TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Olympiakós SFPof Real Madrid CF, Olympiakós SFP
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$38,073
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$38,688

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,073 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Olympiakós SFP62c20,440$12,616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,823.671,99443.9%875 W · 1,119 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Real Madrid CF38c12,411$4,746 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,745.7938043.9%167 W · 213 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc151…2501backed Real Madrid CF38c6,600$2,530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,530.3742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-24.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Olympiakós SFP58c4,319$2,497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,821.8646048.5%223 W · 237 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Olympiakós SFP61c1,888$1,151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$737.0133851.5%174 W · 164 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Olympiakós SFP34c1,807$619 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,187.891,51140.2%608 W · 903 L-6.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d94…40e6backed Real Madrid CF36c1,600$576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5762343.5%10 W · 13 L+2.5wins+0.11per pick33cpaid+31.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Olympiakós SFP63c1,592$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$592.5539746.9%186 W · 211 L+9.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Olympiakós SFP62c1,269$791 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$477.4917853.9%96 W · 82 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Real Madrid CF35c1,145$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.8126443.9%116 W · 148 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Real Madrid CF40c1,090$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439.8621744.7%97 W · 120 L-8.5wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-20.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f74…f2a6backed Real Madrid CF37c939.27$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.281241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-20.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8bd…df80backed Real Madrid CF35c732.57$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.43145.2%14 W · 17 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Olympiakós SFP63c700$441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25911649.1%57 W · 59 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fef…5840backed Real Madrid CF53c634.79$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.322030%6 W · 14 L-3.5wins-0.17per pick47cpaid-32.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4537…491dbacked Real Madrid CF41c487.8$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001450%7 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb672…456fbacked Real Madrid CF35c383$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.21933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d7d…6020backed Real Madrid CF77c346.09$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.4333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick67cpaid-44.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc15d…6a7cbacked Real Madrid CF37c337.84$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1253636.1%13 W · 23 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-19%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbcc4…c6b9backed Real Madrid CF35c335.61$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.36333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-25.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0180…b8cdbacked Real Madrid CF37c289.19$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1073844.7%17 W · 21 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7881…5c15backed Real Madrid CF37c270.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002020%4 W · 16 L-2.6wins-0.13per pick33cpaid-50.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa047…f4c5backed Real Madrid CF76c237.66$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.641338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-32.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa042…3dccbacked Real Madrid CF43c232.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Real Madrid CF72c232$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.1129142.3%123 W · 168 L-8.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4103…9b9ebacked Real Madrid CF41c230.61$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.553351.5%17 W · 16 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7f6…5ac8backed Real Madrid CF33c229.06$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$754242.9%18 W · 24 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+28.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb269…6adebacked Real Madrid CF45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005032%16 W · 34 L-4.0wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-21.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed Real Madrid CF38c221.99$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.3618950.3%95 W · 94 L+8.8wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+29.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed Real Madrid CF38c209.99$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.811152.3%58 W · 53 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Olympiakós SFP64c200.94$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.3438748.3%187 W · 200 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a3c…93d7backed Real Madrid CF38c200$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$762944.8%13 W · 16 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1bfe…ab8dbacked Olympiakós SFP65c199.97$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.991369.2%9 W · 4 L+3.0wins+0.23per pick46cpaid+62.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x45d1…7017backed Real Madrid CF35c199.96$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.996241.9%26 W · 36 L+0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid+8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8889…a9d1backed Real Madrid CF37c197.3$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7316447.6%78 W · 86 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfbfe…5247backed Real Madrid CF36c166.67$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-21.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x66a5…4300backed Olympiakós SFP66c163$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.42475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick71cpaid+9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Olympiakós SFP64c153.99$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.5421745.6%99 W · 118 L-0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa710…f1ccbacked Real Madrid CF40c150$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6015236.8%56 W · 96 L+7.2wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+26.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc2d1…84a2backed Real Madrid CF36c150$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$548038.8%31 W · 49 L+0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64ae…ead9backed Olympiakós SFP34c147.14$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.1411135.1%39 W · 72 L-6.1wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Olympiakós SFP55c140$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6325659.8%153 W · 103 L+10.4wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+4.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Real Madrid CF36c138.94$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020133.8%68 W · 133 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9827…e5ffbacked Olympiakós SFP63c136$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.321338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-22.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x571e…67b2backed Real Madrid CF37c135.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503327.3%9 W · 24 L-3.7wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-28.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x385e…3896backed Real Madrid CF37c135.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502927.6%8 W · 21 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-19%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Real Madrid CF76c131.