CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Fluxo vs Keyd (BO3) - CCT South America Series 4 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6a9c59d014fd78d82165f381ebb296ffbceb08eaea59dd288076bdfb38661dca
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fluxoof Fluxo, Keyd
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,122
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,045
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,122 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 128 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Keyd | 36c | 9,606$3,431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,430.8 | 5,028 | 55%2,763 W · 2,265 L | +112.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Keyd | 37c | 8,194$2,991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,991.04 | 2,610 | 51.7%1,349 W · 1,261 L | +16.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Keyd | 18c | 2,348$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.68 | 1,396 | 38.9%543 W · 853 L | -41.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe8…bb28backed Fluxo | 66c | 1,821$1,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.29 | 220 | 44.5%98 W · 122 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54ea…f74abacked Fluxo | 66c | 1,800$1,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612 | 253 | 44.3%112 W · 141 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Keyd | 38c | 1,283$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.3 | 388 | 41.8%162 W · 226 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfac3…5728backed Keyd | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc754…4b1dbacked Fluxo | 64c | 929.36$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.7 | 337 | 40.9%138 W · 199 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Fluxo | 78c | 900.97$706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.81 | 1,017 | 53.4%543 W · 474 L | +65.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0af3…9cb5backed Fluxo | 61c | 892.89$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.23 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | +8.6wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed Fluxo | 71c | 875.64$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.8 | 1,605 | 52.6%845 W · 760 L | +57.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed Fluxo | 65c | 825.96$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.41 | 480 | 40%192 W · 288 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa02…8b07backed Fluxo | 71c | 797.59$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.38 | 496 | 66.7%331 W · 165 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d2…0ffebacked Fluxo | 62c | 766.82$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.82 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x992b…5053backed Fluxo | 63c | 750$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.07 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x207b…8118backed Fluxo | 62c | 670.25$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.87 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -4.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb86b…2549backed Fluxo | 62c | 653.28$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.28 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Keyd | 28c | 649.66$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.58 | 6,466 | 42.9%2,777 W · 3,689 L | -78.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc6…4b55backed Fluxo | 61c | 639.34$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.34 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…aa7dbacked Fluxo | 79c | 549.31$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.12 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23d1…52c5backed Fluxo | 62c | 522.89$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.7 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb71…4371backed Fluxo | 63c | 500$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185 | 853 | 51.7%441 W · 412 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50b3…90c7backed Keyd | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 21cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0146…4d51backed Fluxo | 63c | 441.89$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.6 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x442f…e80fbacked Keyd | 36c | 436.95$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.35 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x202f…7b58backed Fluxo | 62c | 424.3$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.23 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Keyd | 34c | 417.44$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.93 | 1,998 | 53.7%1,073 W · 925 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1967…30b5backed Fluxo | 62c | 412.21$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.76 | 292 | 46.9%137 W · 155 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked Fluxo | 61c | 410.21$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.98 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e48…6158backed Fluxo | 64c | 409.13$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.13 | 380 | 52.6%200 W · 180 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c5…7205backed Fluxo | 60c | 401.76$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.7 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Fluxo | 61c | 400$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Fluxo | 64c | 382$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.5 | 246 | 46.7%115 W · 131 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a34…ab72backed Fluxo | 72c | 356.53$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.53 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -3.2wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cb…082bbacked Fluxo | 63c | 346.66$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.86 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd3…226ebacked Keyd | 24c | 312.81$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.13 | 373 | 22.3%83 W · 290 L | -42.1wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -47%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd9…56cfbacked Fluxo | 61c | 300.91$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Keyd | 35c | 300.14$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.72 | 982 | 48.3%474 W · 508 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Fluxo | 68c | 299.99$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.39 | 912 | 45.8%418 W · 494 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53d3…cc48backed Fluxo | 63c | 298.89$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.88 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x08b5…77e9backed Fluxo | 63c | 294.89$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.23 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd30…fc9bbacked Fluxo | 61c | 286.54$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.75 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Fluxo | 74c | 281.97$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.03 | 482 | 51.7%249 W · 233 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Fluxo | 61c | 270$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.3 | 1,154 | 48.3%557 W · 597 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99fe…b61cbacked Fluxo | 64c | 267.46$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.03 | 482 | 42.1%203 W · 279 L | -13.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Keyd | 23c | 264.19$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.76 | 2,599 | 47.8%1,242 W · 1,357 L | -30.