TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Will Bilibili Gaming win LoL Worlds 2024?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$972,428
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$903,356

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $972,428 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 852 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2aa5…ff32backed Yes41c32,853$13,404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,403.561,22549.6%607 W · 618 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd909…fd75backed No65c26,813$17,307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,505.92250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-22.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77dc…8a53backed Yes24c24,017$5,849 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,848.6110%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7024…b2cfbacked Yes39c23,844$9,346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,345.832857.1%16 W · 12 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2f1…2d22backed Yes67c19,079$12,777 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,777.1210048%48 W · 52 L-6.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-10.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed No55c17,410$9,515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,894.6711650%58 W · 58 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+15.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf43…10f4backed Yes68c15,487$10,567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,566.6720%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x40f8…327dbacked Yes39c15,193$5,925 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,924.933627.8%10 W · 26 L-3.8wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-40.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x408b…7163backed Yes35c11,756$4,112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,111.81633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick29cpaid-18.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2370…0e10backed Yes18c11,573$2,131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,130.58137.7%1 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick9cpaid-40.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29a9…5668backed Yes68c11,450$7,756 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,755.83333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-36.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc8c…e710backed No50c10,829$5,462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,367.512100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+195.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5940…9615backed Yes40c10,400$4,188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,187.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x95cf…0139backed Yes39c10,219$3,985 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,985.4110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84f0…81f3backed Yes42c10,097$4,264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,263.6730%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21ed…16f3backed Yes39c10,000$3,867 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,866.5510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb368…3a62backed Yes54c9,101$4,899 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,89920%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a06…bfc2backed Yes38c8,924$3,436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,435.51425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-63.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xde2f…7142backed Yes49c8,584$4,199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,198.610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d6d…e803backed Yes35c8,316$2,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,920.214339.5%17 W · 26 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x75c1…5a05backed Yes46c7,090$3,234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,234.31250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+20.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xaa98…4a57backed Yes41c6,840$2,832 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,832.03250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbde3…4a49backed Yes39c6,608$2,576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,576.123447.9%112 W · 122 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x28d8…3d89backed Yes64c6,405$4,111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,111.4130%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8c54…7e8cbacked No14c6,353$894 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,459.24450%2 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.34per pick16cpaid+165.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8229…dfbfbacked Yes14c6,182$883 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$882.717444.6%33 W · 41 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-18.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc6ff…fa28backed Yes39c6,081$2,397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,397.1810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0952…6fd0backed Yes41c5,903$2,391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,391.3720%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x06ec…f845backed Yes54c5,895$3,175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,174.85250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b07…13a1backed Yes35c5,591$1,948 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,947.84250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a6d…cbacbacked No31c5,453$1,691 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,762.55540%2 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.15per pick25cpaid+23.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9a5…8ce6backed Yes9c5,111$479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.13850%4 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+48.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x24fe…e52cbacked Yes17c5,057$860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$859.6140%0 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d4f…c690backed Yes37c4,938$1,828 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,828.3520%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd07f…162abacked Yes41c4,711$1,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,920.410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc2d2…4f4bbacked Yes57c4,637$2,639 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,639.1310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3dfd…f3b9backed Yes34c4,635$1,572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,572.16520%1 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-22.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb0a3…cc69backed No74c4,418$3,254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,163.871100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa613…d494backed Yes62c4,410$2,714 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,713.5620557.1%117 W · 88 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e8c…6657backed No60c4,378$2,625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,752.7117561.1%107 W · 68 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x43ed…5535backed Yes38c4,356$1,670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,670.4520%1 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-72.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d8d…ade4backed Yes10c4,317$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$445.413135.5%11 W · 20 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-31%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7003…5ed4backed Yes65c4,207$2,715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,715.1250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69bc…577dbacked Yes37c4,187$1,565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,564.852236.4%8 W · 14 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick32cpaid-4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa099…d81fbacked Yes25c4,180$1,034 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,033.61020%2 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-70.