NBA · resolved market

Spread: Trail Blazers (-2.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe66bc8490f81068d9397a0e20f917f7b99b55e089165467b8ef9ed54b4d91d6a

Rebuilt 21 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Trail Blazersof Trail Blazers, Mavericks
Resolved: Dec 30, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $288,116
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $287,860

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $288,116 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x9165…5b98backed Trail Blazers	53c	187,520$99,359 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$88,160.91	252	48.4%122 W · 130 L	-5.9wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Mavericks	47c	97,867$45,808 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45,808.06	871	44.7%389 W · 482 L	+14.9wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb889…a430backed Mavericks	51c	40,000$20,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20,400	92	63%58 W · 34 L	+9.8wins	+0.11per pick	52cpaid	+21.4%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Mavericks	47c	26,479$12,519 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,519.26	2,298	51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L	+65.4wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Mavericks	48c	13,493$6,422 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,421.93	1,139	48.3%550 W · 589 L	+3.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Mavericks	47c	11,536$5,438 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,438.4	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Mavericks	48c	10,538$5,010 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,009.72	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Mavericks	48c	9,101$4,349 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,348.65	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc90b…f45dbacked Trail Blazers	53c	5,540$2,936 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,603.62	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e00…eb46backed Trail Blazers	53c	5,284$2,801 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,483.67	363	51.2%186 W · 177 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d5c…0182backed Trail Blazers	49c	5,252$2,573 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,678.52	477	51.8%247 W · 230 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbf51…4a30backed Trail Blazers	51c	4,387$2,222 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,165.02	767	46.4%356 W · 411 L	-16.7wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x535b…25a9backed Mavericks	50c	4,038$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	125	55.2%69 W · 56 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a1e…86d3backed Mavericks	48c	3,125$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,500	278	40.6%113 W · 165 L	-22.5wins	-0.08per pick	49cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Mavericks	48c	3,023$1,451 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,450.66	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Trail Blazers	49c	2,500$1,225 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,275	691	49.1%339 W · 352 L	-8.6wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24da…9561backed Mavericks	47c	2,000$940 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$940	69	49.3%34 W · 35 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+20.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Mavericks	47c	1,914$900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$899.58	2,435	49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L	+30.3wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc617…a854backed Trail Blazers	53c	1,910$1,012 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$898.02	426	48.1%205 W · 221 L	-5.1wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed Mavericks	50c	1,698$849 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$848.76	587	40%235 W · 352 L	+24.3wins	+0.04per pick	36cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x698b…4426backed Trail Blazers	50c	1,671$835 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$835.46	220	55%121 W · 99 L	+12.2wins	+0.06per pick	49cpaid	+10.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Mavericks	47c	1,489$700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$699.83	1,451	49.7%721 W · 730 L	+18.0wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8cbb…acb2backed Trail Blazers	48c	1,259$607 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$651.27	890	50.4%449 W · 441 L	+4.4wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xf2c7…2e93backed Mavericks	48c	1,035$502 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$501.62	211	52.6%111 W · 100 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Mavericks	47c	980.66$465 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$464.71	2,796	50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L	+27.9wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Trail Blazers	52c	960.75$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$461.16	1,374	50.1%689 W · 685 L	+34.9wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Trail Blazers	49c	919.41$452 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$467.87	2,361	48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L	-41.8wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d18…4972backed Trail Blazers	47c	905.56$426 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$480	163	39.3%64 W · 99 L	-10.2wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfd3f…44f1backed Trail Blazers	50c	860.16$434 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$426.16	254	52.8%134 W · 120 L	+3.8wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9519…3b2ebacked Mavericks	49c	612.24$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	178	56.2%100 W · 78 L	+5.3wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Trail Blazers	48c	603.76$292 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$311.97	3,995	48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L	+101.9wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked Mavericks	47c	595.38$280 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$279.83	446	54.3%242 W · 204 L	+21.5wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xee20…5b37backed Mavericks	51c	589.78$301 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300.79	503	47.9%241 W · 262 L	