Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: Ecuador 3 - 0 Curaçao?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x895cd029af75a1dd343d2912a33f8491e18bbb6951b9011530fda56071ef73dd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $185,739
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $157,992
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $185,739 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 166 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 15c | 46,709$7,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,055.76 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a2…14b8backed Yes | 15c | 10,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 107 | 34.6%37 W · 70 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18b8…c368backed Yes | 15c | 6,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 177 | 33.9%60 W · 117 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 6c | 5,029$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.51 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Yes | 8c | 3,650$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.46 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85bb…9adabacked Yes | 15c | 3,333$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 324 | 29.9%97 W · 227 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ae…8eadbacked Yes | 14c | 2,508$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.45 | 355 | 14.4%51 W · 304 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18d4…69a9backed Yes | 16c | 2,500$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 251 | 24.7%62 W · 189 L | +14.5wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89cd…4d7dbacked Yes | 15c | 2,176$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.4 | 302 | 14.6%44 W · 258 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe471…c87cbacked Yes | 13c | 1,850$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.5 | 278 | 11.9%33 W · 245 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4edd…ddf1backed Yes | 3c | 1,697$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.31 | 270 | 34.4%93 W · 177 L | +14.4wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3cea…e48ebacked Yes | 9c | 1,557$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.43 | 241 | 46.1%111 W · 130 L | +8.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88d1…bfd0backed Yes | 15c | 1,333$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x662b…73a8backed Yes | 15c | 1,333$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 272 | 36%98 W · 174 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 6c | 1,297$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.37 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a5…6f1fbacked Yes | 15c | 1,161$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.15 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 3c | 1,147$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.55 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…5088backed Yes | 5c | 1,137$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.46 | 369 | 39.6%146 W · 223 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x301f…48abbacked Yes | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…a780backed Yes | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 208 | 25%52 W · 156 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e74…ec81backed Yes | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 286 | 26.9%77 W · 209 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3d…d65dbacked Yes | 14c | 999.94$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.99 | 388 | 17%66 W · 322 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…ca8dbacked Yes | 16c | 937.5$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 215 | 22.8%49 W · 166 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…c62cbacked Yes | 15c | 800$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 206 | 30.1%62 W · 144 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfac…bc1cbacked Yes | 16c | 718.75$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 62 | 22.6%14 W · 48 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1b…9876backed Yes | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 327 | 33%108 W · 219 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x662a…77b7backed Yes | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 266 | 18%48 W · 218 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfac3…5728backed Yes | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe78…1823backed Yes | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 52 | 21.2%11 W · 41 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16a4…66adbacked Yes | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 175 | 18.3%32 W · 143 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe619…6342backed Yes | 15c | 653.33$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 479 | 35.1%168 W · 311 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3944…bd50backed Yes | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 117 | 32.5%38 W · 79 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb47…3502backed Yes | 14c | 611.17$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.56 | 445 | 24.9%111 W · 334 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8aaa…51dfbacked Yes | 15c | 600$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 61 | 29.5%18 W · 43 L | +4.8wins | +0.08per pick | 22cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb143…f649backed Yes | 16c | 600$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 92 | 42.4%39 W · 53 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff8d…c814backed Yes | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 142 | 25.4%36 W · 106 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb905…088cbacked Yes | 15c | 570$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.5 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Yes | 16c | 534.24$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.97 | 580 | 29.5%171 W · 409 L | -19.9wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd26b…b09fbacked Yes | 15c | 533.33$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 357 | 14%50 W · 307 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe8b…517cbacked Yes | 15c | 533.33$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 186 | 14.5%27 W · 159 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea96…693abacked Yes | 15c | 515$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.25 | 149 | 40.3%60 W · 89 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00cf…d102backed Yes | 16c | 500$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 107 | 20.6%22 W · 85 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…67fdbacked Yes | 15c | 500$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 320 | 46.6%149 W · 171 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27ea…863dbacked Yes | 14c | 499.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 57 | 28.1%16 W · 41 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc7…f7debacked Yes | 15c | 433.33$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 149 | 39.6%59 W · 90 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d67…4d3ebacked Yes | 15c | 433.33$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 55 | 10.9%6 W · 49 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2a…2e15backed Yes | 15c | 400$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 99 | 44.4%44 W · 55 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcffd…109cbacked Yes | 12c | 400$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc487…ab80backed Yes | 15c | 400$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 74 | 58.1%43 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15fc…e2b0backed Yes | 15c | 393.33$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 459 | 32.5%149 W · 310 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5954…7d41backed Yes | 15c | 390.13$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.52 | 112 | 18.8%21 W · 91 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…be52backed Yes | 15c | 386.67$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +4.2wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +188.