Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: Ecuador 2 - 0 Curaçao?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8d187a1bacca11b38d583c01b7e87c680ee7998b7f0fd8a4b4b1a122ed3171bd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $123,761
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $113,538
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $123,761 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 164 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 17c | 33,705$5,856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,855.6 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82a1…569cbacked Yes | 17c | 4,500$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765 | 112 | 45.5%51 W · 61 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 17c | 3,005$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.92 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85bb…9adabacked Yes | 17c | 2,941$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 324 | 29.9%97 W · 227 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Yes | 14c | 2,823$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.82 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17f1…af18backed Yes | 17c | 2,000$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 54 | 5.6%3 W · 51 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18b8…c368backed Yes | 17c | 1,763$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.76 | 177 | 33.9%60 W · 117 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4a…49b4backed Yes | 17c | 1,176$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x662b…73a8backed Yes | 17c | 1,176$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 272 | 36%98 W · 174 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf123…feacbacked Yes | 17c | 1,176$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | +92.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa67d…dbecbacked Yes | 22c | 1,136$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 316 | 11.4%36 W · 280 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75a7…2d61backed Yes | 20c | 1,023$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.54 | 103 | 28.2%29 W · 74 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3d…d65dbacked Yes | 16c | 1,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 388 | 17%66 W · 322 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…ca8dbacked Yes | 17c | 882.35$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 215 | 22.8%49 W · 166 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e74…ec81backed Yes | 17c | 853.94$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.17 | 286 | 26.9%77 W · 209 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd26b…b09fbacked Yes | 18c | 666.67$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 357 | 14%50 W · 307 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x662a…77b7backed Yes | 17c | 647.06$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 266 | 18%48 W · 218 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1b…9876backed Yes | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 327 | 33%108 W · 219 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…b651backed Yes | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 57 | 28.1%16 W · 41 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e33…73e7backed Yes | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 145 | 23.4%34 W · 111 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +47%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe8b…517cbacked Yes | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 186 | 14.5%27 W · 159 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2645…0508backed Yes | 17c | 568.35$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.62 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3944…bd50backed Yes | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 117 | 32.5%38 W · 79 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff8d…c814backed Yes | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 142 | 25.4%36 W · 106 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5605…83e2backed Yes | 18c | 555$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 351 | 10.8%38 W · 313 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe745…5681backed Yes | 17c | 536.12$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.14 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd31d…3d13backed Yes | 17c | 529.41$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39e4…03d4backed Yes | 17c | 515.12$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.57 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb905…088cbacked Yes | 17c | 502.94$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.5 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc29…383bbacked Yes | 16c | 500$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 246 | 26%64 W · 182 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf346…8232backed Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 255 | 10.6%27 W · 228 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e32…4e3ebacked Yes | 20c | 488.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 135 | 27.4%37 W · 98 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4a2…b646backed Yes | 21c | 486.94$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 224 | 21.9%49 W · 175 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b81…9ca3backed Yes | 17c | 411.76$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…a780backed Yes | 19c | 400$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 208 | 25%52 W · 156 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aaa…51dfbacked Yes | 17c | 399.99$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 61 | 29.5%18 W · 43 L | +4.8wins | +0.08per pick | 22cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbba9…2e70backed Yes | 17c | 352.94$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 198 | 17.2%34 W · 164 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2a…2e15backed Yes | 17c | 352.94$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 99 | 44.4%44 W · 55 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6421…d815backed Yes | 18c | 333.33$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 17c | 316.8$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.04 | 190 | 26.3%50 W · 140 L | -10.1wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49f2…b3c3backed Yes | 22c | 303.18$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.7 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc7…f7debacked Yes | 17c | 300$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 149 | 39.6%59 W · 90 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf10a…d6c2backed Yes | 17c | 294.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 510 | 45.3%231 W · 279 L | +21.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8431…bd3abacked Yes | 17c | 294.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 117 | 20.5%24 W · 93 L | -6.8wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb71f…b2c8backed Yes | 17c | 294.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf85b…48b9backed Yes | 17c | 294.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4de9…41debacked Yes | 17c | 294.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 44 | 15.9%7 W · 37 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1877…78d7backed Yes | 17c | 294.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf4e…bd80backed Yes | 17c | 294.