Lol · resolved market

Games Total: O/U 4.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x52346f8f6e19076cd13b63c88b73fcd0ab513022c515eb582b9f86dbb5ab9342

Rebuilt 19 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Dec 26, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $54,069
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $62,716

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,069 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Lol
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x3806…f4c4backed Over	60c	15,798$9,476 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,475.72	127	6.3%8 W · 119 L	-2.4wins	-0.02per pick	8cpaid	-44.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x49d1…2a44backed Under	40c	8,000$3,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,800	62	48.4%30 W · 32 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe795…8caebacked Under	40c	7,166$2,882 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,283.63	203	54.7%111 W · 92 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x52ec…a6f3backed Under	72c	4,738$3,428 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,310.12	814	43.5%354 W · 460 L	+30.2wins	+0.04per pick	40cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6260…fccbbacked Over	2c	3,365$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.03	634	7.1%45 W · 589 L	-1.9wins	0.00per pick	7cpaid	-34%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed Over	35c	3,017$1,070 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,070.34	485	48.7%236 W · 249 L	+13.2wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0bab…6832backed Over	38c	2,819$1,081 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,081.26	508	45.3%230 W · 278 L	-5.1wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf5d…7253backed Over	37c	2,530$935 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$935.29	36	33.3%12 W · 24 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked Under	62c	2,124$1,318 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$806.21	785	49.9%392 W · 393 L	+12.7wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed Under	64c	1,932$1,243 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$689	435	39.5%172 W · 263 L	-24.9wins	-0.06per pick	45cpaid	-18%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Over	37c	1,500$555 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$555	245	29.8%73 W · 172 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	30cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcae6…4f85backed Under	56c	1,207$681 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$526.36	672	76.9%517 W · 155 L	+87.3wins	+0.13per pick	64cpaid	+30.2%equal weight	64+0.13 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Over	59c	1,200$711 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$711.4	306	61.1%187 W · 119 L	-7.4wins	-0.02per pick	64cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x827a…8a2bbacked Under	63c	1,200$754 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$446	135	43%58 W · 77 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x47bd…bc9dbacked Under	80c	1,128$899 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$228.8	27	63%17 W · 10 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	65cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a09…3c83backed Over	79c	1,012$800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$800	22	59.1%13 W · 9 L	+1.0wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	+20.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Over	1c	1,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	1,456	13.2%192 W · 1,264 L	-111.9wins	-0.08per pick	21cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0xa5cf…8cc5backed Under	63c	1,000$630 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$370	1,184	44.4%526 W · 658 L	-11.8wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5093…dee4backed Under	76c	800$608 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$192	34	44.1%15 W · 19 L	-3.7wins	-0.11per pick	55cpaid	-31.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb80d…0ac1backed Over	47c	726.62$344 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$343.85	505	47.7%241 W · 264 L	+4.2wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Over	14c	655$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.43	2,367	31.9%756 W · 1,611 L	+41.4wins	+0.02per pick	30cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x689d…300fbacked Under	20c	610.22$122 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$488.17	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-0.3wins	-0.06per pick	22cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef1a…d048backed Over	57c	605.91$347 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$346.89	124	44.4%55 W · 69 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x357e…2a0cbacked Under	37c	601$222 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$379.09	121	32.2%39 W · 82 L	+6.8wins	+0.06per pick	27cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb2ed…2a85backed Under	66c	600$396 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$204	867	58.1%504 W · 363 L	+16.8wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c96…763fbacked Over	2c	600$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	49	14.3%7 W · 42 L	-3.1wins	-0.06per pick	21cpaid	-66%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd4cf…2d96backed Under	48c	471.8$226 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$245.9	29	34.5%10 W · 19 L	-2.6wins	-0.09per pick	43cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1653…2f80backed Under	46c	384.57$177 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$207.32	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-0.7wins	-0.08per pick	41cpaid	-31.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2307…3934backed Over	32c	354.24$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$113.36	543	53.8%292 W · 251 L	+32.6wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+15.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd164…f17bbacked Under	68c	351.29$239 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$112.41	28	28.6%8 W · 20 L	-5.3wins	-0.19per pick	47cpaid	-53.7%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xed5d…bc81backed Under	36c	338.92$121 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$217.52	72	50%36 W · 36 L	+5.1wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Under	54c	312.17$169 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$143.6	1,635	40.2%657 W · 978 L	+48.7wins	+0.03per pick	37cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x97ae…82bdbacked Over	37c	300$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111	41	31.7%13 W · 28 L	-1.5wins	-0.04per pick	35cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd795…6fcdbacked Over	20c	300$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	314	35.7%112 W · 202 L	+15.5wins	+0.05per pick	31cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1bf7…3b93backed Over	68c	293.45$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	62	54.8%34 W · 28 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe65b…33e2backed Under	48c	255.89$123 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$133.24	16	62.5%10 W · 6 L	+4.0wins	+0.25per