Fifa International · resolved market
Enner Valencia: 1+ goals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4dd85cef61b190fe26e958d7e59f3300aa1d83e8eb038f019de33abb5169fcb2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,164
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,045
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,164 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5452…d448backed No | 43c | 3,071$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,750.59 | 464 | 64.9%301 W · 163 L | +26.6wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1d…4162backed Yes | 57c | 2,632$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed No | 38c | 1,097$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.24 | 1,795 | 44.2%794 W · 1,001 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdac1…baddbacked No | 43c | 887.67$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.85 | 311 | 71.4%222 W · 89 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe62f…fca5backed Yes | 57c | 850.9$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.52 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed No | 43c | 795.34$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.46 | 379 | 59.1%224 W · 155 L | +20.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde1b…ccc9backed Yes | 64c | 770.15$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.04 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 43c | 735.67$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.93 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x886f…5e20backed Yes | 57c | 631.58$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 60 | 33.3%20 W · 40 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d54…4d13backed Yes | 58c | 500$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 43c | 401.71$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.99 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62bc…5053backed Yes | 59c | 311.16$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.08 | 201 | 49.3%99 W · 102 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed No | 43c | 292.28$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.6 | 215 | 42.8%92 W · 123 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfac3…5728backed Yes | 57c | 249.99$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.49 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed No | 45c | 224$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.48 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81a8…9c69backed No | 44c | 208.66$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.85 | 254 | 54.7%139 W · 115 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x555c…ee28backed Yes | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | +9.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f5f…1695backed Yes | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 372 | 23.9%89 W · 283 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e01…7ef0backed No | 44c | 168.29$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.26 | 379 | 71.2%270 W · 109 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 43c | 149.98$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.49 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d58…80b2backed Yes | 57c | 139$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.84 | 147 | 39.5%58 W · 89 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 62c | 128.41$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.02 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44aa…d1d5backed Yes | 55c | 99.98$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.99 | 88 | 46.6%41 W · 47 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x292a…e42fbacked Yes | 22c | 98.34$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.64 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 44c | 92$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.67 | 1,492 | 41%612 W · 880 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked No | 43c | 91$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.87 | 707 | 50.1%354 W · 353 L | +25.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f7…c8e4backed Yes | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 105 | 42.9%45 W · 60 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf85f…67c2backed Yes | 57c | 87.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +25%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked Yes | 55c | 84$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.2 | 1,206 | 50.2%606 W · 600 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…cf98backed Yes | 57c | 78.95$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 98 | 34.7%34 W · 64 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…87cfbacked Yes | 54c | 74.2$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.07 | 173 | 40.5%70 W · 103 L | +11.1wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca6…4b74backed Yes | 57c | 70$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.9 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3802…1a48backed Yes | 58c | 68.97$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 110 | 40.9%45 W · 65 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe26b…a9ecbacked No | 46c | 68.91$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.21 | 98 | 58.2%57 W · 41 L | +8.3wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +17%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x37b5…b6c8backed Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 115 | 26.1%30 W · 85 L | -8.0wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf563…4af5backed Yes | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 43c | 51$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.07 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16c8…1badbacked Yes | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 197 | 42.1%83 W · 114 L | -11.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd68d…959abacked Yes | 57c | 40.35$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 48 | 64.6%31 W · 17 L | +7.5wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…2e36backed No | 42c | 37.8$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.8 | 65 | 64.6%42 W · 23 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38e9…736dbacked Yes | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 297 | 66.7%198 W · 99 L | +14.0wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…98abbacked Yes | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 195 | 53.3%104 W · 91 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f2…cf88backed Yes | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2dca…da77backed Yes | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…df38backed Yes | 58c | 34.35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb078…289ebacked Yes | 60c | 33.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 207 | 56%116 W · 91 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d3…df21backed Yes | 57c | 31.58$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc482…f0bebacked Yes | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 77 | 29.9%23 W · 54 L | -5.4wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 43c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.25 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xb3b4…48b2backed Yes | 52c | 28.77$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…6b14backed Yes | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 667 | 45%300 W · 367 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56d1…1baabacked Yes | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 129 | 48.8%63 W · 66 L | +11.7wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d4…5c5ebacked Yes | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbac7…85b4backed No | 78c | 25.87$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.69 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72ee…a848backed Yes | 54c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed No | 43c | 24.28$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.84 | 172 | 71.5%123 W · 49 L | +12.8wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e94…776bbacked No | 43c | 23.8$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.57 | 87 | 42.5%37 W · 50 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc33…729cbacked Yes | 49c | 23.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1edf…6be6backed Yes | 57c | 20.35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +3.7wins | +0.16per pick | 43cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…a780backed Yes | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 208 | 25%52 W · 156 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5080…d89abacked Yes | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd377…b567backed Yes | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00bc…0719backed Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Enner Valencia: 1+ goalsthis page
- Alan Minda: 3+ goalsNo won
- Alan Minda: 3+ goals + assistsNo won
- Alan Minda: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Anthony Valencia: 1+ goalsNo won
- Anthony Valencia: 3+ goalsNo won
- Anthony Valencia: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Enner Valencia: 2+ goalsNo won
- Enner Valencia: 3+ goalsNo won
- Enner Valencia: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Gonzalo Plata: 1+ assistsNo won
- Gonzalo Plata: 1+ goalsNo won
- Gonzalo Plata: 2+ goalsNo won
- Gonzalo Plata: 3+ goalsNo won
- Gonzalo Plata: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Jeremy Arévalo: 3+ goalsNo won
- John Yeboah: 1+ goalsNo won
- John Yeboah: 2+ goalsNo won
- John Yeboah: 3+ goalsNo won
- John Yeboah: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Jordy Caicedo: 3+ goalsNo won
- Jordy Caicedo: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Kendry Páez: 3+ goalsNo won
- Kendry Páez: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Kevin Rodríguez: 3+ goalsNo won
- Kevin Rodríguez: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Nilson Angulo: 1+ shotsYes won
- Nilson Angulo: 2+ goalsNo won
- Nilson Angulo: 3+ goalsNo won
- Nilson Angulo: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Pedro Vite: 3+ goalsNo won
- Pedro Vite: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.