NBA · resolved market

Pistons vs. Nets

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3b8a9711f98592533a99dd6779408b48ee8d6d66b25e2b70cca1ff3bc9f0d5f7

Rebuilt 4 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Pistonsof Pistons, Nets
Resolved: Nov 3, 2024, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $133,918
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $114,711

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $133,918 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 139 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x6761…a94fbacked Pistons	36c	47,697$17,176 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30,521.43	92	48.9%45 W · 47 L	-2.4wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e25…ff35backed Nets	68c	19,266$13,101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13,100.62	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-1.8wins	-0.18per pick	58cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9eb2…c8bfbacked Nets	60c	17,231$10,287 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,286.96	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-1.9wins	-0.31per pick	48cpaid	-73.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2ff0…46e3backed Nets	65c	9,036$5,896 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,896.4	476	56.5%269 W · 207 L	+6.0wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1dbd…af92backed Pistons	42c	7,849$3,276 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,572.89	84	36.9%31 W · 53 L	-10.5wins	-0.12per pick	49cpaid	-33.5%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Nets	7c	7,485$514 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$513.94	1,602	11.8%189 W · 1,413 L	-4.8wins	0.00per pick	12cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4818…bf0bbacked Nets	64c	7,190$4,608 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,607.76	141	29.1%41 W · 100 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x02cb…ae38backed Nets	53c	4,001$2,103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,102.78	104	62.5%65 W · 39 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	61cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa501…9f0fbacked Nets	39c	3,500$1,365 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,365	45	26.7%12 W · 33 L	-5.4wins	-0.12per pick	39cpaid	-44%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2aa5…ff32backed Nets	58c	3,000$1,740 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,740	80	46.3%37 W · 43 L	-3.0wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Nets	24c	2,736$645 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$644.63	615	32.2%198 W · 417 L	-21.1wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-32.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Nets	2c	2,722$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.13	1,035	1.1%11 W · 1,024 L	-24.4wins	-0.02per pick	3cpaid	-90.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3fa3…dc66backed Nets	43c	2,018$878 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$877.56	69	43.5%30 W · 39 L	+4.9wins	+0.07per pick	36cpaid	+21.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x38f1…9ff1backed Nets	59c	2,000$1,170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,170	75	49.3%37 W · 38 L	-4.0wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6cff…c3dabacked Nets	1c	1,787$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.92	185	18.4%34 W · 151 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-15%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8140…b92fbacked Pistons	38c	1,784$683 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,100.63	91	49.5%45 W · 46 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x479c…bcbcbacked Nets	61c	1,650$1,007 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,006.5	75	49.3%37 W · 38 L	-1.9wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12ce…a6abbacked Pistons	39c	1,650$644 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,006.5	84	42.9%36 W · 48 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	+9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x76d0…c092backed Nets	49c	1,508$747 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$746.57	35	31.4%11 W · 24 L	-2.9wins	-0.08per pick	40cpaid	-24.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa34e…895ebacked Pistons	34c	1,302$441 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$861.59	29	24.1%7 W · 22 L	-1.3wins	-0.04per pick	29cpaid	-28.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ba5…aaf1backed Nets	58c	1,300$754 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$753.99	367	48.2%177 W · 190 L	-4.6wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Nets	60c	1,000$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	1,290	44%567 W · 723 L	+35.0wins	+0.03per pick	41cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d86…537abacked Nets	1c	1,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	18	44.4%8 W · 10 L	-1.8wins	-0.10per pick	54cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x74f1…16a8backed Nets	7c	980.45$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.93	117	19.7%23 W · 94 L	-3.3wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-35.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8f7…039abacked Nets	59c	899.99$531 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$530.99	162	42%68 W · 94 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2fb4…2794backed Pistons	40c	885.79$355 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$530.49	164	43.3%71 W · 93 L	+4.8wins	+0.03per pick	40cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x306b…3ec5backed Nets	3c	829.37$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.82	113	32.7%37 W · 76 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	32cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0054…7f85backed Pistons	50c	790$393 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$397	37	45.9%17 W · 20 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0150…a67abacked Nets	35c	756.6$268 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$267.83	24	58.3%14 W · 10 L	+2.2wins	+0.09per pick	49cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x99c2…ef35backed Nets	67c	713.31$478 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$477.92	142	33.1%47 W · 95 L	-7.8wins	-0.06per pick	39cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2765…94cbbacked Pistons	41c	664.95$273 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$392.32	