Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: OG vs Team Yandex (BO2) - DreamLeague Stage 1 Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcfa73ec50b7452adbf3f99de9d09369cb808bf6ba014491079ec292356b22325
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- OGof OG, Team Yandex
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,530
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,603
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,530 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed OG | 43c | 2,000$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140 | 197 | 42.1%83 W · 114 L | -12.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Team Yandex | 57c | 1,859$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,059.69 | 184 | 52.2%96 W · 88 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Team Yandex | 2c | 1,368$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.17 | 616 | 9.7%60 W · 556 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf2…a469backed Team Yandex | 23c | 999.96$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.99 | 134 | 55.2%74 W · 60 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Team Yandex | 24c | 951.98$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.64 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb27f…2c41backed OG | 52c | 916.35$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.35 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x63ad…790cbacked OG | 77c | 902$695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.46 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5eab…d552backed Team Yandex | 23c | 762.24$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.69 | 67 | 25.4%17 W · 50 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa545…a656backed OG | 77c | 649.48$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.48 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4fd…96eabacked OG | 78c | 611.84$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.84 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Team Yandex | 35c | 591$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.54 | 301 | 38.9%117 W · 184 L | -20.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbec5…8f77backed Team Yandex | 25c | 500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 78 | 35.9%28 W · 50 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked OG | 49c | 492.05$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.99 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed OG | 73c | 372.92$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.13 | 192 | 42.7%82 W · 110 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…e82bbacked Team Yandex | 43c | 254.73$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.47 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf629…38d5backed OG | 77c | 244.16$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.16 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd50c…76c3backed Team Yandex | 55c | 236.51$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.33 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -8.0wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe9…9c50backed Team Yandex | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 136 | 57.4%78 W · 58 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd85b…d688backed OG | 74c | 193$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.53 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ab…e3a9backed Team Yandex | 56c | 192.8$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.33 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -61%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6996…cf9abacked OG | 71c | 184.24$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.59 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1709…c148backed Team Yandex | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 483 | 52.4%253 W · 230 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x438e…c499backed Team Yandex | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -5.6wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked OG | 76c | 146.64$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.62 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Team Yandex | 55c | 145.49$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.02 | 735 | 54.7%402 W · 333 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75ab…eb07backed Team Yandex | 25c | 125.34$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.34 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Team Yandex | 16c | 122.72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.23 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9332…a3dbbacked Team Yandex | 25c | 120.1$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 760 | 48.6%369 W · 391 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…6df7backed Team Yandex | 38c | 119.26$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.33 | 127 | 20.5%26 W · 101 L | -22.6wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Team Yandex | 52c | 110$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.4 | 312 | 51.3%160 W · 152 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed OG | 45c | 105.11$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.19 | 229 | 45.9%105 W · 124 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked OG | 44c | 102.09$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.81 | 176 | 38.6%68 W · 108 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked Team Yandex | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.8 | 958 | 41.1%394 W · 564 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8e…b38fbacked Team Yandex | 23c | 97.44$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.41 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86e0…c394backed Team Yandex | 50c | 87.14$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.78 | 807 | 42.6%344 W · 463 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed OG | 69c | 82.77$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.48 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed OG | 45c | 80$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Team Yandex | 40c | 79$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.21 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae1…c891backed Team Yandex | 28c | 72.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 335 | 49.9%167 W · 168 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed OG | 56c | 70.35$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.69 | 340 | 63.2%215 W · 125 L | +38.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +13%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Team Yandex | 23c | 66.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.41 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Team Yandex | 24c | 60.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.83 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1461…30a1backed OG | 49c | 59.99$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 76 | 65.8%50 W · 26 L | +8.5wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d2…83b3backed OG | 37c | 54.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.33 | 115 | 63.5%73 W · 42 L | +9.1wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed5…bac1backed OG | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Team Yandex | 24c | 47.07$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 1,034 | 16.3%169 W · 865 L | -158.1wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xf841…70ffbacked Team Yandex | 28c | 44.64$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d69…1dc4backed Team Yandex | 23c | 44$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf8…b5a3backed Team Yandex | 48c | 41.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…32b1backed Team Yandex | 28c | 40.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.47 | 312 | 45.8%143 W · 169 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cd…e027backed Team Yandex | 57c | 40$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 183 | 47%86 W · 97 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf0…b95dbacked OG | 77c | 38.96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 73cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e64…a243backed Team Yandex | 56c | 35.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.87 | 77 | 57.1%44 W · 33 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed OG | 47c | 32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.98 | 138 | 27.5%38 W · 100 L | -15.0wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5a…c932backed OG | 43c | 30.23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.23 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +58%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a5…2caebacked Team Yandex | 62c | 29.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.51 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3be…4cd6backed OG | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Team Yandex | 54c | 21.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.89 | 713 | 42.5%303 W · 410 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed OG | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.46 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xae60…1f06backed Team Yandex | 55c | 18.73$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed Team Yandex | 64c | 17.18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -5.1wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: OG vs Team Yandex (BO2) - DreamLeague Stage 1 Group Athis page
- Dota 2: OG vs Team Yandex - Game 1 WinnerOG won
- Dota 2: OG vs Team Yandex - Game 2 WinnerOG won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.