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 149 | 46.3%69 W · 80 L | +9.7wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0182…301cbacked Yes | 18c | 280.63$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 95 | 40%38 W · 57 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd060…ce4fbacked Yes | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 158 | 36.7%58 W · 100 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x494e…d3dbbacked Yes | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 389 | 24.4%95 W · 294 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3bf…e70fbacked Yes | 16c | 250$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 405 | 15.3%62 W · 343 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74a4…fb64backed Yes | 17c | 249.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.5 | 77 | 20.8%16 W · 61 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9a…5ca0backed Yes | 16c | 243.13$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.29 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66da…69b0backed Yes | 17c | 236$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.12 | 154 | 24.7%38 W · 116 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e55…a3fbbacked Yes | 17c | 235.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 389 | 33.2%129 W · 260 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc93a…ecbbbacked Yes | 18c | 222.22$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa2fc…b1b4backed Yes | 17c | 221.59$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.53 | 366 | 34.4%126 W · 240 L | -24.4wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x763e…586ebacked Yes | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -50%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x852f…b882backed Yes | 16c | 209.19$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa318…77cfbacked Yes | 17c | 199.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 110 | 9.1%10 W · 100 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5af6…842ebacked Yes | 17c | 189.97$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.29 | 55 | 25.5%14 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x776f…32b7backed Yes | 17c | 188.24$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 52 | 26.9%14 W · 38 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4209…b161backed Yes | 16c | 188$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.08 | 67 | 11.9%8 W · 59 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cd8…7867backed Yes | 16c | 187.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 24cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 11c | 178.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.56 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47b9…27b4backed Yes | 17c | 176.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0c…5034backed Yes | 17c | 176.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 116 | 34.5%40 W · 76 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x301f…48abbacked Yes | 17c | 176.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd41…e14fbacked Yes | 17c | 176.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 77 | 29.9%23 W · 54 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -30%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45ff…6412backed Yes | 17c | 176.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 365 | 30.7%112 W · 253 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c6…1462backed Yes | 17c | 176.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 311 | 19.3%60 W · 251 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8da1…a0d3backed Yes | 17c | 176.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 279 | 9.7%27 W · 252 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9628…741cbacked Yes | 17c | 176.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae33…ba39backed Yes | 17c | 171.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 190 | 42.6%81 W · 109 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x594d…4876backed Yes | 17c | 170.59$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc959…c37fbacked Yes | 18c | 166.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 360 | 23.6%85 W · 275 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf621…544ebacked Yes | 18c | 166.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f2…ed60backed Yes | 18c | 166.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52e3…3337backed Yes | 16c | 164.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 142 | 49.3%70 W · 72 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca4d…5b1dbacked Yes | 21c | 164.14$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 81 | 16%13 W · 68 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c22…cafbbacked Yes | 17c | 162.47$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.62 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb78d…835dbacked Yes | 21c | 148.81$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.25 | 272 | 42.3%115 W · 157 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16d4…6e9bbacked Yes | 17c | 147.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 211 | 28%59 W · 152 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70d9…706cbacked Yes | 17c | 147.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68e9…845cbacked Yes | 17c | 147.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 308 | 31.2%96 W · 212 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3af2…5212backed Yes | 17c | 147.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 174 | 47.7%83 W · 91 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb47…3502backed Yes | 16c | 139.24$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.28 | 445 | 24.9%111 W · 334 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b79…e5d8backed Yes | 22c | 131.95$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.03 | 231 | 42.4%98 W · 133 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7393…751abacked Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 200 | 3%6 W · 194 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 16c | 124.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.78 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e8a…2ad7backed Yes | 17c | 123.53$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 70 | 25.7%18 W · 52 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 19cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x55e3…b615backed Yes | 18c | 122.22$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 632 | 29.3%185 W · 447 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2a…9450backed Yes | 18c | 120.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.78 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0788…c287backed Yes | 17c | 120$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 184 | 17.4%32 W · 152 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Yes | 16c | 119.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.59 | 580 | 29.5%171 W · 409 L | -19.9wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x014b…c795backed Yes | 21c | 119.05$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -3.0wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x80ca…7f2fbacked Yes | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00b7…af97backed Yes | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 73 | 19.2%14 W · 59 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Ecuador 2 - 0 Curaçao?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
- Exact Score: Ecuador 0 - 0 Curaçao?Yes won
- Exact Score: Ecuador 0 - 1 Curaçao?No won
- Exact Score: Ecuador 0 - 2 Curaçao?No won
- Exact Score: Ecuador 0 - 3 Curaçao?No won
- Exact Score: Ecuador 1 - 0 Curaçao?No won
- Exact Score: Ecuador 1 - 1 Curaçao?No won
- Exact Score: Ecuador 1 - 2 Curaçao?No won
- Exact Score: Ecuador 1 - 3 Curaçao?No won
- Exact Score: Ecuador 2 - 1 Curaçao?No won
- Exact Score: Ecuador 2 - 2 Curaçao?No won
- Exact Score: Ecuador 2 - 3 Curaçao?No won
- Exact Score: Ecuador 3 - 0 Curaçao?No won
- Exact Score: Ecuador 3 - 1 Curaçao?No won
- Exact Score: Ecuador 3 - 2 Curaçao?No won
- Exact Score: Ecuador 3 - 3 Curaçao?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.