NBA · resolved market
Mavericks vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 231.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9b62b5977a6610f925f4f0a87d617ef42a8e2e97e48a5e45cd67c3eb0ea41210
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $151,056
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $152,370
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $151,056 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbf42…d698backed Under | 50c | 121,066$59,942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59,942.43 | 170 | 31.8%54 W · 116 L | -24.9wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 50c | 40,983$20,692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,291.6 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Over | 50c | 18,946$9,493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,452.36 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 50c | 17,500$8,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,700 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Over | 51c | 15,387$7,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,610.33 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 51c | 9,562$4,877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,685.41 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdb1…15fabacked Over | 50c | 8,429$4,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,176.91 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 51c | 4,500$2,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,205 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb177…1914backed Over | 51c | 4,159$2,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,037.82 | 248 | 47.6%118 W · 130 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 53c | 3,021$1,601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,420.08 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0993…f5acbacked Under | 51c | 2,508$1,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,279 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 49c | 2,304$1,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,138.09 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Under | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 485 | 46.4%225 W · 260 L | -14.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Over | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 446 | 54.3%242 W · 204 L | +21.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…bf91backed Over | 53c | 2,000$1,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$945.9 | 484 | 48.8%236 W · 248 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x250e…e864backed Over | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x710a…ed6cbacked Over | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24da…9561backed Over | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bff…c39bbacked Under | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 60c | 1,952$1,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.98 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 49c | 1,555$762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$761.95 | 475 | 42.3%201 W · 274 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed Over | 51c | 1,461$745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$715.78 | 254 | 52.8%134 W · 120 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 50c | 900$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75e1…3ff3backed Over | 53c | 884.91$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.91 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…405cbacked Over | 51c | 811.33$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.55 | 434 | 53.2%231 W · 203 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42a…d91fbacked Over | 51c | 607.84$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.84 | 623 | 47.5%296 W · 327 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Over | 51c | 588$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.12 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Under | 20c | 525$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.75 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…629fbacked Over | 51c | 442.24$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.7 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb47b…c6b1backed Over | 53c | 427.66$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Under | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Over | 80c | 300$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb338…606ebacked Under | 50c | 173$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.5 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca0e…4babbacked Under | 10c | 133$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d14…1eb4backed Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 373 | 52%194 W · 179 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6c…2854backed Over | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.47 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 46c | 61.62$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.28 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba54…409fbacked Over | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45b8…3c28backed Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 169 | 44.4%75 W · 94 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15ca…0a0dbacked Under | 49c | 33.66$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.49 | 126 | 48.4%61 W · 65 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Under | 46c | 31.51$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.62 | 938 | 49.7%466 W · 472 L | +36.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 51c | 26.47$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.97 | 415 | 56.9%236 W · 179 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0674…d6c1backed Over | 51c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 142 | 36.6%52 W · 90 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa852…d55dbacked Over | 58c | 23.91$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.09 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6894…59d8backed Over | 52c | 20.37$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.78 | 246 | 45.9%113 W · 133 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76a3…5249backed Over | 75c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 144 | 41%59 W · 85 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mavericks vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 231.5this page
- Mavericks vs. Trail BlazersTrail Blazers won
- Mavericks vs. Trail Blazers: 1H MoneylineTrail Blazers won
- Mavericks vs. Trail Blazers: 1H O/U 120.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 232.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 233.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 234.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 235.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 236.5Over won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-1.5)Trail Blazers won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-2.5)Trail Blazers won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-3.5)Mavericks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.