La Liga · resolved market
Atletico Madrid vs. Levante UD: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcce582be18a62725eeca902b1b2a0dbc1bec2611d12a1da29bb565102bd21939
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,409
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,726
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,409 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 43c | 2,485$1,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,406.91 | 280 | 55%154 W · 126 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe930…b44dbacked Under | 57c | 1,754$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +4.7wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Over | 48c | 1,110$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.15 | 274 | 53.6%147 W · 127 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba4…c08bbacked Under | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Under | 46c | 651.5$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.19 | 110 | 49.1%54 W · 56 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked Under | 34c | 279.12$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.08 | 171 | 55%94 W · 77 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 55c | 244$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.2 | 95 | 42.1%40 W · 55 L | -8.8wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a0…f967backed Over | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed Under | 32c | 190$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.8 | 93 | 47.3%44 W · 49 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb545…6e0abacked Under | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +4.8wins | +0.15per pick | 26cpaid | +100.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 57c | 159.59$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.41 | 146 | 45.2%66 W · 80 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Over | 64c | 120$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 228 | 59.6%136 W · 92 L | +18.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc225…4e1ebacked Under | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15e3…009fbacked Under | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -6.0wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x553b…f71cbacked Under | 54c | 88.71$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.9 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Over | 43c | 66.96$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.37 | 149 | 50.3%75 W · 74 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…a408backed Over | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.22 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 44c | 59$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.05 | 176 | 48.3%85 W · 91 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 47c | 52.84$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.24 | 532 | 46.1%245 W · 287 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfde8…c52fbacked Over | 65c | 50.77$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.77 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa072…9e34backed Over | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.3 | 266 | 41.4%110 W · 156 L | +15.2wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x110d…cd01backed Under | 58c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 131 | 57.3%75 W · 56 L | +11.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb97e…4d9abacked Under | 57c | 49.18$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.03 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 46c | 47.21$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.6 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x735a…3ef2backed Under | 57c | 44.2$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf270…6015backed Under | 32c | 41.25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8993…222dbacked Under | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ed…6d3cbacked Under | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 67cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecd8…c2e3backed Over | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46af…cd69backed Under | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.28per pick | 57cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over | 43c | 29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.53 | 96 | 37.5%36 W · 60 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf3…2b57backed Under | 57c | 21.05$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b9c…a18fbacked Under | 59c | 20.34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e0e…1512backed Under | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa03…eea2backed Under | 57c | 19.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 102 | 48%49 W · 53 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Atletico Madrid vs. Levante UD: O/U 3.5this page
- Atletico Madrid vs. Levante UD: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Spread: Atletico Madrid (-2.5)Levante UD won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.