La Liga · resolved market
Spread: Atletico Madrid (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0a5531ef78300e4a3fde18cf6f8c80e656a273f37e61e4660b5b2e19b6d3a356
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Levante UDof Atletico Madrid, Levante UD
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,112
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,259
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,112 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Atletico Madrid | 39c | 7,720$2,986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,985.51 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3102…187cbacked Levante UD | 61c | 6,000$3,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,340 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Levante UD | 62c | 1,650$1,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627 | 146 | 47.9%70 W · 76 L | +11.6wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Atletico Madrid | 35c | 431.67$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.69 | 146 | 45.2%66 W · 80 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f74…f2a6backed Levante UD | 65c | 412.31$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.31 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5a…1427backed Atletico Madrid | 38c | 394.74$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -6.6wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Levante UD | 62c | 326.46$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.45 | 274 | 53.6%147 W · 127 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed Levante UD | 62c | 220$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.6 | 93 | 47.3%44 W · 49 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x553b…f71cbacked Atletico Madrid | 37c | 149.99$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.5 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a47…cfbbbacked Atletico Madrid | 40c | 110$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa072…9e34backed Atletico Madrid | 33c | 105.85$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.41 | 266 | 41.4%110 W · 156 L | +15.2wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Atletico Madrid | 37c | 80$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 136 | 26.5%36 W · 100 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed Atletico Madrid | 29c | 64.29$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.74 | 150 | 51.3%77 W · 73 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab9…1437backed Levante UD | 63c | 63.49$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.49 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Levante UD | 59c | 43.9$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff8…3011backed Levante UD | 62c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x85d3…0698backed Levante UD | 64c | 39.06$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Levante UD | 63c | 37.38$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 532 | 46.1%245 W · 287 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa66b…6e61backed Levante UD | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5366…73aabacked Levante UD | 63c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b9c…a18fbacked Levante UD | 66c | 18.18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.18 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Atletico Madrid (-2.5)this page
- Atletico Madrid vs. Levante UD: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Atletico Madrid vs. Levante UD: O/U 3.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.