TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: OG vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
OGof OG, Team Yandex
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$54,518
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$67,117

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,518 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x74ef…1ac6backed Team Yandex39c7,589$2,964 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,964.2647660.7%289 W · 187 L-0.2wins0.00per pick61cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb63…a71dbacked OG65c6,190$4,023 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,166.4720159.7%120 W · 81 L+9.9wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x87da…53d1backed Team Yandex47c5,267$2,481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,480.6496557.4%554 W · 411 L+49.5wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked OG59c2,837$1,662 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,174.512,01244.2%889 W · 1,123 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2cad…eb66backed Team Yandex23c2,589$596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$595.559750.5%49 W · 48 L+0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf6f9…bff5backed OG53c2,286$1,201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,084.7820949.3%103 W · 106 L+8.4wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-4.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9767…b5c4backed Team Yandex28c2,164$606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60615946.5%74 W · 85 L+0.7wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9679…9315backed OG60c1,721$1,034 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$687.1916058.8%94 W · 66 L+9.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed OG77c1,611$1,241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.5966662.2%414 W · 252 L+60.2wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+10.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1bcb…b05abacked Team Yandex35c1,500$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52538049.2%187 W · 193 L+13.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+168.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb555…0c4bbacked OG72c1,200$864 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33610342.7%44 W · 59 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa97f…a818backed OG52c1,200$624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57658744%258 W · 329 L+13.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Team Yandex44c848.38$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.452,82843.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L-39.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked OG55c781.05$428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.861,82145%820 W · 1,001 L+33.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked OG61c748.77$454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.951,15547.8%552 W · 603 L+29.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xed10…15edbacked OG77c721.56$555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.5688166.7%588 W · 293 L+76.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+12.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xcd43…88d7backed OG51c698$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.6410334%35 W · 68 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-14.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Team Yandex46c550.57$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.61,27245%572 W · 700 L-40.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfcf2…a469backed OG46c500$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27013455.2%74 W · 60 L+7.4wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6998…ae95backed Team Yandex7c500$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3416821.4%36 W · 132 L+0.4wins0.00per pick21cpaid-20.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c67…d062backed Team Yandex60c497.06$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.781,13742.3%481 W · 656 L-27.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ab4…96a5backed Team Yandex48c472.86$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.8411854.2%64 W · 54 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a38…fee0backed Team Yandex60c406$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.660349.9%301 W · 302 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x58f1…7032backed OG48c401.83$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.129550.2%148 W · 147 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xad69…7397backed Team Yandex46c400$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18251140.3%206 W · 305 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f4f…46c2backed OG53c394.91$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.9836054.4%196 W · 164 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed OG65c345.18$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.981,03647.2%489 W · 547 L+15.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Team Yandex58c327.07$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.1233645.5%153 W · 183 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f52…c525backed Team Yandex32c312.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009053.3%48 W · 42 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b73…45d9backed Team Yandex35c285.72$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001931.6%6 W · 13 L-3.6wins-0.19per pick51cpaid-40.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf138…c953backed Team Yandex35c285.71$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010134.7%35 W · 66 L-11.2wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-35%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe6a4…4249backed OG63c250.05$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.0319664.8%127 W · 69 L+0.3wins0.00per pick65cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4cb…63bebacked Team Yandex4c250$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1012455.6%69 W · 55 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x033e…1bb9backed OG64c236.5$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.1456848.8%277 W · 291 L-1.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe5a…13f5backed OG43c231.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.8245046.7%210 W · 240 L-11.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xff5e…9c6ebacked OG44c227.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.537238.9%28 W · 44 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed OG75c200$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5059250.5%299 W · 293 L-20.7wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0b99…8bddbacked OG47c200$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.877458.5%453 W · 321 L+75.1wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+12.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xcf0a…320abacked Team Yandex60c200$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12092056.4%519 W · 401 L+78.3wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb475…2ed2backed Team Yandex40c199.86$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.941050%5 W · 5 L+2.2wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+68.