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…6f25backed Yes | 15c | 374.24$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.14 | 783 | 17.4%136 W · 647 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f4…f6a8backed Yes | 15c | 366.67$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -70.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed36…33d5backed Yes | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 87 | 33.3%29 W · 58 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4de9…41debacked Yes | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 44 | 15.9%7 W · 37 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa7…90febacked Yes | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 57 | 33.3%19 W · 38 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1877…78d7backed Yes | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaec8…4604backed Yes | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3771…5023backed Yes | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 93 | 17.2%16 W · 77 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe991…48b1backed Yes | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 336 | 41.7%140 W · 196 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe978…e193backed Yes | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8103…4d0abacked Yes | 15c | 323.6$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.54 | 283 | 26.1%74 W · 209 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16d4…6e9bbacked Yes | 11c | 316.75$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 211 | 28%59 W · 152 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf10a…d6c2backed Yes | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 510 | 45.3%231 W · 279 L | +21.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfd2…68b0backed Yes | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 71 | 15.5%11 W · 60 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd060…ce4fbacked Yes | 17c | 294.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 158 | 36.7%58 W · 100 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa6…3e62backed Yes | 15c | 280$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.7 | 319 | 20.1%64 W · 255 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e55…a3fbbacked Yes | 15c | 266.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 389 | 33.2%129 W · 260 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ae…428cbacked Yes | 15c | 266.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 373 | 20.9%78 W · 295 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x361b…74febacked Yes | 12c | 257$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.84 | 510 | 32.5%166 W · 344 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5641…6b17backed Yes | 15c | 253.27$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.99 | 112 | 42.9%48 W · 64 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66e5…d3c7backed Yes | 15c | 245.46$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.82 | 151 | 50.3%76 W · 75 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 6c | 230.02$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.56 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x56d1…1baabacked Yes | 15c | 213.75$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 129 | 48.8%63 W · 66 L | +11.7wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0341…9294backed Yes | 15c | 206.67$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 494 | 26.7%132 W · 362 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5af6…842ebacked Yes | 15c | 203.25$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.49 | 55 | 25.5%14 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa318…77cfbacked Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 110 | 9.1%10 W · 100 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1402…4853backed Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 153 | 17%26 W · 127 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00b7…af97backed Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 73 | 19.2%14 W · 59 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca3…bb21backed Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 308 | 18.5%57 W · 251 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0788…c287backed Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 184 | 17.4%32 W · 152 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd28…449dbacked Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 178 | 37.6%67 W · 111 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45ff…6412backed Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 365 | 30.7%112 W · 253 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c02…40d2backed Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd41…e14fbacked Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 77 | 29.9%23 W · 54 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -30%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc468…3f67backed Yes | 15c | 197.2$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.58 | 116 | 16.4%19 W · 97 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcff…3f5cbacked Yes | 15c | 194.07$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28ff…d56cbacked Yes | 15c | 193.33$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 148 | 31.8%47 W · 101 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6aae…91c6backed Yes | 16c | 187.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 291 | 41.6%121 W · 170 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0c…5034backed Yes | 16c | 187.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 116 | 34.5%40 W · 76 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68e9…845cbacked Yes | 15c | 186.67$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 308 | 31.2%96 W · 212 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b2…1becbacked Yes | 16c | 184.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.55 | 45 | 13.3%6 W · 39 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52e3…3337backed Yes | 15c | 176$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 142 | 49.3%70 W · 72 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4209…b161backed Yes | 15c | 167$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.05 | 67 | 11.9%8 W · 59 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa504…c842backed Yes | 15c | 166.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70d9…706cbacked Yes | 15c | 166.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc74b…4e15backed Yes | 15c | 166.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 76 | 13.2%10 W · 66 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad7f…18cdbacked Yes | 16c | 156.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 206 | 49.5%102 W · 104 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe71a…cdc1backed Yes | 15c | 153.33$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 128 | 28.9%37 W · 91 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Ecuador 3 - 0 Curaçao?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
- Exact Score: Ecuador 0 - 0 Curaçao?Yes won
- Exact Score: Ecuador 0 - 1 Curaçao?No won
- Exact Score: Ecuador 0 - 2 Curaçao?No won
- Exact Score: Ecuador 0 - 3 Curaçao?No won
- Exact Score: Ecuador 1 - 0 Curaçao?No won
- Exact Score: Ecuador 1 - 1 Curaçao?No won
- Exact Score: Ecuador 1 - 2 Curaçao?No won
- Exact Score: Ecuador 1 - 3 Curaçao?No won
- Exact Score: Ecuador 2 - 0 Curaçao?No won
- Exact Score: Ecuador 2 - 1 Curaçao?No won
- Exact Score: Ecuador 2 - 2 Curaçao?No won
- Exact Score: Ecuador 2 - 3 Curaçao?No won
- Exact Score: Ecuador 3 - 1 Curaçao?No won
- Exact Score: Ecuador 3 - 2 Curaçao?No won
- Exact Score: Ecuador 3 - 3 Curaçao?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.