Exact Score: Ecuador 2 - 1 Curaçao?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9b6803bfba644d38a575ea96b40cbc17ade7e182de1cc0c3a40547996aa3eba0

Rebuilt 2 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 20, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $94,201
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $93,129

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $94,201 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	8c	36,538$2,905 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,904.62	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc2f…a15fbacked Yes	8c	6,774$542 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$541.93	37	32.4%12 W · 25 L	+1.5wins	+0.04per pick	29cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x18b8…c368backed Yes	8c	3,500$280 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$280	177	33.9%60 W · 117 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa67d…dbecbacked Yes	7c	3,338$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	316	11.4%36 W · 280 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x662b…73a8backed Yes	9c	2,324$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	272	36%98 W · 174 L	-6.4wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe471…c87cbacked Yes	8c	1,250$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.99	278	11.9%33 W · 245 L	-1.1wins	0.00per pick	12cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5605…83e2backed Yes	8c	1,200$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96	351	10.8%38 W · 313 L	+4.5wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	+13.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe3f…abe7backed Yes	9c	1,111$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	79	10.1%8 W · 71 L	-2.9wins	-0.04per pick	14cpaid	-27.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x092f…2ff1backed Yes	8c	1,038$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83	120	15.8%19 W · 101 L	-5.5wins	-0.05per pick	20cpaid	-38.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Yes	6c	690.27$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.42	2,634	32.9%867 W · 1,767 L	+43.3wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x89cd…4d7dbacked Yes	8c	632$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.56	302	14.6%44 W · 258 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcfd2…8e36backed Yes	8c	625$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	58	20.7%12 W · 46 L	+4.0wins	+0.07per pick	14cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb71f…b2c8backed Yes	8c	625$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	29	51.7%15 W · 14 L	+0.8wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa7e…0332backed Yes	8c	450$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36	535	14.6%78 W · 457 L	+8.8wins	+0.02per pick	13cpaid	+19.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f74…5e73backed Yes	7c	385.71$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.6wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e55…a3fbbacked Yes	8c	375$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	389	33.2%129 W · 260 L	-6.4wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d67…4d3ebacked Yes	8c	375$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	55	10.9%6 W · 49 L	-4.0wins	-0.07per pick	18cpaid	-49.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd6b2…1becbacked Yes	10c	329.9$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.99	45	13.3%6 W · 39 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fca…dde6backed Yes	8c	325$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	132	6.8%9 W · 123 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	8cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70d9…706cbacked Yes	8c	312.5$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	50	30%15 W · 35 L	+3.4wins	+0.07per pick	23cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9628…741cbacked Yes	8c	312.5$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	34	23.5%8 W · 26 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	26cpaid	-46.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc094…c8d4backed Yes	9c	260.5$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.2	337	29.1%98 W · 239 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8cd8…7867backed Yes	10c	250$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	+1.1wins	+0.13per pick	24cpaid	+59.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x68e9…845cbacked Yes	8c	250$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	308	31.2%96 W · 212 L	+3.7wins	+0.01per pick	30cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10f0…9fc0backed Yes	8c	250$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	196	40.3%79 W · 117 L	+13.5wins	+0.07per pick	33cpaid	+21.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe888…74fdbacked Yes	8c	250$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	271	28.4%77 W · 194 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6745…232abacked Yes	8c	250$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	54	20.4%11 W · 43 L	-5.0wins	-0.09per pick	30cpaid	-62.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1729…6805backed Yes	10c	221$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.1	98	27.6%27 W · 71 L	-6.0wins	-0.06per pick	34cpaid	-16%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2f99…e0d5backed Yes	7c	214.29$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	159	20.1%32 W · 127 L	+3.2wins	+0.02per pick	18cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8fd4…9cf7backed Yes	8c	200$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	157	27.4%43 W · 114 L	-8.0wins	-0.05per pick	32cpaid	-25.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x323a…876fbacked Yes	8c	187.5$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	120	35%42 W · 78 L	+2.6wins	+0.02per pick	33cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc475…17bfbacked Yes	8c	187.5$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	147	8.8%13 W · 134 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	10cpaid	-34.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe47…3198backed Yes	8c	187.5$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	108	18.5%20 W · 88 L	-2.7wins	-0.03per pick	21cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x54f1…45c7backed Yes	8c	187.5$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	48	50%24 W · 24 L	+3.7wins	+0.08per pick	42cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xab4c…37f5backed Yes	8c	180.63$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.45	17	23.5%4 W · 13 L	+1.2wins	+0.07per pick	16cpaid	+20.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfba…583cbacked Yes	8c	180.25$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.42	927	32.1%298 W · 629 L	+5.8wins	+0.01per pick	32cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfaea…95a9backed Yes	8c	175$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	210	22.4%47 W · 163 L	-7.3wins	-0.03per pick	26cpaid	-27.