Fifa International · resolved market
Gonzalo Plata: 1+ goals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf4d981ec94d7a03d9d472ce442338bbbf800b850cfcf5c05f10484bec1a89465
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,021
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,133
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,021 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4c86…6993backed No | 69c | 910.02$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.01 | 215 | 42.8%92 W · 123 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdac1…baddbacked No | 68c | 499.99$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 311 | 71.4%222 W · 89 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd73…4da1backed Yes | 32c | 432.27$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.98 | 197 | 13.7%27 W · 170 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x555c…ee28backed Yes | 32c | 305$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.6 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | +9.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5452…d448backed No | 67c | 289.88$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.3 | 464 | 64.9%301 W · 163 L | +26.6wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked No | 70c | 266.72$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.18 | 707 | 50.1%354 W · 353 L | +25.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…6bdcbacked Yes | 30c | 249.98$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.99 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa76c…dc83backed Yes | 31c | 177.42$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 160 | 16.3%26 W · 134 L | -11.0wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf511…bfe4backed No | 66c | 176.52$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.02 | 145 | 79.3%115 W · 30 L | +17.0wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed No | 63c | 164.04$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 379 | 59.1%224 W · 155 L | +20.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x62bc…5053backed Yes | 33c | 160.95$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.61 | 201 | 49.3%99 W · 102 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed No | 73c | 159.03$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.07 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb52e…cdcebacked Yes | 31c | 150$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c6f…5b81backed Yes | 35c | 124.97$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.74 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…a780backed Yes | 27c | 114$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 208 | 25%52 W · 156 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e01…7ef0backed No | 69c | 98.66$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.12 | 379 | 71.2%270 W · 109 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9041…ddbabacked Yes | 37c | 94.59$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 113 | 38.9%44 W · 69 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 19c | 93.63$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x16c8…1badbacked Yes | 31c | 80.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 197 | 42.1%83 W · 114 L | -11.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 31c | 77.66$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.07 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f5d…946ebacked Yes | 36c | 75.16$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed No | 74c | 75$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.36 | 1,795 | 44.2%794 W · 1,001 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 67c | 59.3$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.55 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x500e…bd16backed Yes | 34c | 58.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 168 | 36.9%62 W · 106 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29bf…08a1backed Yes | 31c | 48.77$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 296 | 45.6%135 W · 161 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc0…8ccebacked Yes | 36c | 42.07$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed No | 64c | 39.2$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.11 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +9.8wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed No | 67c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2ca…4419backed No | 69c | 28.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.98 | 81 | 70.4%57 W · 24 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 75cpaid | -5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa06…74c3backed No | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 56 | 80.4%45 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 76cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Gonzalo Plata: 1+ goalsthis page
- Alan Minda: 3+ goalsNo won
- Alan Minda: 3+ goals + assistsNo won
- Alan Minda: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Anthony Valencia: 1+ goalsNo won
- Anthony Valencia: 3+ goalsNo won
- Anthony Valencia: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Enner Valencia: 1+ goalsNo won
- Enner Valencia: 2+ goalsNo won
- Enner Valencia: 3+ goalsNo won
- Enner Valencia: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Gonzalo Plata: 1+ assistsNo won
- Gonzalo Plata: 2+ goalsNo won
- Gonzalo Plata: 3+ goalsNo won
- Gonzalo Plata: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Jeremy Arévalo: 3+ goalsNo won
- John Yeboah: 1+ goalsNo won
- John Yeboah: 2+ goalsNo won
- John Yeboah: 3+ goalsNo won
- John Yeboah: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Jordy Caicedo: 3+ goalsNo won
- Jordy Caicedo: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Kendry Páez: 3+ goalsNo won
- Kendry Páez: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Kevin Rodríguez: 3+ goalsNo won
- Kevin Rodríguez: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Nilson Angulo: 1+ shotsYes won
- Nilson Angulo: 2+ goalsNo won
- Nilson Angulo: 3+ goalsNo won
- Nilson Angulo: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Pedro Vite: 3+ goalsNo won
- Pedro Vite: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.