+5.6wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Trail Blazers	50c	400$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$200	1,157	47.9%554 W · 603 L	-19.9wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeddf…a953backed Mavericks	50c	400$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	361	43.5%157 W · 204 L	-4.5wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9031…5265backed Trail Blazers	53c	368.96$196 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$173.41	94	51.1%48 W · 46 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa61f…7993backed Mavericks	50c	300$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	617	47.8%295 W · 322 L	+4.6wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Trail Blazers	49c	295.36$146 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$149.5	3,120	44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L	-7.6wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6909…36b5backed Mavericks	52c	288.46$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	53	50.9%27 W · 26 L	-3.5wins	-0.07per pick	58cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdf60…f8d5backed Mavericks	51c	245.1$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125	98	44.9%44 W · 54 L	-5.0wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7cb2…f12fbacked Trail Blazers	53c	226.42$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$106.42	230	58.7%135 W · 95 L	+14.1wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+15.8%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Trail Blazers	53c	224.58$118 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$106.58	1,444	58.1%839 W · 605 L	+13.5wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefe8…fe1abacked Trail Blazers	52c	210$109 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100.8	93	41.9%39 W · 54 L	-4.8wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Mavericks	47c	205.26$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.37	1,695	44.7%758 W · 937 L	-30.4wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xecae…b906backed Mavericks	40c	200$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	263	39.5%104 W · 159 L	-13.8wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x370e…2893backed Trail Blazers	53c	200$106 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$94	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9d30…2645backed Mavericks	50c	177$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.5	74	48.6%36 W · 38 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Mavericks	46c	170.67$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.51	5,053	50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L	+110.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x581b…0290backed Mavericks	50c	169$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.5	64	46.9%30 W · 34 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Trail Blazers	50c	154.64$77 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$77.6	2,512	49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L	+6.9wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7aed…38cbbacked Mavericks	51c	150$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.5	106	52.8%56 W · 50 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcdd0…4938backed Mavericks	50c	120$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	34	58.8%20 W · 14 L	+3.6wins	+0.11per pick	48cpaid	+21.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc5a1…e6f5backed Mavericks	50c	118$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59	40	52.5%21 W · 19 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa852…d55dbacked Mavericks	49c	112.32$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.5	53	39.6%21 W · 32 L	-3.4wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb390…642bbacked Mavericks	50c	100$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	1,661	50.3%836 W · 825 L	-14.9wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc63…f1c7backed Trail Blazers	48c	100$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52	506	53.2%269 W · 237 L	+8.7wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e57…21cbbacked Mavericks	50c	100$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	56	55.4%31 W · 25 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Mavericks	48c	95$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.54	888	45.7%406 W · 482 L	-12.2wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1a7…07cdbacked Trail Blazers	53c	93.5$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.94	62	53.2%33 W · 29 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fbd…3d15backed Mavericks	47c	91.48$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43	762	47.1%359 W · 403 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5ced…9b7cbacked Mavericks	48c	87$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.76	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Trail Blazers	49c	83$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.33	1,908	54.5%1,040 W · 868 L	+53.7wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb0d6…14d9backed Trail Blazers	50c	80$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40	139	46.8%65 W · 74 L	+11.6wins	+0.08per pick	38cpaid	+20.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xce49…4740backed Mavericks	50c	80$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	236	42.4%100 W · 136 L	-3.9wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Trail Blazers	51c	78.43$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.43	2,602	50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L	-20.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2000…df78backed Mavericks	50c	70$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	80	53.8%43 W · 37 L	+5.6wins	+0.07per pick	47cpaid	+13.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3d5f…7e6fbacked Mavericks	52c	66.87$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	324	50%162 W · 162 L	+0.9wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x49ec…c4e5backed Mavericks	50c	66$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	28	60.7%17 W · 11 L	+2.5wins	+0.09per pick	52cpaid	+14.