pick	37cpaid	+44%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x7600…4478backed Under	70c	252$176 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75.6	310	36.1%112 W · 198 L	-18.3wins	-0.06per pick	42cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2db3…667abacked Under	69c	227.54$157 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70.54	173	48%83 W · 90 L	+2.5wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba3a…b49abacked Under	67c	223.88$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73.88	180	53.3%96 W · 84 L	-3.3wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b1c…2a3ebacked Under	51c	200$102 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$98	168	51.2%86 W · 82 L	+5.5wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xba74…e022backed Under	53c	200$105 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$95	102	63.7%65 W · 37 L	+4.2wins	+0.04per pick	60cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9146…7246backed Over	32c	200$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64	55	36.4%20 W · 35 L	-3.4wins	-0.06per pick	42cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x03bf…a94bbacked Over	31c	200$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62	153	52.9%81 W · 72 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa886…822bbacked Over	74c	179.41$132 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$131.92	138	53.6%74 W · 64 L	-7.4wins	-0.05per pick	59cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe550…2c8bbacked Under	63c	177.78$112 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$65.78	323	45.8%148 W · 175 L	-11.2wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7236…c20dbacked Under	63c	158.73$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.73	293	35.2%103 W · 190 L	-5.3wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a82…b6bdbacked Under	41c	133.21$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$78.21	35	57.1%20 W · 15 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x916c…669abacked Over	38c	131.58$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	87	33.3%29 W · 58 L	-2.1wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0257…22b2backed Over	40c	120$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	844	50.1%423 W · 421 L	+12.8wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfcfe…d420backed Over	33c	119.82$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	509	54.8%279 W · 230 L	+15.8wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb74d…9b2abacked Over	18c	100$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	22	9.1%2 W · 20 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16ce…eba1backed Under	65c	100$65 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35	1,520	3.3%50 W · 1,470 L	-54.0wins	-0.04per pick	7cpaid	-74.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xde2a…6bfebacked Over	61c	100$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61	722	34.1%246 W · 476 L	-5.4wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked Under	69c	92.5$64 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29	1,155	68.1%786 W · 369 L	+35.1wins	+0.03per pick	65cpaid	+3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f1f…aa39backed Under	67c	90.85$61 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.98	461	53.6%247 W · 214 L	-24.4wins	-0.05per pick	59cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8ade…e692backed Under	60c	84.3$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.72	226	54.4%123 W · 103 L	+20.9wins	+0.09per pick	45cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3c49…ca9dbacked Under	69c	61.83$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.17	36	36.1%13 W · 23 L	-5.3wins	-0.15per pick	51cpaid	-25.3%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x368d…d853backed Over	31c	61.83$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.17	179	42.5%76 W · 103 L	-4.1wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7eb3…0710backed Over	44c	60$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.5	56	60.7%34 W · 22 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	61cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x0cd9…2a08backed Under	55c	55$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.75	392	39%153 W · 239 L	+6.8wins	+0.02per pick	37cpaid	-1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca00…2256backed Over	37c	54.05$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.27per pick	27cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe70d…dd35backed Under	70c	50$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15	126	61.1%77 W · 49 L	-5.1wins	-0.04per pick	65cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6c16…8bfabacked Over	65c	47$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.55	67	32.8%22 W · 45 L	+3.8wins	+0.06per pick	27cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4b95…b23ebacked Under	78c	45$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10	1,049	44.6%468 W · 581 L	-9.4wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d60…50dbbacked Over	35c	43.05$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	150	52.7%79 W · 71 L	-8.0wins	-0.05per pick	58cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Over	32c	32.17$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.16	898	10.7%96 W · 802 L	+2.6wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x00a1…5062backed Under	48c	31.25$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.25	135	57%77 W · 58 L	+2.4wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	0%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8fa6…dbd6backed Under	66c	30.3$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.3	560	60.4%338 W · 222 L	-20.9wins	-0.04per pick	64cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb7ac…37bbbacked Over	62c	27.74$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.09	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.08per pick	42cpaid	+122.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2439…2e1fbacked Under	62c	24.08$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.14	63	47.6%30 W · 33 L	+5.0wins	+0.08per pick	40cpaid	+18.3%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe2cd…010bbacked Over	77c	18.84$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.5	29	31%9 W · 20 L	-6.1wins	-0.21per pick	52cpaid	-43.2%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0xea1c…73e6backed Under	70c	17.81$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.41	60	55%33 W · 27 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	56cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f20…eaf6backed Under	63c	17.46$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.46	39	64.1%25 W · 14 L	+7.6wins	+0.19per pick	45cpaid	+39.3%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Games Total: O/U 4.5this page
Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5)Invictus Gaming won
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 1 WinnerTop Esports won
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 2 WinnerInvictus Gaming won
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 3 WinnerInvictus Gaming won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Games Total: O/U 4.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event