Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: Ecuador 3 - 1 Curaçao?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xca7cc2057044caeb97d185d0dbb9af83a5e0d9d2140eb538f6396b0ae11b95b4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $157,402
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $152,552
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $157,402 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 7c | 50,924$3,563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,562.84 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18b8…c368backed Yes | 7c | 6,964$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 177 | 33.9%60 W · 117 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7859…012ebacked Yes | 7c | 4,069$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.86 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x662b…73a8backed Yes | 7c | 2,780$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 272 | 36%98 W · 174 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34a9…9e88backed Yes | 7c | 2,500$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 53 | 24.5%13 W · 40 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06f8…2062backed Yes | 6c | 2,439$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 59 | 16.9%10 W · 49 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5123…2f31backed Yes | 5c | 2,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 174 | 14.4%25 W · 149 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff8d…c814backed Yes | 7c | 1,511$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 142 | 25.4%36 W · 106 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf346…8232backed Yes | 7c | 1,503$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.21 | 255 | 10.6%27 W · 228 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Yes | 8c | 1,500$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 228 | 13.2%30 W · 198 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcd2…0381backed Yes | 4c | 1,331$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 108 | 19.4%21 W · 87 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…7a1bbacked Yes | 7c | 1,071$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 99 | 7.1%7 W · 92 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf8a…2d3cbacked Yes | 7c | 1,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 262 | 16%42 W · 220 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | +35%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf123…feacbacked Yes | 7c | 1,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | +92.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfac…bc1cbacked Yes | 7c | 999.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 62 | 22.6%14 W · 48 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27ea…863dbacked Yes | 7c | 999.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 57 | 28.1%16 W · 41 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…a780backed Yes | 8c | 847$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.76 | 208 | 25%52 W · 156 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 3c | 800$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5af6…842ebacked Yes | 6c | 795.3$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.74 | 55 | 25.5%14 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfd2…68b0backed Yes | 6c | 773.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 71 | 15.5%11 W · 60 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69e3…0078backed Yes | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 116 | 19.8%23 W · 93 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Yes | 5c | 683.82$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.03 | 333 | 50.5%168 W · 165 L | +24.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3771…5023backed Yes | 8c | 625$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 93 | 17.2%16 W · 77 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b2…1becbacked Yes | 7c | 571.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 45 | 13.3%6 W · 39 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f4…f6a8backed Yes | 7c | 571.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -70.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61ac…4781backed Yes | 7c | 499.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 525 | 22.5%118 W · 407 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb04f…15a8backed Yes | 7c | 492.86$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 37 | 5.4%2 W · 35 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d67…4d3ebacked Yes | 7c | 485.71$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 55 | 10.9%6 W · 49 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2463…e21bbacked Yes | 7c | 428.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 268 | 36.9%99 W · 169 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca4d…5b1dbacked Yes | 7c | 428.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 81 | 16%13 W · 68 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae7…087fbacked Yes | 7c | 418.43$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.29 | 90 | 23.3%21 W · 69 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f99…e0d5backed Yes | 4c | 416.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 159 | 20.1%32 W · 127 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7e…0332backed Yes | 8c | 400$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 535 | 14.6%78 W · 457 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…be52backed Yes | 7c | 400$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +4.2wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +188.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x66da…69b0backed Yes | 8c | 380$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 154 | 24.7%38 W · 116 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa026…6d14backed Yes | 8c | 375$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 98 | 27.6%27 W · 71 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6c…998fbacked Yes | 7c | 375$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.25 | 250 | 31.6%79 W · 171 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1729…6805backed Yes | 8c | 375$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 98 | 27.6%27 W · 71 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfe…3a5dbacked Yes | 8c | 375$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 169 | 43.2%73 W · 96 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc468…3f67backed Yes | 8c | 369.