Lol · resolved market
Will FlyQuest win LoL Worlds 2024?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc3c3e6e41c0f268a011a611bc8362e28f85e193159c5ab240c4bf17acb369321
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $239,530
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $145,950
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $239,530 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc613…662bbacked Yes | 0c | 16,882$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.35 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6902…678cbacked Yes | 1c | 14,109$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.93 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 13cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa845…2307backed Yes | 10c | 12,472$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb550…2bacbacked Yes | 1c | 11,194$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.1 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8229…dfbfbacked Yes | 1c | 9,594$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.47 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d33…9e10backed Yes | 1c | 8,919$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94b1…c6d5backed Yes | 0c | 7,701$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.7 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ed…47d8backed Yes | 1c | 6,667$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.12 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x137b…44e8backed Yes | 0c | 6,544$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.64 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c5…0166backed Yes | 3c | 6,446$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.34 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe57e…ee85backed Yes | 2c | 5,946$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.49 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 7cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69bc…577dbacked Yes | 1c | 5,372$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed Yes | 1c | 4,789$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.61 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef4…5f24backed Yes | 1c | 4,187$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.12 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ffc…8967backed Yes | 1c | 3,746$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.95 | 236 | 24.6%58 W · 178 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc0…aae0backed Yes | 1c | 3,455$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95d6…ab22backed Yes | 1c | 2,750$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d2…c23cbacked Yes | 4c | 2,713$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.32 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +94.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 1c | 2,702$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.09 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +6.9wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcc03…a538backed Yes | 2c | 2,345$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Yes | 4c | 2,262$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.22 | 1,598 | 42.4%677 W · 921 L | -17.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…ef5fbacked Yes | 1c | 2,258$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.48 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85ab…8b3cbacked Yes | 2c | 2,075$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc98c…336dbacked Yes | 1c | 2,051$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b92…1cffbacked Yes | 7c | 2,029$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.98 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 17cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x052b…4f8dbacked Yes | 1c | 1,631$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…60acbacked Yes | 7c | 1,519$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6bd…59b7backed Yes | 1c | 1,335$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x747c…e830backed Yes | 16c | 1,264$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e8…2688backed Yes | 4c | 1,261$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.12 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04eb…58a0backed Yes | 2c | 1,182$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.23 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2128…d462backed Yes | 1c | 1,127$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4211…2e62backed Yes | 2c | 1,106$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.02 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +150%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1438…e114backed Yes | 1c | 1,060$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 11cpaid | +135.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x945c…9721backed Yes | 1c | 1,000$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x538a…bd78backed Yes | 1c | 998.05$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.33 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 8cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x052f…53fbbacked Yes | 11c | 919.39$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a91…bed9backed Yes | 8c | 665.83$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 12cpaid | +82.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43ed…5535backed Yes | 2c | 591.77$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.19 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -72.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4242…f42ebacked Yes | 5c | 568.83$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.25 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c8…fc4cbacked Yes | 7c | 562.72$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.58 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61ee…15babacked Yes | 4c | 514.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b4f…7f84backed Yes | 3c | 500$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +205.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6058…6f7ebacked Yes | 6c | 478.12$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.9 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47ee…4ab8backed Yes | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 11cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca2e…40c1backed Yes | 3c | 348.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9d5…0996backed Yes | 7c | 249.74$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2d…c5c3backed Yes | 8c | 244.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 16cpaid | +112.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x711f…406dbacked Yes | 14c | 143.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b61…f675backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FlyQuest win LoL Worlds 2024?this page
- Will Bilibili Gaming win LoL Worlds 2024?No won
- Will Dplus KIA win LoL Worlds 2024?No won
- Will Fnatic win LoL Worlds 2024?No won
- Will G2 Esports win LoL Worlds 2024?No won
- Will Gen.G win LoL Worlds 2024?No won
- Will Hanwha Life Esports win LoL Worlds 2024?No won
- Will LNG Esports win LoL Worlds 2024?No won
- Will T1 win LoL Worlds 2024?Yes won
- Will Team Liquid win LoL Worlds 2024?No won
- Will Top Esports win LoL Worlds 2024?No won
- Will Weibo Gaming win LoL Worlds 2024?No won
- Will another team win LoL Worlds 2024?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.