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10015252%79 W · 73 L-11.9wins-0.08per pick60cpaid-11.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Real Madrid CF36c131.58$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.376536.9%24 W · 41 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3eb0…8826backed Real Madrid CF37c130.21$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485040%20 W · 30 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-21%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f31…9e9dbacked Real Madrid CF77c129.87$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa35f…b58fbacked Real Madrid CF46c129.12$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.49841.8%41 W · 57 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0da5…5adfbacked Real Madrid CF47c127.66$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$609252.2%48 W · 44 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54b5…ac01backed Real Madrid CF21c119.05$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-47%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde9d…35f8backed Real Madrid CF37c100$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid+49.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6305…cb88backed Real Madrid CF36c100$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-67.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6323…8fd7backed Real Madrid CF15c100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1fc6…bfb4backed Real Madrid CF36c97.22$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.32per pick48cpaid+84.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Real Madrid CF40c90$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3620241.6%84 W · 118 L-9.7wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Olympiakós SFP63c87.99$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.5621354%115 W · 98 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc0d…79cbbacked Real Madrid CF37c81.08$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.2wins+0.36per pick47cpaid+91.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6a5c…b3f2backed Olympiakós SFP65c80.37$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.1812751.2%65 W · 62 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x12c4…ff8cbacked Real Madrid CF38c78.95$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+16.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x42a0…3762backed Real Madrid CF39c73.55$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.85747.4%27 W · 30 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-26.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed Olympiakós SFP55c70$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.522647.3%107 W · 119 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+16.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2226…66d2backed Real Madrid CF77c69.99$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.89250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-20.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x705c…c973backed Real Madrid CF73c68.49$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick67cpaid-45.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed Real Madrid CF35c67.5$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.6324047.1%113 W · 127 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x676a…601abacked Real Madrid CF38c65.79$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2dce…5e09backed Real Madrid CF38c65.79$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.31per pick51cpaid-66.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc774…b6e8backed Real Madrid CF34c57.36$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.435424.1%13 W · 41 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick29cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1231…786cbacked Real Madrid CF35c57.14$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20650%3 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8337…8eb1backed Real Madrid CF35c57.14$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeecc…6930backed Real Madrid CF36c56.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.44226.2%11 W · 31 L-5.1wins-0.12per pick38cpaid-12.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Olympiakós SFP53c56$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.3214447.2%68 W · 76 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f1f…f5eabacked Real Madrid CF38c52.63$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203240.6%13 W · 19 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-17.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4fdb…6404backed Real Madrid CF41c48.78$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa922…1185backed Real Madrid CF41c48.78$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x70a1…978abacked Real Madrid CF27c44.74$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124332.6%14 W · 29 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-3.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcdd4…7696backed Real Madrid CF35c42.94$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.039538.9%37 W · 58 L-4.9wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-16.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7e7e…425ebacked Real Madrid CF75c40$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306953.6%37 W · 32 L+4.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+13.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd9fa…6745backed Olympiakós SFP60c37.21$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.85366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa26…c10abacked Real Madrid CF41c36.59$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x134f…cdb6backed Real Madrid CF45c31.38$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.12333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe09e…9f48backed Olympiakós SFP65c30.77$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.77757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+117.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x936b…c603backed Real Madrid CF64c30$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.21625%4 W · 12 L-3.8wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-57.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5366…73aabacked Real Madrid CF36c30$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.81560%9 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c69…66afbacked Real Madrid CF38c29.99$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.43148.4%15 W · 16 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfcad…0a68backed Olympiakós SFP66c29.89$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.093458.8%20 W · 14 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+18.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x63ba…12d4backed Olympiakós SFP61c29.41$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.47666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+20.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7cb4…40c3backed Real Madrid CF36c27.97$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.07333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick55cpaid-51%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Olympiakós SFP52c27$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.9616251.2%83 W · 79 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1365…97dfbacked Olympiakós SFP65c26.15$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.151553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-11.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2fac…58aabacked Real Madrid CF40c25.13$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.05911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.15per pick26cpaid-71.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa3d6…133ebacked Real Madrid CF40c25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe026…0404backed Olympiakós SFP61c24.66$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.512556%14 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-0.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Olympiakós SFP52c23$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.0417251.7%89 W · 83 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Olympiakós SFP52c23$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.0416753.3%89 W · 78 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Olympiakós SFP52c23$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.0417855.6%99 W · 79 L+7.7wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4bdf…9652backed Olympiakós SFP62c17$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.468053.8%43 W · 37 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.