TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb7ac…37bb

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
19
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 52 out of 100; worst NBA at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-24.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kraken vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+72.6%+$9.53
DEL: Eisbaeren Berlin vs. Grizzlys Wolfsburgbacked Eisbaeren Berlin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$20.82
KHL: Lokomotiv Yaroslavl vs. HC Dynamo Moscowbacked Lokomotiv Yaroslavl · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$22.64
Stars vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+105.1%+$24.48
Maple Leafs vs. Starsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$11
All 5 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dolphins vs. Patriots: O/U 45.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$17.1
Jaguars vs. Broncosbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$177Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+170.3%+$301.38
Chiefs vs. Titansbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$101
All 3 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Dec 26, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+122.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Games Total: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$17.09
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+345.4%+$46.83
All 2 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arizona vs. SMU Mustangs: O/U 54.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+104.1%+$21.71
California vs. Hawaiibacked California · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$10.41
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nuggets vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$18.06
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$20.92
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+126%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Senegal vs. Egypt end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+126%+$15.14
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump say "Helicopter" this week? (January 18)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+33.3%+$3.34
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jan 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$11.13
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 27, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Most Wanted vs Pipsqueak+4 (BO3)backed Most Wanted · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$11.14
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 24, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: CSDIILIT vs megoshort (BO3)backed megoshort · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$21.56
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.