Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: OG vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xabb001956c2d01b18e51b5c56f2cc5f5ac8da339d83490a3ba04878a72c4b593
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- OGof OG, Team Yandex
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $66,836
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $79,624
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,836 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked Team Yandex | 50c | 38,877$19,332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,332.12 | 551 | 57%314 W · 237 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked OG | 49c | 7,535$3,669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,865.64 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9679…9315backed OG | 51c | 7,135$3,671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,464.63 | 160 | 58.8%94 W · 66 L | +9.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f9…bff5backed OG | 51c | 5,674$2,913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,761.2 | 209 | 49.3%103 W · 106 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked OG | 49c | 5,439$2,665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,773.89 | 198 | 47%93 W · 105 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed OG | 49c | 5,000$2,442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,557.88 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed OG | 54c | 4,178$2,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,905.21 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked OG | 48c | 4,000$1,938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,062.05 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74ef…1ac6backed OG | 53c | 1,630$864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$766.19 | 476 | 60.7%289 W · 187 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe375…dadfbacked Team Yandex | 53c | 1,609$856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$856.21 | 129 | 48.1%62 W · 67 L | -9.3wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x17ca…87d1backed Team Yandex | 7c | 1,360$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 195 | 52.8%103 W · 92 L | -15.2wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -15%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked OG | 77c | 916.42$707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.77 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed OG | 71c | 770.61$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.37 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed OG | 35c | 684.5$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.63 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Team Yandex | 19c | 631.58$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed OG | 52c | 600$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 360 | 54.4%196 W · 164 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc0…5f47backed Team Yandex | 6c | 550$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00a1…5062backed OG | 55c | 545.45$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.45 | 213 | 46.5%99 W · 114 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fb…95fbbacked Team Yandex | 17c | 500$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x249f…fed3backed OG | 59c | 477.25$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.14 | 626 | 50.5%316 W · 310 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed Team Yandex | 65c | 447.19$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.67 | 568 | 48.8%277 W · 291 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed Team Yandex | 56c | 444.79$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249 | 574 | 55.4%318 W · 256 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked Team Yandex | 2c | 412.04$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed Team Yandex | 48c | 397.99$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.83 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40a2…19c9backed Team Yandex | 31c | 394$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.14 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4605…5299backed Team Yandex | 40c | 350$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.71 | 88 | 33%29 W · 59 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed OG | 51c | 329.99$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.58 | 256 | 48%123 W · 133 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf459…7a53backed Team Yandex | 59c | 286.38$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.64 | 102 | 60.8%62 W · 40 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Team Yandex | 49c | 250$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.5 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Team Yandex | 60c | 236$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.56 | 181 | 43.6%79 W · 102 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5a…13f5backed OG | 41c | 212.2$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.2 | 450 | 46.7%210 W · 240 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9e…eb82backed OG | 52c | 182.06$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.39 | 203 | 49.8%101 W · 102 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d44…49e6backed Team Yandex | 49c | 142.86$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 721 | 54%389 W · 332 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa750…0d0fbacked OG | 50c | 134.62$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 377 | 54.9%207 W · 170 L | +20.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86e0…c394backed Team Yandex | 53c | 129.74$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.74 | 807 | 42.6%344 W · 463 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9798…12d2backed OG | 47c | 127.66$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.66 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6698…e620backed Team Yandex | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1532…1dadbacked Team Yandex | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 226 | 54.4%123 W · 103 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00fb…4442backed OG | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.1 | 87 | 63.2%55 W · 32 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa7…003fbacked Team Yandex | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 450 | 52.4%236 W · 214 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked OG | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 735 | 54.7%402 W · 333 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…fee0backed OG | 44c | 82.5$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.2 | 603 | 49.9%301 W · 302 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d2…83b3backed Team Yandex | 29c | 79.33$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 115 | 63.5%73 W · 42 L | +9.1wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x07b0…4758backed Team Yandex | 49c | 65.05$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.91 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf1…47a4backed Team Yandex | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +3.7wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +21%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d31…07b0backed Team Yandex | 54c | 57.41$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 252 | 55.2%139 W · 113 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b41…2c02backed Team Yandex | 49c | 57.14$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 726 | 37.5%272 W · 454 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58ac…7e1fbacked Team Yandex | 40c | 50.23$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 98 | 36.7%36 W · 62 L | -8.0wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac93…0cfcbacked OG | 49c | 49.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 581 | 52.5%305 W · 276 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Team Yandex | 36c | 46.61$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.77 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked Team Yandex | 41c | 35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 958 | 41.1%394 W · 564 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf04e…5c25backed Team Yandex | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6795…4a4cbacked Team Yandex | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 132 | 46.2%61 W · 71 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb97e…262bbacked OG | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 526 | 49.2%259 W · 267 L | +21.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bef…be32backed OG | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 134 | 49.3%66 W · 68 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72c2…5e74backed Team Yandex | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 793 | 43.6%346 W · 447 L | +38.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5524…2f3cbacked Team Yandex | 65c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.25 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0030…04e9backed Team Yandex | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 341 | 52.2%178 W · 163 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: OG vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: OG vs Team Yandex (BO2) - DreamLeague Stage 1 Group AOG won
- Dota 2: OG vs Team Yandex - Game 2 WinnerOG won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.