Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Peru Rejects (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc89d253ec810a09a9ea19cfe118ce39719b4e1ff4c74bc114468a9fa3389d97f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Xtreme Gamingof Xtreme Gaming, Peru Rejects
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,621
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,048
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,621 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4fe9…706abacked Xtreme Gaming | 56c | 4,414$2,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,932.22 | 158 | 52.5%83 W · 75 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdfb…980cbacked Peru Rejects | 36c | 2,106$758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$758.01 | 175 | 46.9%82 W · 93 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Peru Rejects | 35c | 1,774$626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626.23 | 628 | 41.1%258 W · 370 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x490a…1d4bbacked Peru Rejects | 41c | 1,503$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.86 | 79 | 35.4%28 W · 51 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Peru Rejects | 50c | 1,433$723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$722.93 | 364 | 42.3%154 W · 210 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Xtreme Gaming | 70c | 1,353$947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.9 | 610 | 57.9%353 W · 257 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Peru Rejects | 31c | 1,300$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 197 | 43.1%85 W · 112 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03ea…6254backed Peru Rejects | 30c | 1,263$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.98 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Peru Rejects | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 399 | 36.8%147 W · 252 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x953e…79ffbacked Peru Rejects | 36c | 854.82$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.27 | 280 | 50%140 W · 140 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac0d…b006backed Xtreme Gaming | 69c | 821.63$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.71 | 106 | 61.3%65 W · 41 L | +10.4wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x091e…3432backed Xtreme Gaming | 72c | 803.17$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.4 | 114 | 52.6%60 W · 54 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cdb…4d30backed Xtreme Gaming | 69c | 750.57$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.68 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +7.2wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Xtreme Gaming | 70c | 736$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.8 | 253 | 48.6%123 W · 130 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed Peru Rejects | 31c | 708.87$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.75 | 568 | 48.8%277 W · 291 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00a1…5062backed Peru Rejects | 33c | 707.25$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.97 | 213 | 46.5%99 W · 114 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a37…869bbacked Xtreme Gaming | 75c | 533.82$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.82 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeceb…8d0dbacked Peru Rejects | 45c | 479.02$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.56 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8052…1124backed Xtreme Gaming | 28c | 443.73$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.95 | 171 | 46.8%80 W · 91 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Peru Rejects | 58c | 409.1$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237 | 552 | 51.6%285 W · 267 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9942…5c84backed Xtreme Gaming | 73c | 373.13$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.13 | 264 | 53%140 W · 124 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd56b…342dbacked Xtreme Gaming | 55c | 365.09$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.09 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Peru Rejects | 29c | 341.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.43 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d7c…b7dbbacked Peru Rejects | 38c | 308.76$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.33 | 179 | 46.9%84 W · 95 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae8f…e8b1backed Peru Rejects | 32c | 303.66$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.17 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -5.0wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Peru Rejects | 15c | 300$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 641 | 23.4%150 W · 491 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7373…3964backed Xtreme Gaming | 50c | 294.55$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.38 | 127 | 55.1%70 W · 57 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3703…2795backed Peru Rejects | 44c | 226.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 153 | 41.2%63 W · 90 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Xtreme Gaming | 53c | 197.62$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.88 | 235 | 29.4%69 W · 166 L | -21.5wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xac93…0cfcbacked Xtreme Gaming | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 581 | 52.5%305 W · 276 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe99e…0084backed Xtreme Gaming | 71c | 140.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.99 | 876 | 45.7%400 W · 476 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3d…5d4cbacked Peru Rejects | 11c | 137.52$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.13 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 37cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Peru Rejects | 29c | 130.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.99 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0719…c6b9backed Peru Rejects | 10c | 113.34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a1…dd34backed Xtreme Gaming | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 198 | 56.1%111 W · 87 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa541…d860backed Peru Rejects | 17c | 84.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 30 | 3.3%1 W · 29 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 15cpaid | -81.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde17…68d2backed Xtreme Gaming | 45c | 75.14$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.49 | 179 | 50.3%90 W · 89 L | +14.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Peru Rejects | 32c | 74.52$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.18 | 616 | 9.7%60 W · 556 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e98…3e80backed Peru Rejects | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -4.1wins | -0.18per pick | 57cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9718…dd82backed Peru Rejects | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 86 | 36%31 W · 55 L | -7.7wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…e041backed Xtreme Gaming | 75c | 58.49$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.49 | 555 | 61.8%343 W · 212 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd17d…d0eebacked Xtreme Gaming | 72c | 35.01$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.82 | 192 | 46.4%89 W · 103 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcccc…dbddbacked Xtreme Gaming | 69c | 34.08$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 199 | 43.2%86 W · 113 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…4ab2backed Peru Rejects | 74c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 282 | 44%124 W · 158 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eb3…0710backed Xtreme Gaming | 47c | 27.66$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.66 | 111 | 63.1%70 W · 41 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebf4…181ebacked Peru Rejects | 74c | 20.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.43 | 107 | 70.1%75 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Peru Rejects (BO3)this page
- Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Peru Rejects - Game 1 WinnerPeru Rejects won
- Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Peru Rejects - Game 2 WinnerXtreme Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.