NBA · resolved market
Spread: Trail Blazers (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x19ad065b937f327bad07b10e43f9ad2bc13137910d5a1924a596dcaafb71e49c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Trail Blazersof Trail Blazers, Mavericks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $64,998
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $65,702
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,998 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Trail Blazers | 55c | 16,211$8,851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,360 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Mavericks | 45c | 14,425$6,558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,557.71 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Mavericks | 45c | 10,000$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,500 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc43…7c45backed Trail Blazers | 54c | 6,697$3,616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,081.48 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Mavericks | 43c | 6,069$2,614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,614.42 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d3b…c46bbacked Trail Blazers | 55c | 6,021$3,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,709.4 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Trail Blazers | 54c | 5,989$3,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,762.9 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Mavericks | 49c | 2,504$1,227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,226.95 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Mavericks | 45c | 2,497$1,124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,123.65 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Mavericks | 46c | 2,201$1,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,006.32 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Trail Blazers | 52c | 2,113$1,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,011.23 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9e…0262backed Trail Blazers | 51c | 1,864$951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$913.36 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Trail Blazers | 54c | 1,852$996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855.47 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc617…a854backed Trail Blazers | 55c | 1,799$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$808.61 | 426 | 48.1%205 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Trail Blazers | 53c | 1,138$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.86 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Trail Blazers | 53c | 940$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.5 | 221 | 38%84 W · 137 L | -11.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7cd…0888backed Mavericks | 45c | 701.78$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.8 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x290d…503fbacked Mavericks | 51c | 596.08$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Trail Blazers | 54c | 581.98$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.93 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Trail Blazers | 55c | 400$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Trail Blazers | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Mavericks | 41c | 275$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.21 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Trail Blazers | 55c | 245.84$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.29 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Trail Blazers | 54c | 245.69$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.02 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16e4…0641backed Mavericks | 39c | 230.14$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | -6.0wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7140…47e3backed Mavericks | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 126 | 50%63 W · 63 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Trail Blazers | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed Mavericks | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 641 | 39%250 W · 391 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…b906backed Mavericks | 37c | 199.46$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.8 | 263 | 39.5%104 W · 159 L | -13.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Trail Blazers | 55c | 180.04$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.02 | 446 | 54.3%242 W · 204 L | +21.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Trail Blazers | 54c | 170$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.3 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa42a…d91fbacked Trail Blazers | 55c | 156.36$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.36 | 623 | 47.5%296 W · 327 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Mavericks | 47c | 155$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.85 | 503 | 47.9%241 W · 262 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Mavericks | 48c | 120$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.4 | 637 | 45.8%292 W · 345 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3d…3f06backed Mavericks | 46c | 119.57$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.20per pick | 41cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Mavericks | 46c | 92.39$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.25 | 938 | 49.7%466 W · 472 L | +36.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Mavericks | 48c | 77.96$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.42 | 762 | 47.1%359 W · 403 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Trail Blazers | 59c | 73.33$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.22 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Trail Blazers | 55c | 72.82$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.82 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f84…f7ffbacked Mavericks | 46c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7802…d5b4backed Trail Blazers | 51c | 59.99$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 107 | 58.9%63 W · 44 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Trail Blazers | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Mavericks | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 455 | 42.4%193 W · 262 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9773…67e8backed Mavericks | 46c | 45$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39a5…c0efbacked Trail Blazers | 74c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.6 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a13…271dbacked Trail Blazers | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72e4…0369backed Mavericks | 47c | 34.61$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.27 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Trail Blazers | 55c | 31.84$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.39 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Mavericks | 48c | 30.12$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6eaa…9baebacked Mavericks | 45c | 28.89$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 135 | 54.1%73 W · 62 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Trail Blazers | 60c | 24.58$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.83 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77ed…53f7backed Trail Blazers | 54c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.58 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Trail Blazers | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.37 | 620 | 47.3%293 W · 327 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-1.5)this page
- Mavericks vs. Trail BlazersTrail Blazers won
- Mavericks vs. Trail Blazers: 1H MoneylineTrail Blazers won
- Mavericks vs. Trail Blazers: 1H O/U 120.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 231.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 232.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 233.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 234.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 235.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 236.5Over won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-2.5)Trail Blazers won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-3.5)Mavericks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.