TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Real Oviedo end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$137,463
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$158,348

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $137,463 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 149 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Yes31c19,651$6,127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,523.464,75347.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L-21.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No78c14,147$10,964 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,963.8990843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes23c10,725$2,507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,218.861,18651.7%613 W · 573 L+17.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No20c7,894$1,595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,595.093,46143%1,489 W · 1,972 L+31.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed No77c7,720$5,944 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,944.3910539%41 W · 64 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x80cf…427dbacked Yes15c7,000$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,95015044.7%67 W · 83 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd43…cd41backed No71c6,567$4,663 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,662.562365.2%15 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick65cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes23c3,765$866 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,898.772,34748.5%1,138 W · 1,209 L+1.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12f9…74babacked No25c3,102$789 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$789.068075%60 W · 20 L+13.9wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+39.8%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0xb0df…8f41backed No68c2,871$1,966 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,965.944463.6%28 W · 16 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick67cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb2a4…cf8abacked No76c2,471$1,883 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,882.852842.9%12 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes79c2,283$1,804 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.3825872.9%188 W · 70 L+23.2wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+12.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No43c1,833$791 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$791.391,42145.7%649 W · 772 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No26c1,721$449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$448.731,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ab…e3a9backed No76c1,680$1,277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,276.8728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No76c1,676$1,274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,273.6192254.1%499 W · 423 L+1.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes71c1,565$1,111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$453.9774657.4%428 W · 318 L+22.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a05…5e25backed No4c1,551$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.88520%1 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick17cpaid-71%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe648…b79abacked Yes24c1,429$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,086.175232.7%17 W · 35 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x08ba…2a30backed No77c1,188$915 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$914.764663%29 W · 17 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick62cpaid-4.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No24c1,129$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.1461032.3%197 W · 413 L-13.0wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-23.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x61ec…838fbacked Yes80c1,028$823 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.645052%26 W · 24 L-8.1wins-0.16per pick68cpaid-24.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xa19d…3909backed Yes23c870$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$669.9633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick21cpaid+55.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1786…6974backed No29c866.52$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.29250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-26.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x819f…70bcbacked Yes23c790.19$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$607.421442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+33.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed No76c734.35$558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$557.6542851.4%220 W · 208 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes15c666.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$566.6737829.4%111 W · 267 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed Yes24c662.71$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504.498229.3%24 W · 58 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-16.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed No28c661.76$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.3719042.1%80 W · 110 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed Yes37c649.25$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.2515150.3%76 W · 75 L+9.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes71c579.23$412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.0484939.7%337 W · 512 L-21.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xceb7…391ebacked Yes65c500$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1754077.5%31 W · 9 L+7.2wins+0.18per pick60cpaid+43.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x35fb…4ce5backed Yes24c500$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3801421.4%3 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick31cpaid-39.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb31e…c120backed No76c499.99$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.993053.3%16 W · 14 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdf08…dea4backed Yes64c470.39$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.7911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.20per pick31cpaid-82.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed Yes25c440$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3304235.7%15 W · 27 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-8.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes20c434.9$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.9219652.6%103 W · 93 L-15.6wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-14.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Yes23c400$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30822746.7%106 W · 121 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No75c361.14$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.2962258%361 W · 261 L+44.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+17.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9dce…b663backed No73c337.92$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.681668.8%11 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick68cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked Yes23c300$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23120642.7%88 W · 118 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x63f9…0f1bbacked Yes31c300$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2072437.5%9 W · 15 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-24.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Yes24c291.67$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.6723252.6%122 W · 110 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e79…2d68backed Yes38c263.16$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.162138.1%8 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed No34c249.99$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.4916838.1%64 W · 104 L-10.1wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-36.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa2ef…fb59backed Yes24c240$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.4425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid+4.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb295…d1e7backed Yes27c233.35$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.992035%7 W · 13 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick28cpaid+73.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfaf1…795fbacked No76c215$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.41145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-27.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Yes23c212.72$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.7911753.8%63 W · 54 L+9.4wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+18.