Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will FC Utrecht win on 2026-01-29?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8de95f3c6478ce09d14d12e3fa88ef8f5ca55e9d7156dd68a7b0cbabae958cc3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $57,041
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $58,426
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,041 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe78e…55f0backed Yes | 11c | 9,100$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 20cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…9838backed Yes | 10c | 2,429$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.9 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1052…53dabacked Yes | 10c | 2,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 29cpaid | -75.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68ff…997ebacked Yes | 10c | 1,400$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 11c | 1,208$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.08 | 199 | 34.7%69 W · 130 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c5…50cdbacked Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf294…7967backed Yes | 10c | 886.97$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.44 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -74.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x833d…faedbacked Yes | 12c | 800$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes | 11c | 612.13$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.82 | 139 | 20.1%28 W · 111 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 10c | 594.24$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.38 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 201 | 32.3%65 W · 136 L | -9.9wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc7…969bbacked Yes | 12c | 479.99$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.6 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2472…8d9bbacked Yes | 10c | 375$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 7c | 367$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.89 | 86 | 36%31 W · 55 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 11c | 300$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 114 | 19.3%22 W · 92 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbdac…8dc5backed Yes | 11c | 300$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Yes | 10c | 299.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Yes | 10c | 250$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 133 | 37.6%50 W · 83 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 75 | 28%21 W · 54 L | -9.5wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -41%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x741c…bf80backed Yes | 10c | 199.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 56 | 16.1%9 W · 47 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 7c | 196.86$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.78 | 361 | 36%130 W · 231 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Yes | 6c | 183.4$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.97 | 130 | 40%52 W · 78 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x466f…bb3bbacked Yes | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe41b…321dbacked Yes | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +2.7wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…783bbacked Yes | 14c | 103.21$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1461…30a1backed Yes | 11c | 102$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 38cpaid | +88.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6dec…be12backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 42 | 26.2%11 W · 31 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b0b…3f0bbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 73 | 28.8%21 W · 52 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25ea…3cfdbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49c…6dcabacked Yes | 13c | 80$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.21per pick | 44cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Utrecht win on 2026-01-29?this page
- Will Celtic FC vs. FC Utrecht end in a draw?No won
- Will Celtic FC win on 2026-01-29?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.