NBA · resolved market
Spread: Bucks (-10.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x450eaad9da07228b2a0269d0968baeb895b11b45c15c5e56813d6b6ab1acc3fd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wizardsof Bucks, Wizards
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $590,002
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $590,908
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $590,002 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Wizards | 51c | 393,543$198,885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194,658.06 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Bucks | 50c | 244,027$122,517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122,516.91 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Bucks | 49c | 69,174$33,895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,895.43 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Bucks | 49c | 60,600$29,894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,894 | 593 | 47%279 W · 314 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9165…5b98backed Wizards | 49c | 26,986$13,223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,763.06 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc0…4429backed Bucks | 52c | 22,674$11,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,779.71 | 483 | 43.7%211 W · 272 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Bucks | 49c | 16,426$8,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,107.1 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Bucks | 49c | 13,970$6,911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,910.83 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Bucks | 49c | 9,966$4,883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,883.31 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Bucks | 52c | 8,435$4,386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,386.12 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Wizards | 48c | 7,301$3,504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,796.53 | 524 | 60.1%315 W · 209 L | +35.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x55a1…db28backed Bucks | 42c | 7,000$2,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,940 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Bucks | 50c | 6,016$2,981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,980.98 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Wizards | 59c | 5,605$3,306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,299.37 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Wizards | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,040 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Wizards | 49c | 3,222$1,579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,643.45 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Wizards | 48c | 2,500$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300 | 485 | 46.4%225 W · 260 L | -14.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dac…4a66backed Bucks | 51c | 2,343$1,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,193.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Wizards | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.33 | 164 | 42.1%69 W · 95 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Bucks | 51c | 2,015$1,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,024.45 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Wizards | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Bucks | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 446 | 54.3%242 W · 204 L | +21.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Wizards | 49c | 2,000$970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,030 | 491 | 42.6%209 W · 282 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Bucks | 49c | 1,996$978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$977.96 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Bucks | 50c | 1,800$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Wizards | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.98 | 587 | 40%235 W · 352 L | +24.3wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Wizards | 48c | 1,487$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$773.24 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Bucks | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Wizards | 49c | 969$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.65 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8887…c607backed Bucks | 56c | 960.35$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 63cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Wizards | 44c | 885.45$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.85 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Wizards | 48c | 626$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.52 | 406 | 48%195 W · 211 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6909…36b5backed Wizards | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed Wizards | 48c | 560$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.2 | 890 | 50.4%449 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1041…f452backed Bucks | 51c | 525.49$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268 | 269 | 49.1%132 W · 137 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Wizards | 48c | 515$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.8 | 303 | 51.8%157 W · 146 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…9f15backed Wizards | 49c | 512.12$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.3 | 591 | 44.5%263 W · 328 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d84…aa68backed Wizards | 50c | 494.4$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.2 | 110 | 60%66 W · 44 L | +9.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Wizards | 68c | 425.18$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Bucks | 53c | 400$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 910 | 50.9%463 W · 447 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Wizards | 49c | 392.16$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed Bucks | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 271 | 61.3%166 W · 105 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d46…b09bbacked Bucks | 56c | 390.07$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.22 | 158 | 57%90 W · 68 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Wizards | 48c | 312.5$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.5 | 155 | 43.2%67 W · 88 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Bucks | 49c | 310$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.9 | 221 | 38%84 W · 137 L | -11.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa1a…d9abbacked Bucks | 52c | 307.69$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…0eccbacked Bucks | 52c | 288.46$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 245 | 56.3%138 W · 107 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Bucks | 55c | 255.65$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 101 | 38.6%39 W · 62 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x101c…7df8backed Bucks | 52c | 228$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.56 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…93d7backed Bucks | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 403 | 46.2%186 W · 217 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Wizards | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 311 | 44.4%138 W · 173 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff0…91fcbacked Bucks | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Bucks | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2de8…1121backed Wizards | 74c | 158$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.87 | 909 | 57.6%524 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…14d9backed Bucks | 52c | 153.85$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | +11.6wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc1df…4404backed Bucks | 49c | 153.06$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -3.0wins | -0.17per pick | 39cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Wizards | 48c | 150$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Wizards | 44c | 143.84$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.07 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eee…bc95backed Bucks | 53c | 141.51$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a8…753bbacked Bucks | 51c | 136$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.3wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1e46…0742backed Bucks | 52c | 134.62$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 239 | 48.5%116 W · 123 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4010…77d4backed Wizards | 45c | 129.99$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.5 | 481 | 46.2%222 W · 259 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa57…1e6bbacked Wizards | 49c | 122.45$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.45 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x635b…195dbacked Wizards | 50c | 110$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.3 | 382 | 52.4%200 W · 182 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc63…f1c7backed Wizards | 48c | 105$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.6 | 506 | 53.2%269 W · 237 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed Wizards | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 745 | 47.2%352 W · 393 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e57…21cbbacked Wizards | 49c | 100.33$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.47 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Wizards | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 955 | 48.5%463 W · 492 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Wizards | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 628 | 48.7%306 W · 322 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dfb…8defbacked Wizards | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -7.6wins | -0.25per pick | 54cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Wizards | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Bucks | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Wizards | 48c | 95.78$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.81 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Bucks | 53c | 90.57$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 1,661 | 50.3%836 W · 825 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x392c…bb64backed Bucks | 13c | 90.13$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Wizards | 48c | 83.5$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.42 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf10b…2041backed Wizards | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.63 | 195 | 48.7%95 W · 100 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x916c…669abacked Wizards | 49c | 77.55$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.55 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3b…f1c5backed Bucks | 34c | 73.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 104 | 26.9%28 W · 76 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa852…d55dbacked Wizards | 73c | 72.01$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.32 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Wizards | 45c | 69$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.12 | 637 | 45.8%292 W · 345 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a31…152cbacked Wizards | 49c | 63.53$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 484 | 51.2%248 W · 236 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89a7…e7dbbacked Wizards | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 111 | 43.2%48 W · 63 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Bucks | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f10…ef9abacked Wizards | 48c | 49.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 79 | 35.4%28 W · 51 L | -10.1wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -30%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc523…3606backed Bucks | 41c | 49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.27 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedb5…ce8ebacked Wizards | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 217 | 56.7%123 W · 94 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3839…a64dbacked Wizards | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 33 | 75.8%25 W · 8 L | +7.9wins | +0.24per pick | 52cpaid | +48%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Bucks | 49c | 39.58$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 938 | 49.7%466 W · 472 L | +36.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5f…7e6fbacked Wizards | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 324 | 50%162 W · 162 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2939…e083backed Bucks | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Wizards | 48c | 35.75$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.59 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce42…5cddbacked Bucks | 35c | 34.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Wizards | 50c | 31.07$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x824d…1271backed Wizards | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 133 | 38.3%51 W · 82 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Wizards | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Wizards | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 82 | 34.1%28 W · 54 L | -8.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0e…4049backed Wizards | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 242 | 53.3%129 W · 113 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x117d…6542backed Bucks | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 564 | 54.3%306 W · 258 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a88…2bffbacked Wizards | 49c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 379 | 49.3%187 W · 192 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Bucks (-10.5)this page
- Spread: Bucks (-11.5)Wizards won
- Wizards vs. BucksWizards won
- Wizards vs. Bucks: 1H MoneylineWizards won
- Wizards vs. Bucks: O/U 230.5Under won
- Wizards vs. Bucks: O/U 231.5Under won
- Wizards vs. Bucks: O/U 232.5Under won
- Wizards vs. Bucks: O/U 233.5Under won
- Wizards vs. Bucks: O/U 234.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.