Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs MOUZ (BO1)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0309ab5eecf01542cd1f0562fd5953d3e7b4a0bbc8fa86f473d2dff0db02553d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Falconsof Team Falcons, MOUZ
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $112,855
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $147,082
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $112,855 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 159 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xac0d…b006backed MOUZ | 41c | 28,810$11,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,700.04 | 106 | 61.3%65 W · 41 L | +10.4wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2418…66c8backed Team Falcons | 58c | 11,111$6,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,666.62 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…20e0backed MOUZ | 42c | 5,922$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Team Falcons | 66c | 3,258$2,153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,104.84 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…55e8backed Team Falcons | 60c | 3,025$1,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,204.8 | 191 | 47.6%91 W · 100 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Team Falcons | 61c | 2,517$1,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$977.1 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…daeebacked MOUZ | 10c | 2,500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.99 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Team Falcons | 64c | 2,355$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855.05 | 610 | 57.9%353 W · 257 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…f071backed Team Falcons | 73c | 2,270$1,651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$618.71 | 344 | 68.9%237 W · 107 L | +26.3wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5388…4d5abacked MOUZ | 42c | 2,148$899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.47 | 218 | 47.2%103 W · 115 L | +16.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe9…706abacked Team Falcons | 67c | 2,050$1,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675.03 | 158 | 52.5%83 W · 75 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde17…68d2backed MOUZ | 39c | 1,797$694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.04 | 179 | 50.3%90 W · 89 L | +14.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Team Falcons | 61c | 1,724$1,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.17 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed MOUZ | 36c | 1,709$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.37 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed MOUZ | 42c | 1,702$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714.02 | 464 | 51.5%239 W · 225 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed Team Falcons | 61c | 1,639$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.32 | 234 | 65%152 W · 82 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3db3…932fbacked Team Falcons | 62c | 1,613$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.9 | 161 | 49.7%80 W · 81 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf457…d1a6backed Team Falcons | 68c | 1,613$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.58 | 124 | 59.7%74 W · 50 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked MOUZ | 33c | 1,500$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.97 | 399 | 36.8%147 W · 252 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…07c3backed Team Falcons | 60c | 1,219$736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.49 | 544 | 45.8%249 W · 295 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed MOUZ | 35c | 1,180$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.09 | 491 | 33.6%165 W · 326 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Team Falcons | 61c | 1,137$691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5c…48f9backed MOUZ | 39c | 1,057$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.38 | 107 | 45.8%49 W · 58 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Team Falcons | 57c | 887.47$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.11 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x235e…da5abacked MOUZ | 35c | 870$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +76%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9d…269dbacked MOUZ | 35c | 855.42$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.88 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2011…f296backed Team Falcons | 64c | 841.14$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.13 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b48…4705backed MOUZ | 35c | 833.72$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.56 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | +7.6wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +30%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1318…0af2backed Team Falcons | 62c | 800$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304 | 176 | 33.5%59 W · 117 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a0…d7a5backed MOUZ | 20c | 782.65$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.87 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe08e…1d61backed Team Falcons | 65c | 769.94$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.94 | 46 | 78.3%36 W · 10 L | +6.1wins | +0.13per pick | 65cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6450…9547backed MOUZ | 17c | 743.26$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 101 | 41.6%42 W · 59 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…3934backed MOUZ | 34c | 685.82$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.52 | 228 | 48.2%110 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b26…c9afbacked MOUZ | 35c | 636.11$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.17 | 142 | 51.4%73 W · 69 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Team Falcons | 67c | 627.14$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.03 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae8f…e8b1backed Team Falcons | 58c | 597.33$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.88 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -5.0wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed MOUZ | 35c | 550$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.5 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed MOUZ | 7c | 546.39$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.34 | 616 | 9.7%60 W · 556 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x031d…db9dbacked Team Falcons | 67c | 530$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.9 | 156 | 53.2%83 W · 73 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…6fe0backed Team Falcons | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 275 | 48%132 W · 143 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a63…fc03backed Team Falcons | 57c | 499.99$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 65 | 35.4%23 W · 42 L | -6.6wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed MOUZ | 33c | 499.98$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.99 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99d1…ee7abacked MOUZ | 11c | 449.98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 243 | 45.3%110 W · 133 L | +15.1wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea5…2af9backed Team Falcons | 64c | 437.99$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.68 | 50 | 78%39 W · 11 L | +7.4wins | +0.15per pick | 63cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed MOUZ | 20c | 429.06$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.36 | 145 | 37.2%54 W · 91 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1de5…c008backed Team Falcons | 58c | 421.25$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +16%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c61…470fbacked Team Falcons | 62c | 404.84$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.84 | 95 | 44.2%42 W · 53 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked MOUZ | 4c | 400$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 641 | 23.4%150 W · 491 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0719…c6b9backed MOUZ | 3c | 400$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e87…8befbacked Team Falcons | 66c | 378.79$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.79 | 45 | 73.3%33 W · 12 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…4ab2backed MOUZ | 36c | 365.99$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.7 | 282 | 44%124 W · 158 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfde9…51d7backed MOUZ | 39c | 338.46$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 40cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…1c68backed Team Falcons | 62c | 323.06$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.06 | 641 | 49.9%320 W · 321 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe48…5895backed Team Falcons | 62c | 322.58$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.58 | 121 | 47.9%58 W · 63 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a5d…99ebbacked Team Falcons | 78c | 309.58$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.07 | 146 | 68.5%100 W · 46 L | +14.3wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x931f…d15dbacked Team Falcons | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.69 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x718a…5d86backed Team Falcons | 67c | 299$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.67 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd55…fc45backed Team Falcons | 70c | 286.38$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.38 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Team Falcons | 63c | 281.63$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.12 | 628 | 41.1%258 W · 370 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Team Falcons | 63c | 280$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.7 | 364 | 42.3%154 W · 210 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked Team Falcons | 58c | 275.86$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.86 | 913 | 56.1%512 W · 401 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd781…92a0backed MOUZ | 37c | 267.54$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7c…d9d7backed Team Falcons | 63c | 253$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.45 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Team Falcons | 60c | 250$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.05 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f04…5fc4backed Team Falcons | 63c | 240$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.8 | 315 | 45.4%143 W · 172 L | -19.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8942…9ea9backed MOUZ | 42c | 238.01$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d96…d524backed Team Falcons | 63c | 227.62$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.52 | 269 | 57.6%155 W · 114 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1fa…f3bebacked MOUZ | 40c | 227.18$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 134 | 50.7%68 W · 66 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1c…2a3ebacked Team Falcons | 67c | 224.69$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.69 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d9a…6e9ebacked Team Falcons | 69c | 217.45$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.45 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a68…6525backed MOUZ | 41c | 217.2$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.05 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b84…48e3backed Team Falcons | 65c | 210.97$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.44 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed MOUZ | 34c | 203.17$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.06 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54fa…363cbacked Team Falcons | 62c | 200$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd3…4191backed Team Falcons | 65c | 200$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc8f…092ebacked Team Falcons | 63c | 194$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.78 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb82b…3a09backed Team Falcons | 62c | 190.84$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.52 | 149 | 48.3%72 W · 77 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9318…a645backed Team Falcons | 59c | 182.86$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.26 | 48 | 64.6%31 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd718…aa13backed Team Falcons | 67c | 175.66$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.97 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -3.3wins | -0.15per pick | 56cpaid | -40%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e08…3d14backed Team Falcons | 59c | 169.79$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.73 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked MOUZ | 32c | 164.72$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.09 | 605 | 42.6%258 W · 347 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c82…1f13backed MOUZ | 33c | 163.14$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.14 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed MOUZ | 37c | 159.95$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.18 | 235 | 29.4%69 W · 166 L | -21.5wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f2…3263backed Team Falcons | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 61 | 75.4%46 W · 15 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Team Falcons | 66c | 152.68$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.91 | 135 | 57.8%78 W · 57 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5f…7fbfbacked Team Falcons | 66c | 149.99$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7072…abccbacked Team Falcons | 67c | 149.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.9 | 128 | 68%87 W · 41 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd138…7058backed Team Falcons | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x871c…7f0abacked Team Falcons | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 60 | 68.3%41 W · 19 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3149…9762backed Team Falcons | 62c | 135.97$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.97 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd8…a5bebacked MOUZ | 39c | 135.9$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 203 | 39.9%81 W · 122 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed MOUZ | 38c | 130.49$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.21 | 568 | 48.8%277 W · 291 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d60…be72backed MOUZ | 41c | 129.27$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 199 | 49.2%98 W · 101 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…1adebacked Team Falcons | 64c | 126.32$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 339 | 45.1%153 W · 186 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03c4…b832backed Team Falcons | 67c | 125.37$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.37 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04bd…39a0backed Team Falcons | 70c | 125$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0be2…d514backed MOUZ | 38c | 120$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.6 | 119 | 43.7%52 W · 67 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75f3…0e78backed Team Falcons | 67c | 104.48$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.48 | 412 | 48.8%201 W · 211 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed MOUZ | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 145 | 47.6%69 W · 76 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…4c5abacked Team Falcons | 64c | 96.9$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.7 | 94 | 78.7%74 W · 20 L | +13.0wins | +0.14per pick | 65cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.