TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Will Celtic FC win on 2026-01-29?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$264,569
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$290,394

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $264,569 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 183 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x72b4…7d67backed No30c33,872$10,204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,204.323450%17 W · 17 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed No31c33,078$10,254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,254.261735.3%6 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-32.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d75…c09fbacked No30c25,200$7,490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,490.1633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-33.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes70c18,900$13,235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,665.0544952.6%236 W · 213 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe524…d34fbacked Yes70c17,000$11,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,099.992642.3%11 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+34.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No29c13,803$4,003 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,002.733452.9%18 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57cd…a0fbbacked No28c10,038$2,811 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,810.753240.6%13 W · 19 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes70c8,682$6,094 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,588.4213149.6%65 W · 66 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes70c8,657$6,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,597.083,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No1c6,556$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.542,99042.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L+9.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf975…4354backed Yes73c5,710$4,168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,541.654100%4 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+46.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes70c5,535$3,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,654.8219934.7%69 W · 130 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-20.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed Yes70c5,340$3,738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,602.0620050%100 W · 100 L-1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8813…47e6backed No31c4,988$1,546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,546.39850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd8e…f023backed Yes72c3,472$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$972.222065%13 W · 7 L+2.6wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+23%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd857…c092backed Yes69c3,341$2,289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,051.69425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-63.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x209b…5706backed No32c3,125$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001513.3%2 W · 13 L-3.1wins-0.20per pick34cpaid-73.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes70c3,120$2,169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$950.9791950.9%468 W · 451 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1052…53dabacked No29c3,000$870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$869.991010%1 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.19per pick29cpaid-75.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes69c2,974$2,052 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$921.9414740.8%60 W · 87 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes74c2,426$1,807 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$619.4384850.8%431 W · 417 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8415…dfe1backed Yes71c2,191$1,548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$642.684852.1%25 W · 23 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No2c1,883$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.6123461.5%144 W · 90 L+26.7wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+31.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xd1ab…e3a9backed No35c1,864$652 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$652.421241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda0f…f0e7backed No3c1,854$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.614860.4%29 W · 19 L+9.0wins+0.19per pick42cpaid+53.3%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0xeffd…5a86backed Yes68c1,765$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$564.713154.8%17 W · 14 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked Yes71c1,739$1,235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504.314955.1%27 W · 22 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x78bc…2585backed Yes71c1,666$1,183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$483.141172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.4wins+0.22per pick51cpaid+50.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xff81…44c9backed Yes68c1,614$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$513.99785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.2wins+0.32per pick54cpaid+67.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed No2c1,500$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3017956.4%101 W · 78 L+13.4wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+16.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x3060…c709backed Yes69c1,450$1,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.5475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43bf…713cbacked Yes69c1,449$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.281100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x769c…5c05backed Yes70c1,430$1,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.14580%4 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick66cpaid+19.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x13d6…926ebacked No29c1,299$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376.751435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-24.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0724…9091backed No30c1,172$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.51338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed No2c1,100$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223844.7%17 W · 21 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick37cpaid-11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes70c1,071$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.4312955.8%72 W · 57 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-2.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked No13c1,010$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.613141.9%13 W · 18 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed No16c1,007$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.2613040%52 W · 78 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes68c1,001$681 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.3712336.6%45 W · 78 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x176e…8f96backed Yes65c1,000$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3501850%9 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfed7…e405backed No29c1,000$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2904537.8%17 W · 28 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-23.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaca0…9b86backed Yes72c973.61$701 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.611741.2%7 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick41cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2014…9530backed Yes72c903$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.841100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7fc7…969bbacked No32c896$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.722725.9%7 W · 20 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-37.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes75c805.4$608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.4874155.9%414 W · 327 L+19.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x699f…d5c6backed Yes69c768.98$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.5610055%55 W · 45 L+7.1wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+18.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8d46…cf8bbacked Yes68c731.75$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.751973.7%14 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick65cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ee4…ace2backed No7c667.99$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No16c665.09$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.4278344.8%351 W · 432 L+13.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe08…10ebbacked No32c617.7$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.831361.5%8 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+27.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9c57…40febacked Yes70c603.7$425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.09862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+17.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed No39c600$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23419546.2%90 W · 105 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked Yes61c580$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.27545.3%34 W · 41 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2358…8986backed Yes72c565.52$407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.35366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+13%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Yes71c540.26$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.994067.5%27 W · 13 L+3.8wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+12.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc61a…c00cbacked Yes69c456.59$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.541060%6 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+15.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2109…55bfbacked No32c453$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.962548%12 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c37…9b8cbacked Yes69c434.78$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.78366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+22.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed No29c431.03$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12520132.3%65 W · 136 L-9.9wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3adc…972dbacked No32c427.75$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.88825%2 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-59.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbd16…07bbbacked Yes70c414.99$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.45650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4138…6a24backed Yes73c410.96$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.96580%4 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick76cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e68…3215backed Yes70c407.33$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.332100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa63c…27a4backed No32c406$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.921136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-28.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7da6…4ff3backed Yes71c400$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1162951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6aa…3746backed No18c400$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$723737.8%14 W · 23 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-18.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x48b7…5ba0backed Yes71c352.11$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.111100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4712…5bd6backed Yes70c351.77$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.54875%6 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick74cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked No4c349.9$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9310%0 W · 31 L-11.5wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight27-0.21 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed No29c344.79$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.995558.2%32 W · 23 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes71c343.92$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.161,02247.5%485 W · 537 L-2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x69e7…7cb7backed Yes72c326.39$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.394575.6%34 W · 11 L+7.3wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+22.4%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x61bb…5854backed Yes68c320$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.41346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-24.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe071…f836backed Yes70c306.34$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.345358.5%31 W · 22 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e41…36f2backed Yes69c303$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.938351.8%43 W · 40 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94a5…9838backed Yes69c295$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.456145.9%28 W · 33 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x50ff…b0e6backed Yes68c294.12$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.121070%7 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick73cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ced…6c81backed Yes69c289.86$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.86450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked No6c284.13$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.762934.5%10 W · 19 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-40.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes68c274.8$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.9452243.9%229 W · 293 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-10.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb856…a9bcbacked Yes74c270.28$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.281361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+16.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52d8…99aebacked Yes72c247$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.163360.6%20 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6081…f0f2backed Yes72c219.28$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.4955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09d2…cc27backed No12c201.18$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.81741.2%7 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-12.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Yes74c200$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5213337.6%50 W · 83 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-9.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1871…59e6backed Yes68c200$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$645552.7%29 W · 26 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes72c200$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5620056.5%113 W · 87 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc56b…fe0abacked Yes70c193$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.92152.4%11 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37eb…6bf7backed No31c190$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.9666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+12.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf671…3dd7backed Yes68c170$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.42352.2%12 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb90…8dd8backed No7c150$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6650%0 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked No31c147.97$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.5911843.2%51 W · 67 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-19.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa533…acacbacked Yes69c144.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.933060%18 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick61cpaid+2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8bf3…a5cebacked Yes69c144.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.93850%4 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-30.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes71c140.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.857354.8%40 W · 33 L+7.9wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+24.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x802f…e008backed Yes72c138.89$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.898369.9%58 W · 25 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick71cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc629…5e51backed Yes72c138.89$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.894858.3%28 W · 20 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d33…e208backed Yes72c138.89$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.894052.5%21 W · 19 L+3.6wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+30.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7b0e…2b59backed Yes73c137$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.991172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.13per pick60cpaid+20.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.