Bundesliga · resolved market
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-01-31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4a3c3c67e90bddddbf4346bcc9140ed521641f031dbcebc48bee46bbb85f3649
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $283,940
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $311,570
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $283,940 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 198 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb784…61d0backed Yes | 47c | 27,050$12,714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,336.5 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.13per pick | 61cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 68c | 23,155$15,716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,438.5 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f20…96a8backed No | 55c | 21,448$11,796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,796.35 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed No | 53c | 16,050$8,506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,506.5 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb5c…36f0backed Yes | 47c | 15,319$7,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,119.15 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +102.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed No | 55c | 10,107$5,559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,558.75 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52ed…8db7backed Yes | 45c | 10,000$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,500 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2727…eef4backed No | 12c | 9,798$1,177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,176.92 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd776…ffebbacked No | 57c | 9,300$5,301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,301 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed Yes | 44c | 9,000$3,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,040 | 98 | 31.6%31 W · 67 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf57e…bbd6backed No | 53c | 8,985$4,762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,762 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 44c | 8,519$3,767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,752.67 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 43c | 7,993$3,461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,461.46 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Yes | 43c | 7,783$3,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,436.01 | 105 | 53.3%56 W · 49 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ab…e3a9backed No | 56c | 6,815$3,816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,816.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 16c | 5,729$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$919.68 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No | 55c | 5,281$2,904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,904.41 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 43c | 5,000$2,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,850 | 332 | 44.6%148 W · 184 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3102…187cbacked No | 53c | 4,700$2,491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,491 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…b7b7backed Yes | 47c | 4,250$1,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,252.5 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x585c…f0a7backed No | 57c | 4,000$2,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,259.97 | 59 | 23.7%14 W · 45 L | -6.1wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 45c | 3,886$1,749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,137.2 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed No | 55c | 3,841$2,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,112.55 | 185 | 45.9%85 W · 100 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 41c | 3,689$1,522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,521.64 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 45c | 3,317$1,484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,832.95 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Yes | 46c | 3,261$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,760.87 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8627…5382backed Yes | 46c | 3,000$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,620 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0c…bcebbacked Yes | 46c | 2,901$1,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,566.28 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf154…27e3backed Yes | 46c | 2,587$1,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,396.96 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +124.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed No | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 79 | 67.1%53 W · 26 L | +7.4wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked No | 7c | 1,673$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.66 | 95 | 32.6%31 W · 64 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes | 43c | 1,673$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$953.34 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 28cpaid | +95.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Yes | 43c | 1,505$647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$857.81 | 116 | 44.8%52 W · 64 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes | 45c | 1,286$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$707.28 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 44c | 1,251$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$703 | 339 | 45.7%155 W · 184 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70af…26fdbacked Yes | 43c | 1,163$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.79 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -48%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 34c | 1,036$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.75 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf49…e7f4backed No | 53c | 1,020$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86f4…40d5backed Yes | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x176e…8f96backed Yes | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +96.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbffe…e4efbacked No | 31c | 1,000$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 240 | 50.4%121 W · 119 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2809…b26abacked Yes | 46c | 1,000$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed No | 55c | 928.5$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.13 | 358 | 56.4%202 W · 156 L | +19.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 55c | 900$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495 | 230 | 46.5%107 W · 123 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Yes | 44c | 700$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392 | 98 | 56.1%55 W · 43 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 53c | 683.06$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.19 | 511 | 36.8%188 W · 323 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc079…8accbacked Yes | 43c | 650$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.5 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 45c | 648.9$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.9 | 148 | 46.6%69 W · 79 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Yes | 45c | 555.56$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.56 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +7.0wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +31%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed No | 15c | 513.43$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.84 | 131 | 39.7%52 W · 79 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35b9…1d44backed No | 54c | 500$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd410…3a1bbacked Yes | 45c | 500$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfece…940bbacked Yes | 45c | 500$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e3…42f1backed Yes | 45c | 480$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ddc…03c3backed No | 53c | 479.36$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.06 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7be1…200ebacked Yes | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.44 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9030…4a23backed Yes | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.78 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes | 47c | 418.39$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.75 | 76 | 39.5%30 W · 46 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 59c | 400$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164 | 388 | 45.6%177 W · 211 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 44c | 400$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224 | 243 | 22.2%54 W · 189 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Yes | 41c | 399.97$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.98 | 333 | 40.8%136 W · 197 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…84d1backed No | 55c | 399.97$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.98 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.29per pick | 42cpaid | -78.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77f3…5db1backed No | 57c | 358.35$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc07…1751backed No | 57c | 351.9$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9be…fa51backed No | 57c | 350.44$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 13c | 350$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 337 | 37.4%126 W · 211 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 55c | 350$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.5 | 205 | 45.9%94 W · 111 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff83…9b69backed Yes | 44c | 349.55$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x666a…da4fbacked No | 57c | 349.02$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcecd…9b7abacked No | 57c | 348.64$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x776b…f97abacked No | 57c | 345.93$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04db…7dbcbacked No | 57c | 345.25$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48bb…f443backed Yes | 44c | 345.04$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7762…0bc2backed Yes | 44c | 340.83$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa89e…4ab4backed Yes | 45c | 340$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187 | 66 | 60.6%40 W · 26 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0198…f026backed No | 57c | 337.48$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a9…3f36backed Yes | 44c | 336.94$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Yes | 45c | 333.33$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.33 | 176 | 52.3%92 W · 84 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x470c…1290backed Yes | 44c | 333.33$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa4…5d31backed Yes | 44c | 329.2$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2283…6bc2backed Yes | 44c | 328.13$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9943…63e6backed Yes | 44c | 326.75$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa383…a2f0backed Yes | 71c | 321$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.3 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91f3…2e5abacked Yes | 43c | 317.1$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.75 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Yes | 48c | 312.64$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.64 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked Yes | 44c | 300.02$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.01 | 194 | 46.4%90 W · 104 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Yes | 44c | 300$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked No | 55c | 288.2$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.51 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +3.7wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2a5d…e3f4backed Yes | 75c | 266.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.17per pick | 38cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f85…87d5backed No | 11c | 257.27$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.63 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Yes | 46c | 250$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136 | 168 | 50%84 W · 84 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed No | 54c | 250$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed No | 55c | 240.8$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.44 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked No | 9c | 233.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.18 | 110 | 45.5%50 W · 60 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 14c | 229.64$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.92 | 762 | 34.8%265 W · 497 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 44c | 228$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.55 | 343 | 42%144 W · 199 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 11c | 225.9$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.85 | 536 | 45.9%246 W · 290 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbe…f9e5backed Yes | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed No | 18c | 193.86$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.41 | 119 | 31.1%37 W · 82 L | -9.8wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-01-31?this page
- Will Eintracht Frankfurt vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen end in a draw?No won
- Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-01-31?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.