TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Athletics vs. Arizona Diamondbacks

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Arizona Diamondbacksof Athletics, Arizona Diamondbacks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$575,972
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$584,053

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $575,972 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 277 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1136…0c2ebacked Athletics45c216,610$97,475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97,474.6913340.6%54 W · 79 L-14.4wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-21.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5e94…5ba1backed Arizona Diamondbacks55c182,755$100,515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82,239.5746949%230 W · 239 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Athletics19c50,512$9,390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,390.0710,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x684b…8409backed Arizona Diamondbacks55c30,000$16,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,499.926054.2%141 W · 119 L+8.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x26b4…b8a9backed Arizona Diamondbacks65c20,667$13,332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,334.6243554%235 W · 200 L-0.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x59f4…c1f1backed Athletics36c15,301$5,540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,540.17243.1%31 W · 41 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf152…64aabacked Athletics44c11,261$4,955 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,954.9877053.9%415 W · 355 L+8.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Athletics25c9,924$2,463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,463.0660043.3%260 W · 340 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Arizona Diamondbacks71c9,243$6,599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,643.758,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Athletics14c8,848$1,269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,268.6379442.4%337 W · 457 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Arizona Diamondbacks55c7,805$4,293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,512.383,45351.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L+58.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Athletics45c7,500$3,375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,37548952.8%258 W · 231 L+16.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Arizona Diamondbacks77c5,634$4,339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,295.278,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Athletics36c5,389$1,956 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,955.684,27947.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L-83.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f07…9d0fbacked Arizona Diamondbacks56c5,000$2,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,20027552.4%144 W · 131 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Athletics24c4,945$1,206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,206.122,96948.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L-5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Athletics22c4,885$1,084 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,083.652,02139.5%798 W · 1,223 L-25.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Athletics21c3,626$778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$777.6240043%172 W · 228 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Athletics13c3,374$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455.281,45642.7%622 W · 834 L-39.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x270c…f66fbacked Athletics3c3,001$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.05287.1%2 W · 26 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick4cpaid+133.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad46…e6a6backed Athletics3c3,000$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87697.2%5 W · 64 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick4cpaid+122.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e50…0ea8backed Athletics3c3,000$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87577%4 W · 53 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick3cpaid+83%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc2e7…91a2backed Athletics3c3,000$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87563.6%2 W · 54 L0.0wins0.00per pick4cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09af…9728backed Arizona Diamondbacks56c2,679$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,178.5789153.5%477 W · 414 L+24.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd0e6…4c4ebacked Athletics2c2,500$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60504%2 W · 48 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick3cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0160…c757backed Athletics2c2,500$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60533.8%2 W · 51 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick3cpaid+25.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Athletics22c2,337$512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512.178,47052.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L+510.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8718…5040backed Athletics48c2,101$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac3f…dc17backed Athletics10c2,083$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200560%3 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.36per pick24cpaid+94%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd2b0…5e5ebacked Athletics3c2,000$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57180%0 W · 18 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Arizona Diamondbacks72c1,941$1,402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$538.9282636.6%302 W · 524 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2802…347dbacked Athletics10c1,762$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1803636.1%13 W · 23 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Athletics23c1,752$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402.9491252.4%478 W · 434 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Arizona Diamondbacks79c1,677$1,331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.1495045.2%429 W · 521 L-12.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-22.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Arizona Diamondbacks55c1,648$906 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$741.486,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ed1…caa2backed Athletics31c1,618$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5009828.6%28 W · 70 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-22.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Athletics36c1,609$577 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$576.654,03557.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L+72.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce36…2b99backed Athletics24c1,587$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380.887132.4%23 W · 48 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick27cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Arizona Diamondbacks55c1,527$840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$687.151,40248.8%684 W · 718 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked Athletics31c1,508$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$467.5216945%76 W · 93 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x816b…d69dbacked Athletics41c1,438$597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$596.7111759%69 W · 48 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Athletics33c1,231$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40038353.5%205 W · 178 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Athletics25c1,135$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.943,45751.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L+108.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d9a…d10fbacked Athletics2c1,125$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.52236.4%8 W · 14 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked Arizona Diamondbacks67c1,040$698 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.575,12754.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L+232.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7a26…1589backed Athletics52c1,035$541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541.28551.8%44 W · 41 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8840…f51abacked Athletics2c1,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20320%0 W · 32 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Athletics38c999.99$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380.591,79643.8%786 W · 1,010 L-33.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9572…efffbacked Athletics33c978.36$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.971822.2%4 W · 14 L-3.9wins-0.22per pick44cpaid-65.