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4fbe…f9e5backed Yes24c208.33$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.333429.4%10 W · 24 L-3.4wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-22.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes24c200.15$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.1164046.9%300 W · 340 L-2.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9bbb…92efbacked Yes24c200$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.48per pick18cpaid+217.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9d4e…6e96backed Yes24c200$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1522236.4%8 W · 14 L+2.8wins+0.13per pick24cpaid+53.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe7f4…6eadbacked Yes72c199.99$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.78932.6%29 W · 60 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a50…ea80backed Yes24c190.96$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.135230.8%16 W · 36 L-0.1wins0.00per pick31cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked Yes23c188.44$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.123947.7%114 W · 125 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Yes24c187.01$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.8426853%142 W · 126 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x87bb…01b9backed Yes28c178.57$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.572850%14 W · 14 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+21.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfb0…4488backed Yes31c174.19$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.19837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.22per pick59cpaid-24.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x65b6…8b4cbacked Yes28c171.43$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.437030%21 W · 49 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid+5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd257…d215backed Yes26c170.59$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.5914023.6%33 W · 107 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick20cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Yes59c163.45$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.5615444.8%69 W · 85 L+0.3wins0.00per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6ce…7ec8backed No75c160$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12010%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Yes25c160$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1207424.3%18 W · 56 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-48.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4de1…22a0backed No10c158.99$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.92213.6%3 W · 19 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick9cpaid+83.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No76c156.96$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.5335145.6%160 W · 191 L+9.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6da…2b66backed Yes9c154.12$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.986412.5%8 W · 56 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick9cpaid+50.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa69a…3360backed Yes13c153.9$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.9238.7%2 W · 21 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick12cpaid-23.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes24c146$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.9650149.5%248 W · 253 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Yes76c145.99$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.6726930.5%82 W · 187 L-21.4wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-42.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd7ad…6d7ebacked Yes70c142.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.862646.2%12 W · 14 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick40cpaid-17.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x59b6…fb20backed Yes77c142.86$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.863100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+94.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed No71c141.21$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.4157252.1%298 W · 274 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf477…b341backed No77c129.87$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb8cd…e951backed No77c129$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.332181%17 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick72cpaid+11.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4db3…c1eabacked Yes78c128.21$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.214663%29 W · 17 L+5.7wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+35.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed No47c118.03$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.2615643.6%68 W · 88 L-0.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd42…8895backed Yes14c113.72$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.38944.4%4 W · 5 L+2.6wins+0.29per pick16cpaid+389.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed No22c110.93$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.8914342%60 W · 83 L-5.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-16.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b43…9e23backed Yes39c105.13$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.1315832.9%52 W · 106 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Yes28c102.03$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.8712152.9%64 W · 57 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd094…271bbacked Yes29c100$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$715119.6%10 W · 41 L-4.4wins-0.09per pick28cpaid-38.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1871…59e6backed Yes80c100$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2016446.3%76 W · 88 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-14.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e29…9e66backed Yes70c100$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307852.6%41 W · 37 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x28c8…aaccbacked No10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103461.8%21 W · 13 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed No31c98.41$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.815152.9%27 W · 24 L+3.2wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Yes27c95.34$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.441147.9%197 W · 214 L-9.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x75ea…1616backed No63c93.65$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$594456.8%25 W · 19 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x769b…2ea9backed Yes29c86.94$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.941315.4%2 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick27cpaid-54%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes49c84$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.5419446.9%91 W · 103 L+0.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf25…da09backed Yes18c83.42$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.341100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.82per pick18cpaid+453.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7353…a4f0backed Yes24c83.33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.33933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+26.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc519…348abacked Yes70c80$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.410143.6%44 W · 57 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x501d…52e2backed Yes29c75.86$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.861625%4 W · 12 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-43.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked No77c72$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.0853242.3%225 W · 307 L-1.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked No76c65.78$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9932145.8%147 W · 174 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8fcb…4381backed Yes30c65.59$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.591631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x625a…7bb3backed Yes28c63.61$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.813444.1%15 W · 19 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa086…5df5backed Yes24c63.25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.07366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+103%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d5f…7e6fbacked Yes32c62.5$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.56836.8%25 W · 43 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-11.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.