Lol · resolved market
Will Top Esports win LoL Worlds 2024?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9829ae806ff910dab931dca38b39685dea94897f2460a4850aeeb0b5a815b378
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $113,178
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $55,286
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $113,178 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8229…dfbfbacked Yes | 8c | 10,007$842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$842.42 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa845…2307backed Yes | 9c | 5,524$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed Yes | 7c | 5,202$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.88 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2128…d462backed Yes | 1c | 4,565$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.03 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c5…0166backed Yes | 4c | 4,336$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.53 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 6c | 4,277$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.61 | 388 | 37.4%145 W · 243 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c0d…9997backed Yes | 8c | 3,065$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69bc…577dbacked Yes | 8c | 2,431$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ed…47d8backed Yes | 7c | 2,357$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.98 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Yes | 8c | 2,288$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.76 | 484 | 48.6%235 W · 249 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a5…4366backed Yes | 9c | 2,069$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.18 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0501…7f87backed Yes | 8c | 2,040$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 30cpaid | +175.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe57e…ee85backed Yes | 1c | 2,000$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 7cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe74d…22fdbacked Yes | 3c | 1,820$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.02 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x597e…cd70backed Yes | 13c | 1,547$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb550…2bacbacked Yes | 8c | 1,525$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.1 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43ed…5535backed Yes | 2c | 1,500$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -72.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Yes | 8c | 1,222$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.88 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 20cpaid | -85.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +87.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x699b…db49backed Yes | 5c | 1,000$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23ed…ded5backed Yes | 9c | 1,000$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 7c | 900.78$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.94 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +6.9wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda2f…baccbacked Yes | 8c | 504.74$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x063a…eb4bbacked Yes | 7c | 500$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3dd…c18fbacked Yes | 8c | 500$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…3b80backed Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa842…08e5backed Yes | 11c | 444$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.22 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +147.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17f0…719ebacked Yes | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 36cpaid | -82.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e8…2688backed Yes | 8c | 347.94$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.88 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa0…84e4backed Yes | 6c | 332.08$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 28cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6e…6b81backed Yes | 6c | 308.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x222e…b1e8backed Yes | 9c | 300$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.23per pick | 32cpaid | +117.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 7c | 300$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd7…50d8backed Yes | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b6…d455backed Yes | 8c | 270$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.79 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed Yes | 9c | 252$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.68 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22e5…d744backed Yes | 10c | 250$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.85 | 50 | 24%12 W · 38 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7607…46d9backed Yes | 14c | 214.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 10c | 200$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 508 | 48.4%246 W · 262 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc458…d2dcbacked Yes | 13c | 192.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -17%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47ee…4ab8backed Yes | 8c | 180$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 11cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a2…0807backed Yes | 8c | 150$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2df9…ee30backed Yes | 8c | 150$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4779…b4d9backed Yes | 7c | 144.59$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 14cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde0c…83dcbacked Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dbe…5e1abacked Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce07…685bbacked Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee4…c6fdbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Top Esports win LoL Worlds 2024?this page
- Will Bilibili Gaming win LoL Worlds 2024?No won
- Will Dplus KIA win LoL Worlds 2024?No won
- Will FlyQuest win LoL Worlds 2024?No won
- Will Fnatic win LoL Worlds 2024?No won
- Will G2 Esports win LoL Worlds 2024?No won
- Will Gen.G win LoL Worlds 2024?No won
- Will Hanwha Life Esports win LoL Worlds 2024?No won
- Will LNG Esports win LoL Worlds 2024?No won
- Will T1 win LoL Worlds 2024?Yes won
- Will Team Liquid win LoL Worlds 2024?No won
- Will Weibo Gaming win LoL Worlds 2024?No won
- Will another team win LoL Worlds 2024?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.