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Nets	53c	630.19$334 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$334	531	34.7%184 W · 347 L	-11.7wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4cb8…43f6backed Nets	49c	602.07$295 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$295.01	72	36.1%26 W · 46 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	35cpaid	-11%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c4b…f1e6backed Nets	59c	558.08$331 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$331.37	58	56.9%33 W · 25 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	58cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x28f0…ceabbacked Pistons	40c	523.22$207 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$316.54	159	45.9%73 W · 86 L	-6.7wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x79ee…ae97backed Nets	59c	508.47$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	48	37.5%18 W · 30 L	-4.9wins	-0.10per pick	48cpaid	-23.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xac97…a99ebacked Pistons	40c	500$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$300	122	47.5%58 W · 64 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5335…0b0fbacked Nets	37c	500$185 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$185	24	25%6 W · 18 L	-2.2wins	-0.09per pick	34cpaid	-44.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x17de…8b83backed Nets	60c	500$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	12	66.7%8 W · 4 L	+1.9wins	+0.16per pick	50cpaid	+34.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xca95…fc40backed Pistons	42c	499.97$210 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$289.99	61	41%25 W · 36 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x487f…30babacked Pistons	42c	440$185 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$255.2	52	48.1%25 W · 27 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf64…7e54backed Nets	58c	440$255 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$255.2	52	50%26 W · 26 L	+2.5wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+33.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9c0…4583backed Nets	57c	423.75$242 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$241.54	138	57.2%79 W · 59 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c6…0ea8backed Nets	73c	416.36$306 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$305.71	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-2.2wins	-0.22per pick	52cpaid	-42.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9f85…d745backed Pistons	48c	404.25$193 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$211.21	104	41.3%43 W · 61 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x943b…fe84backed Nets	59c	366.1$216 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$216	21	19%4 W · 17 L	-3.9wins	-0.18per pick	37cpaid	-50%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfb51…742dbacked Nets	58c	354.2$205 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$205.44	36	58.3%21 W · 15 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	58cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed Pistons	37c	340$127 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$212.8	709	51.3%364 W · 345 L	+6.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6967…1986backed Nets	59c	338.98$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x939e…d1e1backed Nets	59c	268.8$159 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$158.59	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.59per pick	59cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xab68…1bb1backed Nets	31c	257.08$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	159	11.9%19 W · 140 L	-6.2wins	-0.04per pick	16cpaid	-41.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x576b…7336backed Nets	49c	240$119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118.6	183	16.9%31 W · 152 L	-3.8wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7b2…ece3backed Pistons	40c	235.99$94 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$141.59	196	42.9%84 W · 112 L	-10.9wins	-0.06per pick	48cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb228…2734backed Nets	52c	228$119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118.56	25	20%5 W · 20 L	-3.6wins	-0.14per pick	34cpaid	-48.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Nets	57c	219.3$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125	269	34.9%94 W · 175 L	-9.1wins	-0.03per pick	38cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x98ec…7cd3backed Nets	71c	200$142 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$142	27	51.9%14 W · 13 L	-1.2wins	-0.04per pick	56cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7106…fb79backed Nets	53c	200$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106	69	55.1%38 W · 31 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c64…1d7abacked Nets	62c	200$124 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$124	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-2.0wins	-0.28per pick	43cpaid	-58%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5433…0d50backed Nets	59c	200$118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118	21	66.7%14 W · 7 L	+2.5wins	+0.12per pick	55cpaid	+42.2%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x33cc…a0b6backed Pistons	40c	200$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$120	184	37.5%69 W · 115 L	-3.6wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-14%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb10e…beedbacked Pistons	40c	179.17$72 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$107.5	18	38.9%7 W · 11 L	-1.5wins	-0.09per pick	47cpaid	+10.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7096…d004backed Nets	61c	176.7$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107.77	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.15per pick	65cpaid	-27.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a6b…1a3ebacked Nets	59c	170$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.3	25	60%15 W · 10 L	+1.4wins	+0.05per pick	55cpaid	+24.