TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Team Liquidof Team Spirit, Team Liquid
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$84,454
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$87,558

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $84,454 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 200 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf9b5…09eebacked Team Liquid46c11,392$5,189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,203.4555157%314 W · 237 L+17.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0b00…5b7ebacked Team Liquid43c5,000$2,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,8501100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xedb0…ae05backed Team Liquid43c5,000$2,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,8501100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e88…5ddabacked Team Liquid50c4,464$2,244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,219.597562.7%47 W · 28 L+11.2wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+24.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x500f…94bfbacked Team Spirit59c3,552$2,111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,111.2313558.5%79 W · 56 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xac70…2d8dbacked Team Spirit44c2,943$1,302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,301.779245.7%42 W · 50 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Team Spirit11c2,812$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.3714121.3%30 W · 111 L-10.5wins-0.07per pick29cpaid-60.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf801…901cbacked Team Liquid51c2,735$1,395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,340.243834.2%13 W · 25 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-19.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xeea6…135fbacked Team Spirit47c2,433$1,147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,147.466142.6%26 W · 35 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa42e…9a1cbacked Team Spirit12c2,340$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.82763%17 W · 10 L+3.1wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+30.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Team Liquid49c2,082$1,015 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,067.71,82145%820 W · 1,001 L+33.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Team Spirit51c2,079$1,053 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,053.1273841.7%308 W · 430 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d80…ba3dbacked Team Spirit52c2,060$1,068 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,068.41233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-31.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Team Liquid43c2,055$875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,179.841,57743.9%692 W · 885 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a53…cc07backed Team Spirit57c2,000$1,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,140862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick57cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3bb…c8acbacked Team Liquid43c2,000$860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,140650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f4a…4a32backed Team Spirit57c2,000$1,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,14010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4d4…0940backed Team Spirit57c2,000$1,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,14010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x42b7…77dcbacked Team Spirit51c1,956$989 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$988.599844.4%443 W · 555 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa97f…a818backed Team Liquid48c1,853$885 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$967.7258744%258 W · 329 L+13.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Team Spirit51c1,655$845 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$844.871,90147.6%905 W · 996 L+4.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb04b…e2d4backed Team Liquid42c1,650$693 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$956.9716142.9%69 W · 92 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc01…acabbacked Team Spirit57c1,500$855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x06c0…6c3cbacked Team Spirit57c1,500$855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a77…c21ebacked Team Spirit57c1,500$855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc822…f97bbacked Team Spirit57c1,500$855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x22ae…af00backed Team Spirit50c1,420$712 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$711.52812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.5wins-0.31per pick44cpaid-70.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xb876…a86bbacked Team Spirit40c1,251$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504.923033.3%10 W · 20 L-3.4wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-40%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe42b…7ea9backed Team Liquid41c1,250$512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$737.4746535.1%163 W · 302 L+22.9wins+0.05per pick30cpaid+18.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Team Liquid41c1,166$478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$687.944443.2%19 W · 25 L+4.2wins+0.10per pick34cpaid+23.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Team Liquid42c1,044$435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$608.918328.9%24 W · 59 L-6.5wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-39.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdbb4…48bebacked Team Spirit42c1,024$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$426.712924.1%7 W · 22 L-8.0wins-0.28per pick52cpaid-58.3%equal weight34-0.15 edge/pick
0x8a38…fee0backed Team Spirit49c1,020$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50060349.9%301 W · 302 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x60b4…6313backed Team Spirit52c982.09$513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51316160.2%97 W · 64 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick66cpaid-7.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Team Liquid56c835.2$469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365.9515047.3%71 W · 79 L+7.0wins+0.05per pick43cpaid-6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xccd9…f849backed Team Liquid78c800$624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.84955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.13per pick42cpaid+30.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xae8f…e8b1backed Team Spirit64c763.33$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488.295540%22 W · 33 L-5.0wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-23.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Team Liquid46c758.52$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$413.361,15547.8%552 W · 603 L+29.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a94…5e99backed Team Spirit66c754.53$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5006159%36 W · 25 L+0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x033e…1bb9backed Team Liquid60c734.32$444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.4756848.8%277 W · 291 L-1.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbabd…c58fbacked Team Spirit13c706.67$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9120%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f4f…46c2backed Team Liquid43c699.97$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401.2936054.4%196 W · 164 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Team Spirit23c669.59$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.919145.1%41 W · 50 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcccc…dbddbacked Team Liquid43c627.71$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356.7519943.2%86 W · 113 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Team Spirit61c600$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36620642.2%87 W · 119 L-0.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4dde…cff5backed Team Spirit50c600$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30033644%148 W · 188 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed Team Spirit67c597.01$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4007451.4%38 W · 36 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-13.