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Lol · resolved market

Will Weibo Gaming win LoL Worlds 2024?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$260,948
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$150,745

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $260,948 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2370…0e10backed Yes5c21,236$1,058 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,057.54137.7%1 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick9cpaid-40.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x658e…8031backed Yes7c19,102$1,311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,311.510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd060…d9bebacked Yes7c12,209$854 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$854.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x69bc…577dbacked Yes2c11,195$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2032236.4%8 W · 14 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick32cpaid-4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd614…1fa3backed Yes3c6,908$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.7815223.7%36 W · 116 L-6.8wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-28.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xed95…0729backed Yes2c6,341$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.4920%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0ed…47d8backed Yes3c5,601$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1841414.3%2 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick19cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc345…dd9abacked Yes6c4,784$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid-10.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8229…dfbfbacked Yes6c4,159$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.227444.6%33 W · 41 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-18.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb550…2bacbacked Yes2c3,850$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.88119.1%1 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick6cpaid-19%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes3c3,329$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.887856.4%44 W · 34 L+6.9wins+0.09per pick48cpaid-2.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb8c5…0166backed Yes1c3,248$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.21010%1 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick10cpaid-34.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc613…662bbacked Yes1c3,156$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.92140%0 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b1a…f63cbacked Yes7c2,874$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick19cpaid+62%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa613…d494backed Yes8c2,686$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.8321457%122 W · 92 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6573…d65bbacked Yes6c2,648$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.5310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26b6…f696backed Yes6c2,501$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc458…d2dcbacked Yes1c2,474$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.74933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick27cpaid-17%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe077…8ee3backed Yes3c2,438$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.6910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe57e…ee85backed Yes7c2,359$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.69520%1 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.13per pick7cpaid-21.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5a8…45b8backed Yes6c2,281$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.56520%1 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-73.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b82…291ebacked Yes6c2,281$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ffc…8967backed Yes2c2,276$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.1923624.6%58 W · 178 L-7.6wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-19.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes1c2,000$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1880%0 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6902…678cbacked Yes4c2,000$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86728.6%2 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.15per pick13cpaid-7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe429…fb94backed Yes5c1,990$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.4950%0 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc745…9499backed Yes6c1,842$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.08520%1 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick20cpaid+10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64ec…9f79backed Yes5c1,810$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.041952.6%10 W · 9 L+3.2wins+0.17per pick36cpaid+112.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0ef4…5f24backed Yes6c1,775$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.85540%2 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick33cpaid-17.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x699b…db49backed Yes6c1,722$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9425%1 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick16cpaid+92.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca4d…7086backed Yes6c1,687$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.5510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8ba…4978backed Yes6c1,636$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105850%4 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+133.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x97c0…943fbacked Yes3c1,455$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.51540%2 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.15per pick25cpaid+51.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3899…452ebacked Yes8c1,382$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-25.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x75a5…a5bfbacked Yes5c1,372$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.681435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x033c…5eacbacked Yes7c1,243$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b3d…8db7backed Yes3c1,201$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.51812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick14cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4242…f42ebacked Yes3c1,200$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.260%0 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf9c0…7e50backed Yes7c1,197$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.3410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6be…fcfebacked Yes1c1,189$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.27728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick46cpaid-59.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xca2e…40c1backed Yes6c1,180$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-57.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ee0…ae41backed Yes9c1,114$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007664.5%49 W · 27 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick63cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9bad…74a7backed Yes7c1,009$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70425%1 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick19cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab74…3996backed Yes6c1,000$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$592524%6 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24fe…e52cbacked Yes3c950$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.9540%0 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3ee…47e4backed Yes5c928.84$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.8920%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff6a…4ebfbacked Yes13c865.12$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0782…3dd4backed Yes6c848.6$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50250%1 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick9cpaid+284.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb959…4a72backed Yes6c833.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.99425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-40.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab64…d070backed Yes6c800$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4840%0 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdecd…a890backed Yes4c762.85$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.9630%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe438…33b3backed Yes7c734.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50450%2 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+18.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9788…e94cbacked Yes7c724.64$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6544…fb05backed Yes7c719.51$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50450%2 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.38per pick12cpaid+224.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf655…f5debacked Yes3c714.29$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x041a…dc83backed Yes7c692.64$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ab9…7d19backed Yes7c686.41$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick19cpaid+62.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe3dd…c18fbacked Yes6c647.23$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.211020%2 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-66.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc7a5…4366backed Yes5c636.99$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.140%0 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21b2…c7cabacked Yes6c634.41$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.4310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85ab…8b3cbacked Yes5c626.52$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301921.1%4 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-29.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x130f…6e99backed Yes7c608.39$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.932147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e1a…e5ccbacked Yes6c600$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.4250%1 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick8cpaid+358.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a91…bed9backed Yes10c573.86$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick12cpaid+82.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f50…4db9backed Yes6c556$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf6c…c780backed Yes6c555.33$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick25cpaid-48.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc011…0a62backed Yes8c541.37$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.9546250.9%235 W · 227 L-1.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35b7…c6c1backed Yes6c517.24$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30b5…4da1backed Yes6c508.47$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3020%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9a5…8ce6backed Yes6c500$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.5850%4 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+48.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd434…f8e8backed Yes6c500$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9462…1047backed Yes2c500$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.58per pick9cpaid+497.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9dff…7291backed Yes6c500$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x362a…68c7backed Yes6c471.24$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick22cpaid+37.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x89c3…3046backed Yes3c449.24$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.882321.7%5 W · 18 L-2.5wins-0.11per pick32cpaid-37.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7be5…81f0backed Yes6c411.53$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.69922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick27cpaid+252.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19f4…61f3backed Yes4c410$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.2920%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4779…b4d9backed Yes6c400.02$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.3333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick14cpaid+21.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x06a9…3b80backed Yes5c400$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2090%0 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8ef5…1622backed Yes6c311.38$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick30cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes5c300$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1450848.4%246 W · 262 L+13.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb781…1b0ebacked Yes7c286.25$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x19d0…ef25backed Yes6c274.32$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.2910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6058…6f7ebacked Yes8c240.59$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2030%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0762…f3c9backed Yes6c237.29$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74c3…c1a8backed Yes5c227$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8830%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf46b…0eeabacked Yes6c219.3$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.34450%2 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+63.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd25b…dd82backed Yes6c216.73$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.22425%1 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick19cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x406f…7279backed Yes6c215.8$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick32cpaid+125.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd1b…efb3backed Yes5c200$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10425%1 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick16cpaid+66.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf48d…5817backed Yes6c176.44$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.45425%1 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick15cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf40…7943backed Yes6c170.71$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.24450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x22e5…d744backed Yes7c150$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.055024%12 W · 38 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick29cpaid-41.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd99f…102cbacked Yes7c150$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.35425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.