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba9…a8d8backed Fluxo | 61c | 262.6$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.3 | 402 | 66.2%266 W · 136 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3995…47edbacked Fluxo | 66c | 240$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.6 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3994…ff63backed Keyd | 19c | 231.58$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae22…3ab3backed Fluxo | 62c | 223.8$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.38 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +4.9wins | +0.12per pick | 39cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Keyd | 37c | 220$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.4 | 2,520 | 43%1,084 W · 1,436 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e20…e3c8backed Fluxo | 65c | 208.94$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.13 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86ca…bc47backed Fluxo | 61c | 205.18$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.02 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…f8febacked Fluxo | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff7e…8a0fbacked Fluxo | 62c | 196.13$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.53 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.25per pick | 55cpaid | -50%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Fluxo | 63c | 190.46$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.47 | 111 | 55%61 W · 50 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7797…7ddcbacked Fluxo | 61c | 177.99$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.42 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +32%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Keyd | 35c | 176.55$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.97 | 2,084 | 47%979 W · 1,105 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd13…dad6backed Keyd | 12c | 171.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | +59.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Fluxo | 68c | 160.09$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.73 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d4…2f1ebacked Fluxo | 66c | 160$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.4 | 291 | 56.7%165 W · 126 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…0f36backed Keyd | 35c | 154$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.9 | 738 | 54.5%402 W · 336 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Fluxo | 65c | 153.26$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.26 | 317 | 44.8%142 W · 175 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Fluxo | 66c | 152.58$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.29 | 378 | 48.1%182 W · 196 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c2b…825ebacked Fluxo | 66c | 150.38$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.38 | 131 | 51.1%67 W · 64 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe803…b60ebacked Fluxo | 63c | 149.59$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.35 | 321 | 58.3%187 W · 134 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3540…3c49backed Fluxo | 62c | 146$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.48 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Keyd | 36c | 138.98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.58 | 228 | 38.6%88 W · 140 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Fluxo | 67c | 136.09$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.38 | 1,606 | 46.8%752 W · 854 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30c7…ac3bbacked Keyd | 25c | 131.9$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.52 | 754 | 52.7%397 W · 357 L | +27.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…6bedbacked Fluxo | 80c | 125.34$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.34 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 72cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76ed…7817backed Keyd | 21c | 119.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 256 | 35.5%91 W · 165 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc59…35f7backed Fluxo | 66c | 113.64$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.64 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cff…3984backed Fluxo | 66c | 106.06$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.06 | 209 | 52.6%110 W · 99 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc4…21e3backed Fluxo | 63c | 105.05$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.94 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 69cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x234e…1160backed Keyd | 34c | 104.7$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.62 | 414 | 37%153 W · 261 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08e0…f4a0backed Keyd | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 835 | 56.2%469 W · 366 L | +31.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b96…4389backed Fluxo | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 370 | 57.3%212 W · 158 L | -16.4wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5be…bc54backed Keyd | 16c | 99.52$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 43 | 25.6%11 W · 32 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc2…a9ebbacked Fluxo | 62c | 95.5$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.29 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad3…1af6backed Fluxo | 66c | 90.91$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.91 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf908…0aafbacked Fluxo | 66c | 90.91$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.91 | 133 | 32.3%43 W · 90 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57e6…9622backed Keyd | 34c | 86$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.32 | 143 | 56.6%81 W · 62 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Keyd | 17c | 85.64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 2,309 | 45.1%1,041 W · 1,268 L | -62.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37bd…ed2abacked Keyd | 35c | 85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.12 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9e…fbfdbacked Fluxo | 64c | 81.25$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.25 | 543 | 43.5%236 W · 307 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78fb…56bcbacked Fluxo | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed28…87cebacked Fluxo | 64c | 75.15$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.05 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Fluxo | 73c | 68.95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.95 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb342…64b2backed Keyd | 44c | 59.09$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d72…a791backed Fluxo | 63c | 54.84$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.18 | 165 | 54.5%90 W · 75 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d99…9c27backed Keyd | 32c | 53.53$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.13 | 144 | 39.6%57 W · 87 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Keyd | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 673 | 50.1%337 W · 336 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc057…0c9abacked Keyd | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 78 | 30.8%24 W · 54 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Keyd | 37c | 49.1$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.24 | 447 | 47.2%211 W · 236 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0a…b267backed Keyd | 36c | 47.81$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.35 | 84 | 58.3%49 W · 35 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8818…f8acbacked Fluxo | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 166 | 60.8%101 W · 65 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x312c…ceecbacked Fluxo | 63c | 46.42$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.18 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5974…5c32backed Fluxo | 80c | 46.25$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 75 | 68%51 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa7…8332backed Fluxo | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Fluxo vs Keyd (BO3) - CCT South America Series 4 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Fluxo vs Keyd - Map 1 WinnerFluxo won
- Counter-Strike: Fluxo vs Keyd - Map 2 WinnerFluxo won
- Map Handicap: FX (-1.5) vs Keyd (+1.5)Fluxo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.