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x91d7…0dfcbacked Athletics19c978$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.821855.6%10 W · 8 L+2.6wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+14.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Arizona Diamondbacks55c975$536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$438.751,55548.9%761 W · 794 L+1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0993…525fbacked Athletics33c916.34$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.731050%5 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa73a…656abacked Athletics8c909.67$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.3657758.1%335 W · 242 L+28.5wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+5.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Athletics2c869.78$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201,1807.2%85 W · 1,095 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-37.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x168c…f24bbacked Arizona Diamondbacks58c862.07$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.075263.5%33 W · 19 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Athletics41c844.01$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.0797944.4%435 W · 544 L-22.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-18%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Athletics20c843$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.482,29152.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L+24.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2002…a75ebacked Arizona Diamondbacks60c825.7$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.5515751.6%81 W · 76 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8c58…e330backed Athletics38c795.28$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.9188053.8%473 W · 407 L+41.0wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Arizona Diamondbacks80c733.25$583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.784,47848.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L-47.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x68cb…0000backed Arizona Diamondbacks65c724.58$473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.6448660.5%294 W · 192 L+40.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks55c721.7$397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.772,80049.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18f3…f871backed Arizona Diamondbacks79c693.57$549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.166100%6 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+55.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x70bb…10d3backed Athletics32c645.19$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.0527451.8%142 W · 132 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3b5…941abacked Athletics11c631.06$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.6623758.6%139 W · 98 L+16.9wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbcd6…f3c8backed Arizona Diamondbacks62c627.8$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.5637546.9%176 W · 199 L-8.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0b3…27d8backed Athletics4c621.43$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.85387.9%3 W · 35 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick9cpaid-79.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Athletics26c617.13$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.1912,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xafee…881ebacked Athletics34c616.25$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.315642.9%24 W · 32 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdfe4…3cbdbacked Athletics2c600$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1230%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Arizona Diamondbacks72c589.19$424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.632,01251.2%1,031 W · 981 L+43.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Athletics20c565$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.8794655.3%523 W · 423 L+31.5wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b45…362bbacked Athletics13c564.48$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.2817047.1%80 W · 90 L+4.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e59…2a66backed Athletics13c561.67$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.8621841.3%90 W · 128 L-0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Arizona Diamondbacks73c559.43$407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.964,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b11…5375backed Athletics13c556$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.421,77749.5%880 W · 897 L+25.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2de9…5289backed Arizona Diamondbacks72c544.23$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.3554945.4%249 W · 300 L-16.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0eb7…1f17backed Arizona Diamondbacks56c535.71$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.7134756.5%196 W · 151 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae68…7f0cbacked Arizona Diamondbacks74c497.87$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.871764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+18.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd692…8b9abacked Athletics22c494.77$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.3730529.8%91 W · 214 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b57…de6bbacked Athletics35c489.36$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.7914050.7%71 W · 69 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d90…bcd6backed Arizona Diamondbacks76c482$366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.553951.3%20 W · 19 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c32…7156backed Arizona Diamondbacks61c470.57$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.691,29950.9%661 W · 638 L-3.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35fa…2bd4backed Arizona Diamondbacks57c469.98$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.0917348%83 W · 90 L-7.4wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc822…650bbacked Athletics45c446.67$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2016756.7%38 W · 29 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8dd1…5a9bbacked Arizona Diamondbacks79c443.04$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.043357.6%19 W · 14 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xae34…3a8abacked Arizona Diamondbacks58c428$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.2535668.8%245 W · 111 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick68cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Athletics44c400$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.243,29146.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L+20.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x17d7…9e1ebacked Athletics34c399.18$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.41,00058.8%588 W · 412 L+26.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd316…6fc6backed Athletics15c395.34$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.2150%0 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x12cc…3587backed Arizona Diamondbacks56c370$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.84955.1%27 W · 22 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb3f8…e0b1backed Athletics20c350$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7012333.3%41 W · 82 L-5.9wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x48ec…8f36backed Arizona Diamondbacks43c347$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.19837.8%37 W · 61 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+14.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Athletics10c316.14$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.32,14750.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L+27.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x96f8…2560backed Arizona Diamondbacks72c315.4$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.821090%9 W · 1 L+2.2wins+0.22per pick68cpaid+28.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Arizona Diamondbacks70c307.69$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.821,14142.9%490 W · 651 L-37.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-25.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked Athletics25c303.79$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.396046.7%28 W · 32 L+4.3wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xca43…b369backed Arizona Diamondbacks53c300$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.517243%74 W · 98 L-8.9wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-13.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xeecd…4fefbacked Arizona Diamondbacks69c298.86$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.4319356.5%109 W · 84 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfbe6…4a1bbacked Arizona Diamondbacks10c295.36$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.82366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.47per pick19cpaid+351.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.