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa7db…6688backed Yes	7c	166.7$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.67	167	40.7%68 W · 99 L	+4.0wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8dd5…b6f4backed Yes	9c	166.67$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	31	12.9%4 W · 27 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	14cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa637…a4fabacked Yes	8c	162.5$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd41…e14fbacked Yes	9c	162.5$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	77	29.9%23 W · 54 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	28cpaid	-30%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb3cf…2147backed Yes	8c	160$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.8	35	31.4%11 W · 24 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	30cpaid	-29.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a88…0296backed Yes	7c	157.14$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	226	27.9%63 W · 163 L	-4.8wins	-0.02per pick	30cpaid	-18%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x35c7…6021backed Yes	8c	150$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	186	25.3%47 W · 139 L	+5.8wins	+0.03per pick	22cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ab8…1920backed Yes	8c	144.14$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.89	35	34.3%12 W · 23 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	32cpaid	-25.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd8dc…cdfdbacked Yes	8c	137.5$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	49	16.3%8 W · 41 L	-1.6wins	-0.03per pick	20cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x34d5…131ebacked Yes	8c	130$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.4	75	6.7%5 W · 70 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	9cpaid	+20.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e0d…c3fbbacked Yes	8c	125$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	101	32.7%33 W · 68 L	-6.6wins	-0.06per pick	39cpaid	-25.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1455…0797backed Yes	8c	125$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	50	52%26 W · 24 L	+5.4wins	+0.11per pick	41cpaid	+13.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4171…5c96backed Yes	8c	125$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	23	43.5%10 W · 13 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-26.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2895…7db8backed Yes	8c	125$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	29	31%9 W · 20 L	+1.1wins	+0.04per pick	27cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x27de…9b6abacked Yes	8c	125$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	21	23.8%5 W · 16 L	-2.0wins	-0.10per pick	33cpaid	-22.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7711…2efcbacked Yes	8c	125$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	117	23.1%27 W · 90 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x33df…8e9dbacked Yes	8c	125$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	37	27%10 W · 27 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	26cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9edf…e412backed Yes	8c	125$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	-0.5wins	-0.04per pick	27cpaid	-57.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d22…2e6fbacked Yes	8c	125$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	35	45.7%16 W · 19 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4745…99eabacked Yes	8c	125$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	36	25%9 W · 27 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	27cpaid	-25.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5cd…83d5backed Yes	8c	125$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	22	9.1%2 W · 20 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	10cpaid	-58.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfddf…de2abacked Yes	8c	125$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	49	44.9%22 W · 27 L	+3.1wins	+0.06per pick	39cpaid	+20.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa1f9…6aa2backed Yes	8c	125$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	87	39.1%34 W · 53 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb7a…6345backed Yes	8c	125$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	35	34.3%12 W · 23 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	+12.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2295…17e6backed Yes	8c	125$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	65	29.2%19 W · 46 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe182…9f09backed Yes	8c	125$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	180	2.8%5 W · 175 L	-7.8wins	-0.04per pick	7cpaid	-65.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7393…751abacked Yes	8c	125$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	200	3%6 W · 194 L	-6.1wins	-0.03per pick	6cpaid	-59.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0b59…be19backed Yes	8c	125$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	323	12.1%39 W · 284 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-13%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb81…e68bbacked Yes	8c	125$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	75	33.3%25 W · 50 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	32cpaid	+11.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b81…9ca3backed Yes	8c	125$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	45	37.8%17 W · 28 L	-1.1wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6041…c201backed Yes	8c	125$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	15cpaid	-64.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3097…8626backed Yes	8c	125$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	10	10%1 W · 9 L	-0.8wins	-0.08per pick	18cpaid	0%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Exact Score: Ecuador 2 - 1 Curaçao?this page
Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
Exact Score: Ecuador 0 - 0 Curaçao?Yes won
Exact Score: Ecuador 0 - 1 Curaçao?No won
Exact Score: Ecuador 0 - 2 Curaçao?No won
Exact Score: Ecuador 0 - 3 Curaçao?No won
Exact Score: Ecuador 1 - 0 Curaçao?No won
Exact Score: Ecuador 1 - 1 Curaçao?No won
Exact Score: Ecuador 1 - 2 Curaçao?No won
Exact Score: Ecuador 1 - 3 Curaçao?No won
Exact Score: Ecuador 2 - 0 Curaçao?No won
Exact Score: Ecuador 2 - 2 Curaçao?No won
Exact Score: Ecuador 2 - 3 Curaçao?No won
Exact Score: Ecuador 3 - 0 Curaçao?No won
Exact Score: Ecuador 3 - 1 Curaçao?No won
Exact Score: Ecuador 3 - 2 Curaçao?No won
Exact Score: Ecuador 3 - 3 Curaçao?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Exact Score: Ecuador 2 - 1 Curaçao?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event