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x42b7…77dcbacked OG50c199.84$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.8499844.4%443 W · 555 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ae1…c891backed OG46c181.46$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.4633549.9%167 W · 168 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d1d…d8c0backed Team Yandex50c160$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8016152.2%84 W · 77 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc690…ec5bbacked OG65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.854438.6%17 W · 27 L-4.5wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-26%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6795…4a4cbacked Team Yandex33c153.09$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.5213246.2%61 W · 71 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6503…0c3dbacked OG68c147.28$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.288461.9%52 W · 32 L+5.3wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+7.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x86e0…c394backed Team Yandex52c140$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.880742.6%344 W · 463 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05b8…1762backed Team Yandex54c138.89$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$752347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0386…2b1abacked Team Yandex11c136.36$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1530543%131 W · 174 L+18.2wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+52.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6d96…d524backed OG66c124.24$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.2426957.6%155 W · 114 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d03…9a41backed OG51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4923050.9%117 W · 113 L-0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8031…67e0backed Team Yandex41c100$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4173743.6%321 W · 416 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa750…0d0fbacked Team Yandex62c100$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6237754.9%207 W · 170 L+20.9wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x73a2…3b68backed OG52c96$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.2825648%123 W · 133 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3873…dec8backed Team Yandex27c91.94$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2513946%64 W · 75 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d03…b8a6backed Team Yandex56c89.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5021465%139 W · 75 L+10.6wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x00a1…5062backed OG46c80$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.221346.5%99 W · 114 L-8.1wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xac93…0cfcbacked OG60c70$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2858152.5%305 W · 276 L-10.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9332…a3dbbacked Team Yandex45c66.67$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3076048.6%369 W · 391 L+26.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf04e…5c25backed Team Yandex31c64.52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201625%4 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x438e…c499backed Team Yandex35c59.94$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.98120%0 W · 12 L-5.6wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x50a3…0a78backed Team Yandex25c59.2$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.84436.4%16 W · 28 L-4.7wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-24.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2806…6de8backed Team Yandex30c56.67$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1711344.2%50 W · 63 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a94…5e99backed OG46c52.91$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.576159%36 W · 25 L+0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x214a…d34bbacked OG39c51.28$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.285648.2%27 W · 29 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-14.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x20df…c787backed Team Yandex51c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.51637.5%6 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-31.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1532…1dadbacked OG40c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3022654.4%123 W · 103 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72c2…5e74backed OG43c50$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.579343.6%346 W · 447 L+38.4wins+0.05per pick39cpaid-0.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9120…ae70backed OG64c45.31$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.3121062.4%131 W · 79 L+0.8wins0.00per pick62cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa03…0799backed OG76c43.7$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.491181.8%9 W · 2 L+2.6wins+0.23per pick59cpaid+35.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc3a2…ff3bbacked OG75c40$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1012854.7%70 W · 58 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8dc0…5f47backed Team Yandex44c39.99$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.63943.6%17 W · 22 L+3.3wins+0.09per pick35cpaid-5.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7713…daf0backed Team Yandex38c37.17$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145354.7%29 W · 24 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-14.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbf8f…8bbabacked Team Yandex35c37.14$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139838.8%38 W · 60 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c8e…b38fbacked OG46c35.55$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.22958.6%17 W · 12 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+2.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc376…a8e7backed Team Yandex56c34.91$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.5513140.5%53 W · 78 L-12.1wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-18%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xac9c…50d8backed OG70c31.99$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.64522.2%10 W · 35 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-27.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Team Yandex43c31.54$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.632,37847.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L+15.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0030…04e9backed OG64c31.25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.2534152.2%178 W · 163 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe40e…58c9backed OG35c30$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.51573.3%11 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.11per pick62cpaid+21.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc49b…70c0backed Team Yandex49c29.99$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.763032.5%205 W · 425 L+1.4wins0.00per pick32cpaid-22.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x75ab…eb07backed OG47c29.95$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.987846.2%36 W · 42 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+14.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x58ac…7e1fbacked OG56c24.48$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.779836.7%36 W · 62 L-8.0wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-20.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x209f…0eb4backed OG65c23.08$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.083348.5%16 W · 17 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Team Yandex60c20$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.94753.2%25 W · 22 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.