Bundesliga · resolved market
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-01-31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa5ee4dca9ddd3a5ab32031e584f8910e2aaa194e2bccaf1cc2815e3b2a1cda1d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $69,207
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $73,657
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $69,207 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8bdc…b5e9backed Yes | 6c | 4,170$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.26 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33dd…ef8abacked Yes | 30c | 4,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes | 28c | 3,095$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$869.64 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 28cpaid | +95.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed No | 69c | 3,000$2,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930 | 98 | 31.6%31 W · 67 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 16c | 2,246$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.29 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12c6…0691backed No | 70c | 2,000$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 70c | 1,809$1,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.94 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a53…8c81backed Yes | 8c | 1,526$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 70c | 1,452$1,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.52 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87bb…01b9backed Yes | 5c | 1,200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Yes | 28c | 1,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Yes | 7c | 978.76$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 40 | 20%8 W · 32 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 68c | 946.43$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.57 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 3c | 900$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.48 | 264 | 33.3%88 W · 176 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb023…f142backed No | 68c | 715.62$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d46…cf8bbacked No | 71c | 704.23$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.23 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed No | 70c | 628.48$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.54 | 358 | 56.4%202 W · 156 L | +19.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed No | 73c | 574$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.98 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddef…8bc9backed No | 68c | 511$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 167 | 50.9%85 W · 82 L | +9.6wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 28c | 400$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 380 | 55.8%212 W · 168 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 19c | 400$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 388 | 45.6%177 W · 211 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…84d1backed Yes | 30c | 399.99$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.29per pick | 42cpaid | -78.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c38…3d15backed Yes | 27c | 388.89$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa25b…1220backed Yes | 5c | 384.2$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.71 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 10cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Yes | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 85 | 32.9%28 W · 57 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x73b5…fe53backed Yes | 32c | 350$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6aa…8882backed Yes | 13c | 349.73$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.95 | 72 | 19.4%14 W · 58 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked No | 71c | 300$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 194 | 46.4%90 W · 104 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6179…6f80backed No | 71c | 281.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.69 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Yes | 6c | 254.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 65 | 26.2%17 W · 48 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes | 39c | 228$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.52 | 106 | 41.5%44 W · 62 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 61c | 218$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.02 | 491 | 43.2%212 W · 279 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3d…c9d9backed Yes | 32c | 160$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed No | 70c | 129.2$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.39 | 187 | 46%86 W · 101 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes | 31c | 119.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.2 | 228 | 29.4%67 W · 161 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69e7…7cb7backed No | 73c | 102.74$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.74 | 117 | 51.3%60 W · 57 L | -9.2wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 511 | 36.8%188 W · 323 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda8c…47eabacked Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2a…3daebacked Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a6…44edbacked Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fb…74f3backed Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed Yes | 32c | 70.47$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.3 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d43…fc99backed No | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 30 | 93.3%28 W · 2 L | +7.8wins | +0.26per pick | 67cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…bf48backed Yes | 26c | 69.23$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0259…33c9backed Yes | 29c | 69.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf29…7a51backed Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Yes | 37c | 68.38$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.13 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38a3…b461backed Yes | 30c | 65.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0e…e8fabacked No | 71c | 65.56$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.01 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked No | 70c | 60$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 343 | 42%144 W · 199 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 58c | 57.62$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.2 | 486 | 58.6%285 W · 201 L | +44.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +33%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed No | 70c | 51.59$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 214 | 50%107 W · 107 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed No | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.1 | 258 | 55.4%143 W · 115 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93b5…42e7backed No | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.1 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | +6.6wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7d…bb7dbacked Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Yes | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 119 | 31.1%37 W · 82 L | -9.8wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 31c | 46.6$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf7b…2e17backed Yes | 54c | 46.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d8…19c5backed No | 74c | 40.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.62 | 64 | 62.5%40 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7249…9c6cbacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x859d…3cecbacked Yes | 29c | 39.02$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.32 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65a6…3e59backed No | 71c | 35.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed No | 67c | 30.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.98 | 116 | 44.8%52 W · 64 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 58c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 282 | 41.5%117 W · 165 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0f…a2f3backed No | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a24…3845backed No | 70c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.55 | 115 | 63.5%73 W · 42 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…fb77backed No | 62c | 22.58$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…ba55backed No | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.04 | 121 | 65.3%79 W · 42 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e76…47fabacked No | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.04 | 95 | 64.2%61 W · 34 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e85…443ebacked No | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.87 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb196…33d5backed No | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.04 | 102 | 62.7%64 W · 38 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 77c | 18.7$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.22 | 782 | 48.8%382 W · 400 L | -28.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8834…dc1bbacked No | 71c | 15.15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-01-31?this page
- Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-01-31?Yes won
- Will Eintracht Frankfurt vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.