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8cee…94fbbacked Yes45c4,159$1,873 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,873.4910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x13cd…f701backed Yes33c4,039$1,349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,349.33250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+22%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfbce…de79backed Yes45c3,973$1,781 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,781.3710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4bb3…7617backed Yes40c3,837$1,535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,534.731650%8 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb22e…c2e1backed No59c3,833$2,266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,566.28785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.27per pick59cpaid+40.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7562…38e1backed Yes60c3,790$2,272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,271.6420%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc9c2…5357backed Yes38c3,770$1,433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,432.5910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x586e…4242backed Yes50c3,590$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,80010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37a6…73fdbacked No62c3,550$2,201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3491100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe74d…22fdbacked No40c3,546$1,430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,116.79450%2 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+44.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c80…5a81backed Yes43c3,190$1,372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,371.710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ee0…ae41backed Yes42c3,141$1,306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,306.367664.5%49 W · 27 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick63cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x644f…8bc9backed Yes11c3,000$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3302556%14 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4aef…9337backed Yes34c3,000$1,032 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,03210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6982…22e2backed Yes33c2,953$989 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$988.6510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c39…5f57backed Yes46c2,924$1,332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,331.86366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe903…6adbbacked Yes66c2,764$1,818 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,817.9914060%84 W · 56 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-5.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x22d3…5e3abacked Yes38c2,724$1,036 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,03610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ed5…c003backed Yes74c2,690$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-23.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0e8…2688backed Yes26c2,638$695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$694.792937.9%11 W · 18 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-30.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefb9…e74fbacked Yes40c2,617$1,047 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0471952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8bb4…8167backed Yes7c2,570$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.920%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d02…adadbacked No60c2,564$1,538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,025.433100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+52%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed Yes34c2,547$867 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$867.2148448.6%235 W · 249 L+12.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4884…9cf8backed Yes42c2,500$1,038 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,037.9310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3137…5e0dbacked Yes40c2,500$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+51.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e0d…12f8backed Yes42c2,495$1,048 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,047.71060%6 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+85.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x45c4…eee1backed Yes65c2,483$1,625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,625.49250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid+0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x313b…899abacked No34c2,483$848 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,634.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+145.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbc11…4393backed Yes42c2,357$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.2520%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa822…64e6backed Yes55c2,319$1,281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,281.484055%22 W · 18 L+3.3wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7493…fe92backed Yes44c2,308$1,016 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,015.6520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x597e…cd70backed Yes15c2,301$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.32433.3%8 W · 16 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c66…bb83backed Yes35c2,294$803 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$803.23366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0757…a555backed Yes58c2,273$1,318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,317.97250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-15.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x247e…40bcbacked Yes32c2,140$681 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$680.9310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes16c2,109$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34838837.4%145 W · 243 L-15.3wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0ec9…8001backed Yes39c2,106$824 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82420%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x439d…4a10backed Yes45c2,000$890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$889.87333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ee6…b101backed Yes42c1,932$811 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$811.45250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+71%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x987d…1143backed No67c1,923$1,289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$634.751662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+14.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x53f3…c41cbacked Yes42c1,917$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-20.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36ea…f0d2backed Yes42c1,890$796 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$795.54250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-22.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b8c…abbabacked Yes62c1,873$1,161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,161.0130%0 W · 3 L-1.9wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe33f…ec9cbacked Yes43c1,833$788 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$788.0910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x95a3…046ebacked No18c1,830$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,500.761100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.82per pick18cpaid+455.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0edb…59bfbacked Yes60c1,817$1,090 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,089.7720%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x88e0…45efbacked No58c1,727$1,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$725.171100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe5f9…2d70backed Yes35c1,724$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6001225%3 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-46.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x00a9…36bbbacked Yes48c1,679$805 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$805250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2168…30f4backed Yes66c1,633$1,078 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,077.91250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6902…678cbacked Yes13c1,627$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.7728.6%2 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.15per pick13cpaid-7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4efd…2459backed No62c1,625$1,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$617.561100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xefcd…93b0backed No58c1,565$903 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$661.981100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+73.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x310c…c503backed No64c1,563$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.