CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Fluxo vs Keyd - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb5193142ce631e073bfadd262c43edb266e6ff5e6fb2b828715ee9e417ed1f5b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fluxoof Fluxo, Keyd
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,462
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,871
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,462 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Keyd | 28c | 1,043$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.64 | 1,033 | 53.2%550 W · 483 L | +64.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…32cbbacked Keyd | 29c | 653.03$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.41 | 258 | 46.1%119 W · 139 L | +9.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7020…d655backed Fluxo | 73c | 541.32$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.3 | 131 | 47.3%62 W · 69 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x949e…20afbacked Fluxo | 42c | 476.19$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.19 | 432 | 37.7%163 W · 269 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Keyd | 36c | 430.29$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.52 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Fluxo | 76c | 390.15$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.87 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Fluxo | 70c | 256.99$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.06 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Keyd | 5c | 250$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 573 | 22.3%128 W · 445 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Fluxo | 63c | 227.06$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.01 | 919 | 45.8%421 W · 498 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Keyd | 22c | 211.42$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.66 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Fluxo | 75c | 195.34$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.88 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Fluxo | 73c | 187.5$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.03 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc0c…dac0backed Fluxo | 65c | 180$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 414 | 75.4%312 W · 102 L | +22.1wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Fluxo | 64c | 156.23$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.24 | 323 | 44.3%143 W · 180 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x442f…e80fbacked Keyd | 37c | 102.09$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.89 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…1068backed Fluxo | 78c | 88.46$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.46 | 323 | 61.6%199 W · 124 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccdc…dbe6backed Fluxo | 67c | 74.19$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.19 | 367 | 49.3%181 W · 186 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Fluxo | 65c | 64.05$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.67 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x145b…5f8fbacked Fluxo | 64c | 63.88$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.88 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 68cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f0b…f901backed Fluxo | 70c | 53.03$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.91 | 359 | 53.2%191 W · 168 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Fluxo | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.89 | 723 | 53.5%387 W · 336 L | +28.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Keyd | 38c | 49$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.62 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b73…02c0backed Keyd | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 40 | 72.5%29 W · 11 L | +5.2wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Keyd | 28c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Fluxo | 75c | 31$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.75 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Fluxo | 62c | 25.05$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.52 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Fluxo | 70c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6844…d538backed Fluxo | 70c | 21.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.61 | 115 | 57.4%66 W · 49 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba9…a8d8backed Fluxo | 61c | 17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.63 | 406 | 66.3%269 W · 137 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Fluxo | 70c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.45 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Fluxo vs Keyd - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Fluxo vs Keyd (BO3) - CCT South America Series 4 PlayoffsFluxo won
- Counter-Strike: Fluxo vs Keyd - Map 2 WinnerFluxo won
- Map Handicap: FX (-1.5) vs Keyd (+1.5)Fluxo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.