NBA · resolved market
Mavericks vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 235.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc02e06847a5ffb7ecaef449a11b53d06029dc9a18297bae6fb518dd7fcf28bd2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $270,209
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $270,994
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $270,209 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaefe…1e4abacked Under | 58c | 250,000$145,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144,999.98 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Over | 42c | 243,428$102,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141,188.16 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 48c | 2,296$1,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,193.83 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Under | 51c | 1,974$1,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,006.95 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 42c | 1,200$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$695.3 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Over | 41c | 831$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.29 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed Under | 59c | 500$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 271 | 61.3%166 W · 105 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x780c…7921backed Over | 44c | 489.52$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.13 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | -6.0wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Under | 19c | 457.1$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.37 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8095…97b6backed Under | 27c | 349.46$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Over | 76c | 249.41$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.26 | 311 | 44.4%138 W · 173 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7551…b6b1backed Over | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 42c | 217.85$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.36 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Over | 78c | 200$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 49c | 199.43$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.38 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc880…a622backed Under | 57c | 188$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.16 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 72c | 180.59$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.75 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x042a…7f4cbacked Under | 53c | 168.66$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.75 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 55c | 152.07$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.21 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Under | 27c | 119.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.2 | 230 | 47.4%109 W · 121 L | +19.2wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x644c…f6c7backed Under | 59c | 118$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.62 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9466…1f15backed Over | 47c | 105.36$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.36 | 208 | 47.1%98 W · 110 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…c20dbacked Under | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 170 | 35.9%61 W · 109 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc8…f45bbacked Over | 49c | 101.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.5 | 337 | 30.3%102 W · 235 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc36…1b11backed Under | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 99 | 43.4%43 W · 56 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Over | 70c | 87.64$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 637 | 45.8%292 W · 345 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x916c…669abacked Under | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Over | 79c | 79$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.53 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Over | 73c | 71$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.92 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 58c | 68.87$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Over | 47c | 68.32$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.48 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15ca…0a0dbacked Under | 56c | 58.92$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 126 | 48.4%61 W · 65 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa75d…1d45backed Under | 54c | 46.41$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 223 | 47.1%105 W · 118 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbc…5196backed Over | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 103 | 37.9%39 W · 64 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb520…60bcbacked Over | 43c | 44$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.08 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf06a…cfdabacked Over | 43c | 44$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.08 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -5.4wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x89ad…5e22backed Under | 57c | 44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.08 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 41c | 43.39$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.6 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf683…f2dfbacked Over | 43c | 40$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a88…2bffbacked Over | 42c | 37$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.46 | 379 | 49.3%187 W · 192 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x063c…d642backed Over | 43c | 35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.95 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -4.4wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Under | 36c | 31.05$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 620 | 47.3%293 W · 327 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2348…9d10backed Over | 43c | 31$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.67 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x279b…7d84backed Over | 43c | 29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.53 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Over | 69c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.75 | 424 | 34.4%146 W · 278 L | -19.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c74…da97backed Under | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d9…0092backed Under | 53c | 19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 762 | 50.4%384 W · 378 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mavericks vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 235.5this page
- Mavericks vs. Trail BlazersTrail Blazers won
- Mavericks vs. Trail Blazers: 1H MoneylineTrail Blazers won
- Mavericks vs. Trail Blazers: 1H O/U 120.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 231.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 232.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 233.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 234.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 236.5Over won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-1.5)Trail Blazers won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-2.5)Trail Blazers won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-3.5)Mavericks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.