Lol · resolved market
Will LNG Esports win LoL Worlds 2024?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xed9ebea7bb1b444f2c8921e85e7aed5068b3552369a7f6df7def39f7fde4a417
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $145,556
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $91,233
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $145,556 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa845…2307backed Yes | 13c | 30,918$4,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,041.27 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d5…ba77backed Yes | 11c | 8,000$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed Yes | 10c | 7,912$830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$830.29 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8229…dfbfbacked Yes | 9c | 6,427$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.3 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa613…d494backed Yes | 11c | 5,300$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 205 | 57.1%117 W · 88 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c1…5a18backed Yes | 12c | 4,749$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.17 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +3.3wins | +0.18per pick | 43cpaid | +98%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 6c | 4,117$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.96 | 388 | 37.4%145 W · 243 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9298…b430backed Yes | 12c | 4,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 12cpaid | +328.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…1fa3backed Yes | 9c | 3,348$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.48 | 144 | 25%36 W · 108 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf306…7445backed Yes | 8c | 3,097$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.72 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -33%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed Yes | 11c | 3,006$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.64 | 100 | 48%48 W · 52 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Yes | 7c | 2,857$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +87.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2af6…6fbfbacked Yes | 16c | 2,096$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a8…45b8backed Yes | 1c | 1,750$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c3…1f5fbacked Yes | 15c | 1,403$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.89 | 796 | 53.1%423 W · 373 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ed…47d8backed Yes | 9c | 1,167$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69bc…577dbacked Yes | 10c | 1,083$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.78 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ed8…5bc6backed Yes | 13c | 1,059$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.67 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 6c | 1,013$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.36 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +6.9wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb550…2bacbacked Yes | 9c | 1,008$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.91 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed Yes | 11c | 909$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2795…42c9backed Yes | 12c | 808.64$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.04 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab64…d070backed Yes | 10c | 800$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdec4…a1fbbacked Yes | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Yes | 8c | 713$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.96 | 1,598 | 42.4%677 W · 921 L | -17.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc7…f7c2backed Yes | 10c | 701.14$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe429…fb94backed Yes | 7c | 692$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.44 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd60…a6c1backed Yes | 12c | 600$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a5…4366backed Yes | 10c | 600$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c5…0166backed Yes | 10c | 597.37$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.76 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x063a…eb4bbacked Yes | 10c | 562.53$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3d…8db7backed Yes | 8c | 500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.9 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21e2…0fbfbacked Yes | 13c | 461.54$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d59…d20fbacked Yes | 13c | 385.08$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.06 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3dd…c18fbacked Yes | 9c | 361.06$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41c6…58a1backed Yes | 9c | 330$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf9e…0587backed Yes | 11c | 326.18$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.57 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -3.6wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -57%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd4…1066backed Yes | 10c | 303.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93c3…6ddcbacked Yes | 9c | 299.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…3b80backed Yes | 7c | 290$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc7a…ed48backed Yes | 11c | 284.2$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdb3…c1d4backed Yes | 7c | 267.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | +92.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c4…9f62backed Yes | 9c | 250$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb494…b364backed Yes | 12c | 250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc95e…4939backed Yes | 10c | 237.3$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 12cpaid | +257.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45ab…2c73backed Yes | 13c | 230.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +70.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x270a…7b78backed Yes | 6c | 207$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.78 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda7…84c8backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc0…f722backed Yes | 10c | 197$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.7 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d2…342ebacked Yes | 16c | 156.11$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -6.2wins | -0.21per pick | 56cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x04dc…2387backed Yes | 13c | 150$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e5…4211backed Yes | 7c | 150$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc458…d2dcbacked Yes | 17c | 144.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -17%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20cd…7a0cbacked Yes | 15c | 133.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4387…f89ebacked Yes | 13c | 115.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a6…f55fbacked Yes | 10c | 113.2$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.32 | 76 | 44.7%34 W · 42 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b6…d455backed Yes | 12c | 101.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.12 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee4…c6fdbacked Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c24…c898backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf144…1edebacked Yes | 13c | 84.62$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x624d…bbc0backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will LNG Esports win LoL Worlds 2024?this page
- Will Bilibili Gaming win LoL Worlds 2024?No won
- Will Dplus KIA win LoL Worlds 2024?No won
- Will FlyQuest win LoL Worlds 2024?No won
- Will Fnatic win LoL Worlds 2024?No won
- Will G2 Esports win LoL Worlds 2024?No won
- Will Gen.G win LoL Worlds 2024?No won
- Will Hanwha Life Esports win LoL Worlds 2024?No won
- Will T1 win LoL Worlds 2024?Yes won
- Will Team Liquid win LoL Worlds 2024?No won
- Will Top Esports win LoL Worlds 2024?No won
- Will Weibo Gaming win LoL Worlds 2024?No won
- Will another team win LoL Worlds 2024?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.