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf457…d1a6backed Team Spirit54c560.55$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30012459.7%74 W · 50 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa1ee…0267backed Team Spirit61c536.56$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.31643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-18%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1976…e363backed Team Spirit61c521.48$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.695646.4%26 W · 30 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74ef…1ac6backed Team Spirit60c511.48$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30947660.7%289 W · 187 L-0.2wins0.00per pick61cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x988d…9899backed Team Liquid43c509.26$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.7513346.6%62 W · 71 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Team Spirit13c506.59$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.7214940.9%61 W · 88 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-23.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0e3…dd00backed Team Liquid35c500$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3253040%12 W · 18 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b64…eaf4backed Team Spirit29c483.41$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.9317740.7%72 W · 105 L-11.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-25.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d96…d524backed Team Spirit55c455.8$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25026957.6%155 W · 114 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1461…30a1backed Team Spirit58c419.32$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.457665.8%50 W · 26 L+8.5wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+22.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9095…b6cbbacked Team Liquid41c410$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.9875%6 W · 2 L+2.5wins+0.31per pick44cpaid+110.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xacf6…41fcbacked Team Spirit50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20060646.9%284 W · 322 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b2f…7241backed Team Spirit50c398.4$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003030%9 W · 21 L-3.3wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-32.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x848c…bfebbacked Team Spirit59c389.73$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.261838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-29.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7e18…e68bbacked Team Spirit12c386$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.322343.5%10 W · 13 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x13c7…11d9backed Team Liquid40c375$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22533541.2%138 W · 197 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+0.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x275f…39d9backed Team Spirit35c370.23$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.863423.5%8 W · 26 L-4.6wins-0.13per pick37cpaid-58.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x83c8…3b6cbacked Team Spirit59c362.61$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.2591356.1%512 W · 401 L+16.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x249f…fed3backed Team Spirit32c353.09$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11262650.5%316 W · 310 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19f8…98f9backed Team Spirit59c338.98$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001656.3%9 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x410e…1209backed Team Liquid43c325.84$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.93825%2 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-51%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Team Spirit12c316.79$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.0133645.5%153 W · 183 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x92d6…0550backed Team Spirit50c315.36$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.56771.4%5 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.29per pick43cpaid+85.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xccf5…42f2backed Team Spirit64c310.41$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.5957455.4%318 W · 256 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7cfd…a801backed Team Spirit49c300$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid+80.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1709…c148backed Team Spirit59c300$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17748352.4%253 W · 230 L-2.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72c2…5e74backed Team Spirit27c299.99$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.9979343.6%346 W · 447 L+38.4wins+0.05per pick39cpaid-0.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcf0a…320abacked Team Spirit12c296$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.5292056.4%519 W · 401 L+78.3wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf104…d34cbacked Team Liquid49c294.16$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.9911052.7%58 W · 52 L+7.6wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+2.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xde2e…439cbacked Team Liquid45c266.71$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.692737%10 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09d2…cc27backed Team Liquid32c263.29$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.024223.8%10 W · 32 L-4.2wins-0.10per pick34cpaid-50.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9f7b…0cc9backed Team Liquid39c256.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.417944.3%35 W · 44 L-8.8wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-20.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x35a7…4293backed Team Spirit45c250.85$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.984535.6%16 W · 29 L-6.2wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-37.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8a37…c99cbacked Team Spirit45c247.88$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.813046.7%14 W · 16 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-23.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xebb5…58c0backed Team Liquid43c247$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.791100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe77d…2cb4backed Team Spirit57c242$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.9410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ee0…4baebacked Team Spirit57c238$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.6610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3501…d189backed Team Liquid43c233$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.811100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked Team Liquid39c230$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.3366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+35.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7786…c005backed Team Spirit56c228.99$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.243537.1%13 W · 22 L-3.6wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-30.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Team Liquid70c228.08$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.6834063.2%215 W · 125 L+38.9wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+13%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xd15e…db59backed Team Liquid44c227.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.2711845.8%54 W · 64 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a44…9729backed Team Liquid43c219$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.831100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7086…43aabacked Team Liquid40c218$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x085d…e696backed Team Spirit57c218$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.2610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdae3…a2ebbacked Team Spirit57c214$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.9810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f98…ea75backed Team Spirit57c213$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.4110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf6b0…586cbacked Team Liquid43c213$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.411100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb569…6fe0backed Team Spirit54c211.05$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11527548%132 W · 143 L-1.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57a3…01dabacked Team Liquid43c210$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a06…b631backed Team Liquid43c208$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.561100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa35b…0eccbacked Team Spirit72c207$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.4417251.2%88 W · 84 L-11.0wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-15.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf167…94bfbacked Team Spirit57c205$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.8510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.