 300$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | +3.1wins | +0.16per pick | 5cpaid | +137.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x359f…fa80backed Leo Team | 15c | 300$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 7cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac0c…739cbacked Leo Team | 29c | 300$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.9 | 660 | 34.1%225 W · 435 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf11e…3bc1backed WHITEBIRD | 70c | 285.71$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.71 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe30c…3f38backed Leo Team | 35c | 268$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.8 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f9b…71f8backed Leo Team | 35c | 255.91$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.57 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Leo Team | 35c | 250$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.5 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked WHITEBIRD | 49c | 244.03$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.97 | 543 | 48.6%264 W · 279 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed70…4f63backed Leo Team | 48c | 224.07$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1257…f4d2backed Leo Team | 10c | 211.76$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.59 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed WHITEBIRD | 54c | 200$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 328 | 44.5%146 W · 182 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd607…6ddcbacked Leo Team | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | +3.8wins | +0.17per pick | 5cpaid | +194.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x24de…53e7backed Leo Team | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 6cpaid | +191%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d1…f540backed Leo Team | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 178 | 49.4%88 W · 90 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked Leo Team | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 700 | 38.9%272 W · 428 L | -29.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9720…2c24backed Leo Team | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 7cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed WHITEBIRD | 71c | 199.98$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.79 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a41…145fbacked WHITEBIRD | 71c | 169.02$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.02 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf66…e823backed Leo Team | 52c | 142.91$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.7 | 180 | 41.7%75 W · 105 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cb…8f46backed WHITEBIRD | 62c | 139.97$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.19 | 135 | 45.9%62 W · 73 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Leo Team | 46c | 125.92$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.86 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ab…e3a9backed Leo Team | 35c | 124.6$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.61 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e1d…fc19backed Leo Team | 35c | 123.99$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.19 | 155 | 61.3%95 W · 60 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed WHITEBIRD | 60c | 88.22$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.97 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Leo Team | 27c | 87.31$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.59 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e08…3c69backed WHITEBIRD | 70c | 80$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe30f…c83cbacked Leo Team | 35c | 71.91$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cd…e027backed Leo Team | 15c | 69.26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 489 | 43.6%213 W · 276 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Leo Team | 22c | 67.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.02 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Leo Team | 24c | 66.67$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 106 | 32.1%34 W · 72 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Leo Team | 41c | 66.52$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.34 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa61b…e7babacked WHITEBIRD | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c2…3c0abacked Leo Team | 48c | 61.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked WHITEBIRD | 71c | 56.89$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 596 | 47.3%282 W · 314 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6312…f94ebacked Leo Team | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…2b1abacked Leo Team | 34c | 44.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 700 | 36.1%253 W · 447 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed WHITEBIRD | 77c | 39.02$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.08 | 273 | 48.4%132 W · 141 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Leo Team | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 1,352 | 52%703 W · 649 L | +29.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed WHITEBIRD | 73c | 24.37$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.7 | 286 | 60.1%172 W · 114 L | +17.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe291…c2c9backed WHITEBIRD | 79c | 23$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.83 | 67 | 65.7%44 W · 23 L | +6.8wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +16%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked WHITEBIRD | 51c | 22.16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.91 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe574…1b45backed WHITEBIRD | 58c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd420…1b6bbacked WHITEBIRD | 78c | 16.91$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.72 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 75cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05c6…0937backed WHITEBIRD | 78c | 12.96$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.85 | 20 | 85%17 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 73cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs WHITEBIRD (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #15 Group Stagethis page
- Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs WHITEBIRD - Map 1 WinnerWHITEBIRD won
- Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs WHITEBIRD - Map 2 WinnerWHITEBIRD won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.