NBA · resolved market
Mavericks vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 232.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8f9568a18b7644468991ef91ca21550940d000e7e57030560a0c87d4514e0e1a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,828
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,123
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,828 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 49c | 13,511$6,598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,913.02 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 51c | 9,000$4,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,590 | 475 | 42.3%201 W · 274 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 50c | 5,590$2,795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,795.2 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17b9…430dbacked Under | 50c | 3,054$1,527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,527.18 | 130 | 40%52 W · 78 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Under | 50c | 3,021$1,512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,511.74 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x362f…4775backed Under | 51c | 2,043$1,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,042 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Under | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 485 | 46.4%225 W · 260 L | -14.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0993…f5acbacked Under | 53c | 1,772$939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$939 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x538a…0823backed Over | 50c | 1,400$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked Over | 49c | 1,127$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.77 | 296 | 52.7%156 W · 140 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed4…4547backed Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 193 | 51.8%100 W · 93 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 50c | 590.4$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.2 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Under | 53c | 566.04$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 49c | 400$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…629fbacked Under | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd947…9b61backed Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 287 | 51.9%149 W · 138 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…66f0backed Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 103 | 51.5%53 W · 50 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56b3…2c42backed Under | 53c | 318.21$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.88 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Under | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 726 | 47.7%346 W · 380 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Over | 48c | 255.42$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.82 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae53…d80bbacked Under | 49c | 255.09$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.99 | 409 | 52.1%213 W · 196 L | +16.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf527…366bbacked Over | 51c | 253.13$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.03 | 106 | 41.5%44 W · 62 L | +10.3wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdf60…f8d5backed Under | 50c | 250$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 98 | 44.9%44 W · 54 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c13…99b7backed Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 477 | 38.2%182 W · 295 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 53c | 85$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.57 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x243c…9ae0backed Under | 50c | 74.42$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.21 | 383 | 47%180 W · 203 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0104…530ebacked Under | 51c | 67.69$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.52 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ad…5a42backed Under | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 84 | 52.4%44 W · 40 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Under | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 40c | 48$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.95 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a81…b783backed Under | 49c | 40.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -6.8wins | -0.17per pick | 49cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Over | 78c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02ec…5412backed Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 273 | 59%161 W · 112 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa42a…d91fbacked Over | 51c | 33.33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.33 | 623 | 47.5%296 W · 327 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a88…2bffbacked Over | 51c | 31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.19 | 379 | 49.3%187 W · 192 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5373…e46bbacked Under | 60c | 21.75$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.08 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47e5…9b73backed Under | 50c | 20.4$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 425 | 51.3%218 W · 207 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd44d…389dbacked Under | 50c | 20.4$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x382c…2261backed Under | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0854…fb45backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mavericks vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 232.5this page
- Mavericks vs. Trail BlazersTrail Blazers won
- Mavericks vs. Trail Blazers: 1H MoneylineTrail Blazers won
- Mavericks vs. Trail Blazers: 1H O/U 120.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 231.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 233.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 234.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 235.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 236.5Over won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-1.5)Trail Blazers won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-2.5)Trail Blazers won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-3.5)Mavericks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.