TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Mavericks vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 234.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$13,744
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$13,744

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,744 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 118 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xee61…debfbacked Under53c3,137$1,674 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,674.369,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cb3…0a77backed Under53c1,045$549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$548.715756.7%89 W · 68 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xde73…1df9backed Over46c449.93$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.96475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+47.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x96f9…1fafbacked Over46c447.63$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.722100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+106%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x48e7…a315backed Over46c435.59$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.224100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Over47c425.53$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.531,15747.9%554 W · 603 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under57c317.99$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.18,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Over43c316$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.121,66752.7%878 W · 789 L+45.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x42d9…ccf4backed Over46c289.63$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.43100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+102.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8adb…79d5backed Over46c268.15$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.84100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+102%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf572…065abacked Under55c242$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.15750.9%29 W · 28 L-0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x68e0…a3a6backed Under55c237$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.355650%28 W · 28 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f41…5cb3backed Under55c237$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.352948.3%14 W · 15 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf732…1c73backed Over46c236.65$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.793100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+101.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf2be…56f2backed Over46c236.59$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.76475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+58.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x48c8…e1d9backed Over46c231.35$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.93366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+40.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcbaf…643fbacked Over46c223.39$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.634100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+102.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcf55…a54dbacked Over46c221.61$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.67366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+48.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe52e…169cbacked Over46c218.83$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.173100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+105.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8c86…fea7backed Over46c218.65$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.073100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+105.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1c75…6a36backed Over46c217.43$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.41475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+55.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1f79…be19backed Over46c217.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.394100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+103.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5bbb…1594backed Under55c209$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.956045%27 W · 33 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-9.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb82d…5d1ebacked Under55c208$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.49446.8%44 W · 50 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x27ed…57ebbacked Under55c188$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.47361.6%45 W · 28 L+9.6wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+27.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x9a9f…c2a6backed Under56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007550.7%38 W · 37 L-4.4wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3f91…20ccbacked Under55c178$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.99258.7%54 W · 38 L+9.0wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+19.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x454a…4039backed Under55c170$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.54358.1%25 W · 18 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+17.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa8a3…a380backed Under55c166$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.38644.2%38 W · 48 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x470e…07c0backed Under55c162$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.17353.4%39 W · 34 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a49…f879backed Over56c157.4$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.43253.1%17 W · 15 L+0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0e6…71e4backed Under55c152$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.66839.7%27 W · 41 L-6.0wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-15.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x00fe…eff7backed Under55c147$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.858552.9%45 W · 40 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1393…8392backed Under55c135$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.259048.9%44 W · 46 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e75…e81dbacked Under55c120$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$665152.9%27 W · 24 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under49c106.96$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.324,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Over47c100$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$532,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe154…0b7fbacked Under43c98.14$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.217941.9%75 W · 104 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+16.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe1d9…a94bbacked Under55c95$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.256154.1%33 W · 28 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x95c4…a93bbacked Over45c80$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$444660.9%28 W · 18 L+4.5wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+24%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb100…dce6backed Under55c79$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.453056.7%17 W · 13 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+16.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd104…0c60backed Over45c76$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.82157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3be0…e4e5backed Over45c74$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.72751.9%14 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under56c71.43$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9431…6270backed Over45c70$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.54052.5%21 W · 19 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd84f…0475backed Over45c68$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.43250%16 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-1.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfadc…a4e8backed Over45c65$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.752540%10 W · 15 L-3.0wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-25%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xeff8…1bcfbacked Under55c61$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.553145.2%14 W · 17 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x09db…7384backed Over45c60$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333366.7%22 W · 11 L+5.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+35.