TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: Deer Gaming vs 4 SWINES & A BUM (BO1) - NLC Regular Season

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Deer Gamingof Deer Gaming, 4 SWINES & A BUM
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$96,037
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$100,804

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $96,037 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfa0b…9672backed 4 SWINES & A BUM21c11,000$2,310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,3103815.8%6 W · 32 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick20cpaid-28.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5286…0d47backed 4 SWINES & A BUM21c9,358$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00027637.3%103 W · 173 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc65c…ea39backed Deer Gaming79c7,999$6,319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,679.7812759.8%76 W · 51 L+5.7wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed 4 SWINES & A BUM17c7,500$1,275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,27516454.9%90 W · 74 L+14.9wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+22.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x498c…42bfbacked 4 SWINES & A BUM20c5,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0006131.1%19 W · 42 L-3.7wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-28.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3bf2…7706backed Deer Gaming80c4,912$3,929 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$982.343946.2%18 W · 21 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4b9f…e125backed 4 SWINES & A BUM17c3,535$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.916541.5%27 W · 38 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe42b…7ea9backed 4 SWINES & A BUM16c3,250$536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$535.746033.9%156 W · 304 L+27.7wins+0.06per pick28cpaid+22%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf163…ca34backed 4 SWINES & A BUM14c3,123$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$426.841,47748.3%713 W · 764 L+45.1wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd7db…ee3ebacked 4 SWINES & A BUM17c3,097$519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$518.923925.6%10 W · 29 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-25.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6e32…ab65backed 4 SWINES & A BUM18c3,000$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5402,15653.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked 4 SWINES & A BUM16c2,317$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$370.3917537.1%65 W · 110 L+0.7wins0.00per pick37cpaid+9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5e0…461fbacked Deer Gaming78c2,160$1,685 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$475.122152.4%11 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid+10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked 4 SWINES & A BUM16c2,137$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.7222336.8%82 W · 141 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f12…3e35backed Deer Gaming79c2,002$1,582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$420.4237641.8%157 W · 219 L-18.8wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5eab…d552backed 4 SWINES & A BUM1c1,883$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.8338624.4%94 W · 292 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick24cpaid+23.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b50…ea47backed 4 SWINES & A BUM13c1,744$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.881,29426.6%344 W · 950 L+65.3wins+0.05per pick22cpaid+17.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x653e…bbc0backed 4 SWINES & A BUM16c1,722$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.4141133.8%139 W · 272 L-28.7wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-23.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Deer Gaming77c1,455$1,114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.9326144.1%115 W · 146 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-17.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6f9…bff5backed Deer Gaming80c1,110$883 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.113355.6%74 W · 59 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e01…2c8abacked 4 SWINES & A BUM17c1,000$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17014840.5%60 W · 88 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaf3a…47debacked 4 SWINES & A BUM1c988.56$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.052828.6%8 W · 20 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-40.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbf5e…4e1abacked 4 SWINES & A BUM13c828.88$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.1516325.2%41 W · 122 L-15.8wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-34.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xac75…1319backed 4 SWINES & A BUM20c708.42$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.6823351.1%119 W · 114 L+7.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f5f…d393backed Deer Gaming79c591.14$467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.146035%21 W · 39 L-4.5wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-23.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3d20…ca2abacked 4 SWINES & A BUM19c585.6$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.4513935.3%49 W · 90 L-8.9wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-18.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa795…fcbfbacked 4 SWINES & A BUM19c574.89$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.2310%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19dc…4b3fbacked 4 SWINES & A BUM16c562.74$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.792835.7%10 W · 18 L-4.5wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-33%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7cee…b72abacked Deer Gaming79c505.3$401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.757754.5%42 W · 35 L+4.7wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+15.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe1fc…bcdfbacked Deer Gaming80c501.95$401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.151631.3%5 W · 11 L-3.1wins-0.20per pick51cpaid-45.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3414…067abacked 4 SWINES & A BUM21c500$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10577131.8%245 W · 526 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb917…02c6backed 4 SWINES & A BUM23c434.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011060%66 W · 44 L+10.2wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+23.2%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xa2f0…3206backed Deer Gaming79c419.98$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.212647.6%60 W · 66 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe26b…a9ecbacked 4 SWINES & A BUM18c388.44$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.9252049.2%256 W · 264 L+11.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e12…20e9backed 4 SWINES & A BUM13c330.77$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4312035.8%43 W · 77 L-12.6wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-26.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed 4 SWINES & A BUM4c300.7$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9689810.7%96 W · 802 L+2.6wins0.00per pick10cpaid-36.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked 4 SWINES & A BUM19c300$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$571,44713.3%192 W · 1,255 L-109.5wins-0.08per pick21cpaid-35.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8b5c…a4fcbacked Deer Gaming29c300$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2122138.1%8 W · 13 L+2.0wins+0.10per pick29cpaid+28.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xac0c…739cbacked 4 SWINES & A BUM18c300$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$545320.8%11 W · 42 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick27cpaid-29.