TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Will Dplus KIA win LoL Worlds 2024?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$79,604
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$40,782

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $79,604 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8229…dfbfbacked Yes2c7,962$157 inLost-$156.767444.6%33 W · 41 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-18.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2370…0e10backed Yes2c6,327$122 inLost-$122.03137.7%1 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick9cpaid-40.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes1c4,000$41 inLost-$4180%0 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85ab…8b3cbacked Yes3c3,806$99 inLost-$98.811921.1%4 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-29.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x79c4…d1c7backed Yes5c2,830$142 inLost-$141.510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc723…05fbbacked Yes4c2,700$108 inLost-$108250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick16cpaid+84.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes1c2,390$32 inLost-$31.547856.4%44 W · 34 L+6.9wins+0.09per pick48cpaid-2.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x538a…bd78backed Yes2c2,356$38 inLost-$37.92616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick8cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Yes3c2,231$57 inLost-$56.721010%1 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick20cpaid-85.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb8c5…0166backed Yes1c2,115$25 inLost-$25.021010%1 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick10cpaid-34.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x406f…7279backed Yes2c2,047$31 inLost-$30.71742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick32cpaid+125.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b3d…8db7backed Yes3c1,500$40 inLost-$40.41812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick14cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41c6…58a1backed Yes4c1,401$56 inLost-$56.19616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick13cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3d6…8b36backed Yes2c1,008$25 inLost-$252065%13 W · 7 L+4.8wins+0.24per pick41cpaid+56.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xf86c…ba99backed Yes5c1,000$50 inLost-$501978.9%15 W · 4 L+4.3wins+0.23per pick56cpaid+39.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed Yes2c1,000$15 inLost-$1548448.6%235 W · 249 L+12.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x17f0…719ebacked Yes1c897.2$13 inLost-$12.56714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.22per pick36cpaid-82.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2795…42c9backed Yes1c878.21$13 inLost-$12.54922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick25cpaid+16.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb550…2bacbacked Yes3c600$15 inLost-$15.13119.1%1 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick6cpaid-19%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6127…27debacked Yes2c534.7$12 inLost-$11.673831.6%12 W · 26 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick27cpaid+16.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf4a6…f55fbacked Yes3c379.33$11 inLost-$10.77644.7%34 W · 42 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.