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf33d…1969backed Over45c60$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334654.3%25 W · 21 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+17.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xae28…5d17backed Under55c58$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.93860.5%23 W · 15 L+3.4wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+17.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4970…21f6backed Under55c57$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.354953.1%26 W · 23 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a20…8248backed Under55c54$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.73043.3%13 W · 17 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbaf1…47a4backed Under56c53.57$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307250%36 W · 36 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd5c…1f57backed Over45c53$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.153154.8%17 W · 14 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd595…7893backed Over45c51$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.053964.1%25 W · 14 L+5.1wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+24.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc94d…2b20backed Over45c50$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.54360.5%26 W · 17 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+15%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf7bd…d82dbacked Over45c50$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.52832.1%9 W · 19 L-6.0wins-0.21per pick53cpaid-42.4%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xd568…655ebacked Over45c50$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.53652.8%19 W · 17 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60dc…9a3ebacked Over45c50$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.52470.8%17 W · 7 L+4.3wins+0.18per pick53cpaid+34.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9d2d…ffcebacked Over45c48$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.42065%13 W · 7 L+2.9wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+28.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x68cc…24adbacked Over45c48$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.43339.4%13 W · 20 L-3.8wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-23.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb4f9…5526backed Under55c47$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.857651.3%39 W · 37 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e29…c992backed Over45c47$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.855164.7%33 W · 18 L+6.4wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+24.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x879d…8c58backed Over45c45$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.752450%12 W · 12 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd43a…f530backed Over45c44$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.23545.7%16 W · 19 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x60a6…7ed2backed Over45c43$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.652055%11 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67ec…06aabacked Over45c42$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.12254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5956…e127backed Over45c42$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.14353.5%23 W · 20 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c4f…73a6backed Over45c42$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.13961.5%24 W · 15 L+3.4wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+15.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4292…938dbacked Over45c42$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.13540%14 W · 21 L-3.6wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-20.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfb75…bc16backed Over45c41$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.552850%14 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2348…9d10backed Over45c41$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.552951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa032…9b15backed Over45c41$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.556157.4%35 W · 26 L+3.5wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x56d2…e5f5backed Over45c41$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.552560%15 W · 10 L+2.3wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+22.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4e66…921dbacked Under55c39$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.453863.2%24 W · 14 L+4.9wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+23.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xda6e…e417backed Over45c39$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.453548.6%17 W · 18 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x72df…42f6backed Over45c38$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.93154.8%17 W · 14 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x08a7…e161backed Over45c38$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.94252.4%22 W · 20 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd647…9c8fbacked Over45c38$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.92835.7%10 W · 18 L-4.7wins-0.17per pick53cpaid-30.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x859a…1ccebacked Over45c37$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.352972.4%21 W · 8 L+6.0wins+0.21per pick52cpaid+43.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x6630…703cbacked Over49c34.69$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.6911258.9%66 W · 46 L+8.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+15.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x43dc…88cfbacked Over45c34$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.73551.4%18 W · 17 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8655…0853backed Over45c33$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.153652.8%19 W · 17 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc518…bdecbacked Over45c33$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.153129%9 W · 22 L-7.2wins-0.23per pick52cpaid-47.3%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xbbe8…47f8backed Over45c32$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.62927.6%8 W · 21 L-6.9wins-0.24per pick51cpaid-48.3%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over46c31.4$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.962,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7500…ae85backed Over45c31$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.052748.1%13 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83b1…cac1backed Over45c31$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.052441.7%10 W · 14 L-3.0wins-0.13per pick54cpaid-22.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0aae…e845backed Over45c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.52748.1%13 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae69…0c24backed Over45c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.54060%24 W · 16 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+14.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x06b1…614cbacked Over45c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.52365.2%15 W · 8 L+2.7wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+19.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf012…6d13backed Over45c29$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.951275%9 W · 3 L+3.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+50.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x934a…9096backed Over45c29$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.952437.5%9 W · 15 L-3.6wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-28.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x25c3…eb62backed Over45c29$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.953644.4%16 W · 20 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-13.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x96ae…89d9backed Over45c28$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.42657.7%15 W · 11 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb8ee…5c69backed Over72c28$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.8414137.6%53 W · 88 L-11.2wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-21.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xdc55…9f7cbacked Over45c28$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.41952.6%10 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x88d0…524cbacked Over45c28$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.43138.7%12 W · 19 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-17.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9cf9…142bbacked Over45c27$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.853246.9%15 W · 17 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.