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.58 | 116 | 16.4%19 W · 97 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fca…dde6backed Yes | 7c | 358.71$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.11 | 132 | 6.8%9 W · 123 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe619…6342backed Yes | 7c | 357.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 479 | 35.1%168 W · 311 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a06…d62fbacked Yes | 6c | 350$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 458 | 20.3%93 W · 365 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d4a…b3c5backed Yes | 7c | 337.43$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.62 | 356 | 12.6%45 W · 311 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe888…74fdbacked Yes | 6c | 333.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 271 | 28.4%77 W · 194 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0341…9294backed Yes | 7c | 314.29$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 494 | 26.7%132 W · 362 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 7c | 310.83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.24 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2a…2e15backed Yes | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 99 | 44.4%44 W · 55 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c6…1462backed Yes | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 311 | 19.3%60 W · 251 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…c62cbacked Yes | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 206 | 30.1%62 W · 144 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0060…5dd4backed Yes | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 173 | 12.7%22 W · 151 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x924c…497ebacked Yes | 9c | 277.78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 5c | 268.14$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 190 | 26.3%50 W · 140 L | -10.1wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49e2…0124backed Yes | 6c | 250$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 28 | 3.6%1 W · 27 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 10cpaid | -78%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61de…ed31backed Yes | 7c | 249.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 121 | 32.2%39 W · 82 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc475…17bfbacked Yes | 7c | 216.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 147 | 8.8%13 W · 134 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8826…4773backed Yes | 7c | 214.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 149 | 41.6%62 W · 87 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc74b…4e15backed Yes | 7c | 214.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 76 | 13.2%10 W · 66 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34b6…5e52backed Yes | 7c | 214.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 33 | 15.2%5 W · 28 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69b5…7b80backed Yes | 7c | 214.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 11cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9bf…8ec8backed Yes | 7c | 214.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 255 | 28.6%73 W · 182 L | -12.7wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68e9…845cbacked Yes | 7c | 214.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 308 | 31.2%96 W · 212 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf48…d8c6backed Yes | 7c | 214.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 99 | 25.3%25 W · 74 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaea…95a9backed Yes | 7c | 214.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 210 | 22.4%47 W · 163 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54f1…45c7backed Yes | 7c | 214.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e97…1815backed Yes | 7c | 214.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa318…77cfbacked Yes | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 110 | 9.1%10 W · 100 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b5…ca2dbacked Yes | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 129 | 14.7%19 W · 110 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfd…038bbacked Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 364 | 23.6%86 W · 278 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ebd…29c7backed Yes | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa7…eccfbacked Yes | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…f98bbacked Yes | 7c | 190$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 111 | 35.1%39 W · 72 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f83…8568backed Yes | 6c | 159.42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 40 | 7.5%3 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09bf…87aabacked Yes | 7c | 157.14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0a5…0f5abacked Yes | 11c | 136.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 94 | 36.2%34 W · 60 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0d…c3fbbacked Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 101 | 32.7%33 W · 68 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3922…0670backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 103 | 50.5%52 W · 51 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cd…83d5backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7393…751abacked Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 200 | 3%6 W · 194 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b59…be19backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 323 | 12.1%39 W · 284 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Ecuador 3 - 1 Curaçao?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
- Exact Score: Ecuador 0 - 0 Curaçao?Yes won
- Exact Score: Ecuador 0 - 1 Curaçao?No won
- Exact Score: Ecuador 0 - 2 Curaçao?No won
- Exact Score: Ecuador 0 - 3 Curaçao?No won
- Exact Score: Ecuador 1 - 0 Curaçao?No won
- Exact Score: Ecuador 1 - 1 Curaçao?No won
- Exact Score: Ecuador 1 - 2 Curaçao?No won
- Exact Score: Ecuador 1 - 3 Curaçao?No won
- Exact Score: Ecuador 2 - 0 Curaçao?No won
- Exact Score: Ecuador 2 - 1 Curaçao?No won
- Exact Score: Ecuador 2 - 2 Curaçao?No won
- Exact Score: Ecuador 2 - 3 Curaçao?No won
- Exact Score: Ecuador 3 - 0 Curaçao?No won
- Exact Score: Ecuador 3 - 2 Curaçao?No won
- Exact Score: Ecuador 3 - 3 Curaçao?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.