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0952…786dbacked Nets	60c	166.67$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	26	53.8%14 W · 12 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd35…c85ebacked Nets	62c	161.29$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	73	47.9%35 W · 38 L	-4.7wins	-0.06per pick	54cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xec6a…a421backed Nets	61c	160.55$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.94	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	-3.3wins	-0.23per pick	52cpaid	-53.9%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd8c6…9211backed Nets	63c	156.96$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.35	148	47.3%70 W · 78 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf183…979cbacked Pistons	43c	139.37$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$79.47	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.7wins	+0.24per pick	43cpaid	+51.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa88d…221cbacked Pistons	77c	129.87$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.87	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	-1.5wins	-0.09per pick	53cpaid	-21.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3447…fbf7backed Nets	12c	126.06$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	+1.0wins	+0.15per pick	28cpaid	+79.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa316…e33ebacked Nets	63c	125.26$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.85	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.63per pick	63cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1604…21b6backed Nets	60c	125$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51f2…8d23backed Nets	25c	120$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.1	61	39.3%24 W · 37 L	-1.9wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Nets	59c	111.9$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.9	1,166	54.4%634 W · 532 L	+19.3wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51b1…bce2backed Pistons	37c	100.48$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63.22	774	37.5%290 W · 484 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc0e5…293bbacked Nets	58c	100$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58	36	55.6%20 W · 16 L	-2.1wins	-0.06per pick	62cpaid	-8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4384…f52fbacked Pistons	38c	99.97$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.98	47	42.6%20 W · 27 L	+5.0wins	+0.11per pick	32cpaid	+20.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x14ee…e21dbacked Nets	62c	96.85$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.05	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.62per pick	62cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x880d…aeb6backed Pistons	45c	95.41$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.41	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.18per pick	48cpaid	+28.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f89…bd3ebacked Nets	71c	94.65$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.7wins	-0.71per pick	71cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xba19…0f73backed Pistons	41c	85.54$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.69	63	50.8%32 W · 31 L	+1.6wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x732b…85f4backed Nets	62c	85$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.7	26	34.6%9 W · 17 L	-3.0wins	-0.12per pick	46cpaid	-24.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1f19…aec2backed Nets	63c	80.79$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.9	367	47.7%175 W · 192 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7c81…1a5cbacked Nets	62c	80.65$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	24	66.7%16 W · 8 L	+1.9wins	+0.08per pick	59cpaid	+34.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe4e2…0187backed Nets	58c	80$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.4	293	55.3%162 W · 131 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xd7cb…b857backed Pistons	69c	80$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.65	55	56.4%31 W · 24 L	+2.1wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x31b7…21fbbacked Nets	53c	71.09$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.98	18	77.8%14 W · 4 L	+5.2wins	+0.29per pick	49cpaid	+79.8%equal weight	64+0.12 edge/pick
0xd5be…8728backed Nets	59c	69.16$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.15	22	36.4%8 W · 14 L	-2.9wins	-0.13per pick	50cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9efd…f35dbacked Nets	58c	68.97$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.58per pick	58cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd2d6…b8e3backed Pistons	44c	68.18$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.18	40	50%20 W · 20 L	+3.2wins	+0.08per pick	42cpaid	+28.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3c87…70d5backed Pistons	32c	64$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.52	346	44.2%153 W · 193 L	-7.7wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c69…9695backed Pistons	47c	60$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.8	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	60cpaid	+17.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60af…0ee9backed Pistons	43c	50.93$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.03	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.1wins	+0.53per pick	47cpaid	+114.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2147…6b28backed Nets	59c	50.85$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.1wins	-0.55per pick	55cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xab74…3996backed Pistons	32c	50$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34	38	23.7%9 W · 29 L	-2.6wins	-0.07per pick	31cpaid	-33.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa44e…4d45backed Pistons	43c	50$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.3	13	61.5%8 W · 5 L	-1.0wins	-0.08per pick	69cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3080…6b8ebacked Pistons	41c	49.02$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.02	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	32cpaid	+30.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x09ac…5984backed Pistons	43c	46.51$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.51	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.07per pick	41cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f46…b84bbacked Pistons	41c	45.88$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.96	32	46.9%15 W · 17 L	-3.1wins	-0.10per pick	57cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb701…7cf6backed Nets	69c	43.48$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	303	31.4%95 W · 208 L	-8.8wins	-0.03per pick	34cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Pistons vs. Nets

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market