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3f91…20ccbacked Mavericks	50c	66$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	92	58.7%54 W · 38 L	+9.0wins	+0.10per pick	49cpaid	+19.1%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc42c…42a1backed Trail Blazers	49c	59$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.09	430	52.3%225 W · 205 L	+8.4wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fb8…85b9backed Trail Blazers	53c	56.6$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.6	130	50.8%66 W · 64 L	+2.4wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc49c…6dcabacked Mavericks	50c	54$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27	79	51.9%41 W · 38 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e45…3250backed Mavericks	50c	52$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	15	53.3%8 W · 7 L	-0.7wins	-0.05per pick	58cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x250e…e864backed Trail Blazers	50c	52$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26	35	51.4%18 W · 17 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf33d…1969backed Trail Blazers	50c	51$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.5	46	54.3%25 W · 21 L	+2.4wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+17.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Trail Blazers	50c	50$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25	2,657	49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L	+42.1wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9af9…89bcbacked Trail Blazers	50c	50$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25	35	54.3%19 W · 16 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e78…fcb4backed Trail Blazers	50c	50$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25	27	48.1%13 W · 14 L	-1.1wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe21a…88edbacked Mavericks	52c	48.25$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.09	25	56%14 W · 11 L	+0.8wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2378…a8dbbacked Trail Blazers	50c	46$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.18per pick	49cpaid	+34.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x78a4…05afbacked Trail Blazers	50c	44$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22	32	50%16 W · 16 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x15b7…7fd0backed Trail Blazers	50c	41$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.5	38	63.2%24 W · 14 L	+4.3wins	+0.11per pick	52cpaid	+22.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x36c9…3f9fbacked Trail Blazers	50c	41$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.5	29	69%20 W · 9 L	+5.0wins	+0.17per pick	52cpaid	+31%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8296…e9cbbacked Mavericks	50c	33$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.5	48	45.8%22 W · 26 L	+2.1wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+30.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x15ca…0a0dbacked Trail Blazers	50c	33$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.5	126	48.4%61 W · 65 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x25c3…eb62backed Trail Blazers	50c	33$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.5	36	44.4%16 W · 20 L	-2.4wins	-0.07per pick	51cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4aff…c91bbacked Mavericks	50c	32$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	90	50%45 W · 45 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb736…1946backed Trail Blazers	50c	31$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.5	60	48.3%29 W · 31 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x96ae…89d9backed Trail Blazers	50c	30$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15	26	57.7%15 W · 11 L	+1.9wins	+0.07per pick	51cpaid	+11.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7bf2…6640backed Trail Blazers	50c	30$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15	21	52.4%11 W · 10 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xfd17…77fdbacked Trail Blazers	50c	30$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15	21	61.9%13 W · 8 L	+2.4wins	+0.11per pick	51cpaid	+23.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8e26…c672backed Trail Blazers	50c	30$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15	18	55.6%10 W · 8 L	+0.7wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51bd…bc56backed Trail Blazers	50c	29$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.5	36	52.8%19 W · 17 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Mavericks	50c	28.88$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.44	2,902	38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L	-51.9wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdfdb…512cbacked Trail Blazers	49c	28.56$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.57	49	59.2%29 W · 20 L	+3.0wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+17.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6db2…9289backed Mavericks	52c	28.24$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.78	26	57.7%15 W · 11 L	+1.1wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4889…9b17backed Trail Blazers	50c	28$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14	27	51.9%14 W · 13 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5f9f…c934backed Mavericks	49c	26.63$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	95	41.1%39 W · 56 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	39cpaid	+9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Mavericks	51c	26$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.26	407	50.6%206 W · 201 L	+10.0wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc840…0650backed Trail Blazers	48c	25$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13	41	41.5%17 W · 24 L	-2.8wins	-0.07per pick	48cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Trail Blazers (-2.5)this page
Mavericks vs. Trail BlazersTrail Blazers won
Mavericks vs. Trail Blazers: 1H MoneylineTrail Blazers won
Mavericks vs. Trail Blazers: 1H O/U 120.5Over won
Mavericks vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 231.5Over won
Mavericks vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 232.5Over won
Mavericks vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 233.5Over won
Mavericks vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 234.5Over won
Mavericks vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 235.5Over won
Mavericks vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 236.5Over won
Spread: Trail Blazers (-1.5)Trail Blazers won
Spread: Trail Blazers (-3.5)Mavericks won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Trail Blazers (-2.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event