Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2e767faca3d17f61980b4df6a0cb6654daff63bc179c232cc2aa744690d466c3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,564
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,262
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,564 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4421…80d2backed Under | 2c | 2,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 124 | 2.4%3 W · 121 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -95.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d29…6da9backed Over | 72c | 1,559$1,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.4 | 327 | 52.9%173 W · 154 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Under | 29c | 840.85$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.85 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Under | 33c | 700$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231 | 1,827 | 45.6%834 W · 993 L | +26.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 28c | 503.01$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.84 | 245 | 29.8%73 W · 172 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Under | 28c | 499.99$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 1,609 | 48.4%779 W · 830 L | +24.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d4…e1d2backed Under | 43c | 407.87$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.59 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 31cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd3…4191backed Over | 63c | 270$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.2 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Over | 69c | 217.9$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.9 | 955 | 51.7%494 W · 461 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Under | 31c | 202.39$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.74 | 84 | 38.1%32 W · 52 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc316…778dbacked Under | 30c | 175.71$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.71 | 71 | 54.9%39 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa886…822bbacked Over | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 138 | 53.6%74 W · 64 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf54a…e25dbacked Over | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 152 | 36.2%55 W · 97 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x827a…8a2bbacked Under | 30c | 140.84$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.25 | 135 | 43%58 W · 77 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7acb…8c1dbacked Over | 71c | 140.28$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.28 | 91 | 57.1%52 W · 39 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e6…71e4backed Under | 29c | 136$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.44 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.35per pick | 50cpaid | +79.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x89ad…5e22backed Under | 29c | 129$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.41 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Under | 10c | 125.62$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.47 | 1,517 | 3.3%50 W · 1,467 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc23…a56ebacked Over | 64c | 123.51$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.99 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1c…0dd0backed Under | 29c | 109$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.61 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc553…5928backed Under | 10c | 103.8$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.38 | 417 | 43.9%183 W · 234 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d7f…9485backed Over | 18c | 100$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 32cpaid | +164.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x102f…9b6ebacked Under | 30c | 98$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc880…a622backed Under | 29c | 98$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.42 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.31per pick | 47cpaid | +79.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc427…ee41backed Under | 29c | 84$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.36 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.30per pick | 55cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5309…c6c7backed Under | 36c | 84$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.24 | 147 | 63.3%93 W · 54 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa024…4929backed Under | 30c | 81$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23d0…d98bbacked Over | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x454a…4039backed Under | 29c | 68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.72 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27ed…57ebbacked Under | 31c | 61$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.91 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…47f8backed Over | 71c | 58$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf447…3fe7backed Over | 70c | 49$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fed…0d78backed Under | 30c | 46$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfacf…e97abacked Over | 71c | 43$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.47 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d2d…ffcebacked Over | 71c | 43$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.47 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e48…c958backed Over | 71c | 43$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.47 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9431…6270backed Over | 71c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.73 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…bdecbacked Over | 71c | 37$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.73 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89f9…41f0backed Over | 72c | 34.72$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef9…b5bfbacked Over | 70c | 34$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.05 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8655…0853backed Over | 69c | 33$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.23 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 48cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8380…1866backed Over | 71c | 33$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.57 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.25per pick | 47cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x38ee…012fbacked Over | 70c | 33$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.76 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cdb…ae41backed Over | 70c | 29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…d929backed Over | 71c | 29$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.41 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +29%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f20…eaf6backed Over | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +7.6wins | +0.19per pick | 45cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd84f…0475backed Over | 71c | 28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.12 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc856…0aa5backed Over | 69c | 28$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.68 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc55…9f7cbacked Over | 70c | 27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50be…bcb1backed Over | 71c | 26$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.54 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb5…6a69backed Over | 71c | 23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33b7…c747backed Over | 70c | 23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04a1…6b2dbacked Over | 71c | 22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.38 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8f…de8abacked Over | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 793 | 45.4%360 W · 433 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a94…31e6backed Over | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d9…6febbacked Over | 71c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.22 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +61.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x934a…9096backed Over | 71c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.22 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 62cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3be0…e4e5backed Over | 71c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.93 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.23per pick | 64cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaacc…23c6backed Over | 71c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.93 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x194f…81b6backed Over | 71c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.93 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 3.5this page
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5)Invictus Gaming won
- LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 1 WinnerTop Esports won
- LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 2 WinnerInvictus Gaming won
- LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 3 WinnerInvictus Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.