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked 4 SWINES & A BUM4c283$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8659952.8%316 W · 283 L-3.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-12.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0fd7…6c52backed 4 SWINES & A BUM17c257.06$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.89529.5%28 W · 67 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick29cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x095b…25cabacked Deer Gaming80c250$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa34…6628backed Deer Gaming79c245.7$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.63545.7%16 W · 19 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a02…a770backed 4 SWINES & A BUM16c214.68$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.931,37248.6%667 W · 705 L+57.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4d18…3d29backed 4 SWINES & A BUM14c200.86$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2924845.2%112 W · 136 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x133a…f9d1backed 4 SWINES & A BUM17c200$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3441544.6%185 W · 230 L+16.6wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+14%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe463…f7b2backed 4 SWINES & A BUM15c200$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3131643%136 W · 180 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c98…186dbacked Deer Gaming79c172.89$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.9922142.5%94 W · 127 L-13.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1e30…c14dbacked 4 SWINES & A BUM14c171.81$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249444.7%42 W · 52 L+0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x276d…1cf4backed 4 SWINES & A BUM17c161.88$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.776639.4%26 W · 40 L+5.7wins+0.09per pick31cpaid+42.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed 4 SWINES & A BUM15c150$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.510240.2%41 W · 61 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd8f4…b017backed Deer Gaming79c150$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.51346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-27.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x15f9…607ebacked 4 SWINES & A BUM21c148.52$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.191070%7 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x05f9…f351backed 4 SWINES & A BUM18c146$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.2815153.6%81 W · 70 L+17.3wins+0.11per pick42cpaid+23.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xd8b6…c7dbbacked 4 SWINES & A BUM18c138.89$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256134.4%21 W · 40 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-11.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed 4 SWINES & A BUM13c138.09$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.511,83117.1%313 W · 1,518 L-236.0wins-0.13per pick30cpaid-46%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x86c4…fe40backed 4 SWINES & A BUM12c125.67$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.951811.1%2 W · 16 L-3.6wins-0.20per pick31cpaid-81.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x051b…09d4backed 4 SWINES & A BUM17c118.14$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.089348.4%45 W · 48 L+8.0wins+0.09per pick40cpaid+26.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa2c2…3c0abacked 4 SWINES & A BUM18c111.11$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203423.5%8 W · 26 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-18.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a50…ea80backed 4 SWINES & A BUM15c108.93$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.3410823.1%25 W · 83 L-7.3wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-18.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x51bb…a919backed 4 SWINES & A BUM15c100.67$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159035.6%32 W · 58 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfde0…2b63backed 4 SWINES & A BUM17c100.18$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.03250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick23cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba28…fd30backed 4 SWINES & A BUM17c100.12$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.0210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fa6…03ebbacked 4 SWINES & A BUM16c100$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.157333%189 W · 384 L-9.5wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb69…c3e5backed 4 SWINES & A BUM21c100$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211963.2%12 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-19.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked 4 SWINES & A BUM16c100$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1627632.6%90 W · 186 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick33cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6e4…22ccbacked 4 SWINES & A BUM17c100$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1722930.6%70 W · 159 L-12.6wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-20.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe748…bc49backed 4 SWINES & A BUM17c97.5$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.1322548%108 W · 117 L-11.2wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6a70…18f0backed 4 SWINES & A BUM21c95.84$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2017542.3%74 W · 101 L-11.3wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-18.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x16bd…515fbacked 4 SWINES & A BUM21c95.24$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201030%3 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.19per pick49cpaid-31.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed 4 SWINES & A BUM16c85.94$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.361,59343.8%697 W · 896 L-74.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-16.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked 4 SWINES & A BUM12c84.83$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.182,34140.3%943 W · 1,398 L-61.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6f7…1f33backed 4 SWINES & A BUM15c82.03$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-19.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2d9…0092backed 4 SWINES & A BUM17c73.15$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.758754%47 W · 40 L+5.8wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8726…0f36backed 4 SWINES & A BUM17c73$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.419746.4%45 W · 52 L+0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3494…04f4backed 4 SWINES & A BUM21c71.42$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1519339.9%77 W · 116 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+20%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd1ab…e3a9backed Deer Gaming79c70$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.71520%3 W · 12 L-3.6wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-73.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3e3b…f7c2backed 4 SWINES & A BUM15c68.6$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.244228.6%12 W · 30 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd7e7…fef1backed 4 SWINES & A BUM21c51.58$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.67146.5%33 W · 38 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-15.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3207…86d9backed Deer Gaming79c31.65$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.65944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfacd…d470backed Deer Gaming78c15$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.3580%4 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick75cpaid+7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.