Champions League · resolved market
Olympiakós SFP vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x25f402c2807d60347885d38850b697c3347a9a1ed1cc3837ada81d95056bbc8a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,769
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,761
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,769 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb1fe…9974backed Yes | 65c | 2,799$1,815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$983.63 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 35c | 2,077$727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$726.91 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 33c | 1,237$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.08 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 61c | 1,221$747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.2 | 338 | 51.5%174 W · 164 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked No | 40c | 999.99$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 123 | 54.5%67 W · 56 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 38c | 958.89$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.45 | 434 | 27.4%119 W · 315 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 60c | 658.95$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.93 | 306 | 57.5%176 W · 130 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 9c | 632.62$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.94 | 383 | 43.1%165 W · 218 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed No | 42c | 444$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.48 | 189 | 50.3%95 W · 94 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 58c | 343.19$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.14 | 375 | 44%165 W · 210 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb04…3ce1backed Yes | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.33 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed No | 21c | 323$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.54 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd12f…e80dbacked Yes | 65c | 230.85$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.85 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -5.8wins | -0.20per pick | 51cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9a54…f7f9backed Yes | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -4.1wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 13c | 150$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 291 | 42.3%123 W · 168 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Yes | 63c | 87.98$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.55 | 213 | 54%115 W · 98 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Yes | 63c | 87.97$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.55 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25e1…1046backed Yes | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 31cpaid | +93.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8aea…ec91backed Yes | 52c | 78$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.44 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed Yes | 65c | 61.54$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 35c | 57.29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.23 | 397 | 46.9%186 W · 211 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed No | 43c | 53$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.73 | 380 | 43.9%167 W · 213 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08d3…ee39backed No | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27e4…ff39backed No | 37c | 51.35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…00c6backed No | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.17per pick | 58cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe333…cf5fbacked Yes | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d00…a6f3backed Yes | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23e6…7bbfbacked Yes | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Olympiakós SFP vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Olympiakós SFP vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 1.5Over won
- Olympiakós SFP vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5Over won
- Olympiakós SFP vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5Over won
- Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)Olympiakós SFP won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.