Fifa International · resolved market
Enner Valencia: 2+ goals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe898c67e127b8b81c0e791ccacf47f1705c396c81c0fcdd7d50b1689611d030e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,052
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,064
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,052 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5452…d448backed No | 77c | 1,804$1,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415 | 464 | 64.9%301 W · 163 L | +26.6wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked No | 78c | 999.96$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.99 | 165 | 64.2%106 W · 59 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa76c…dc83backed Yes | 23c | 658.91$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 160 | 16.3%26 W · 134 L | -11.0wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ab…178dbacked Yes | 13c | 483.51$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.68 | 198 | 23.7%47 W · 151 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd35b…4a53backed Yes | 23c | 471$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.31 | 79 | 15.2%12 W · 67 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f5f…1695backed Yes | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 372 | 23.9%89 W · 283 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x886f…5e20backed Yes | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 60 | 33.3%20 W · 40 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23e6…7bbfbacked Yes | 23c | 200$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 177 | 27.1%48 W · 129 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa458…24dfbacked Yes | 22c | 159.09$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 67 | 28.4%19 W · 48 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76b3…f2e1backed Yes | 17c | 144.26$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed No | 78c | 140$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.1 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9041…ddbabacked Yes | 22c | 131.82$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 113 | 38.9%44 W · 69 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37b5…b6c8backed Yes | 23c | 101.42$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 115 | 26.1%30 W · 85 L | -8.0wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 22c | 100.88$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.32 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc482…f0bebacked Yes | 22c | 90$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 77 | 29.9%23 W · 54 L | -5.4wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 78c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 78c | 21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.62 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…2e36backed No | 75c | 18.92$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 65 | 64.6%42 W · 23 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Enner Valencia: 2+ goalsthis page
- Alan Minda: 3+ goalsNo won
- Alan Minda: 3+ goals + assistsNo won
- Alan Minda: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Anthony Valencia: 1+ goalsNo won
- Anthony Valencia: 3+ goalsNo won
- Anthony Valencia: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Enner Valencia: 1+ goalsNo won
- Enner Valencia: 3+ goalsNo won
- Enner Valencia: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Gonzalo Plata: 1+ assistsNo won
- Gonzalo Plata: 1+ goalsNo won
- Gonzalo Plata: 2+ goalsNo won
- Gonzalo Plata: 3+ goalsNo won
- Gonzalo Plata: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Jeremy Arévalo: 3+ goalsNo won
- John Yeboah: 1+ goalsNo won
- John Yeboah: 2+ goalsNo won
- John Yeboah: 3+ goalsNo won
- John Yeboah: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Jordy Caicedo: 3+ goalsNo won
- Jordy Caicedo: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Kendry Páez: 3+ goalsNo won
- Kendry Páez: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Kevin Rodríguez: 3+ goalsNo won
- Kevin Rodríguez: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Nilson Angulo: 1+ shotsYes won
- Nilson Angulo: 2+ goalsNo won
- Nilson Angulo: 3+ goalsNo won
- Nilson Angulo: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Pedro Vite: 3+ goalsNo won
- Pedro Vite: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.