Champions League · resolved market
Will AC Milan beat Dinamo Zagreb?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x62c641c02a7aec705b138dc9bfa19bfff8cdebcd7c3d77a3bc86bfdc0f0eea8f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,626
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,452
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,626 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes | 22c | 4,989$1,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,104.84 | 109 | 31.2%34 W · 75 L | -9.7wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed No | 74c | 4,816$3,579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,236.59 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf00f…711abacked No | 35c | 1,070$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$695.48 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 65c | 600$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 138 | 47.1%65 W · 73 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c9…bb9ebacked Yes | 63c | 454.92$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.6 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -4.7wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 77c | 411.24$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.93 | 307 | 54.1%166 W · 141 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbac1…ce0ebacked Yes | 65c | 385.73$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 123 | 33.3%41 W · 82 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Yes | 35c | 290$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.5 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd88…1ca6backed Yes | 64c | 238.99$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.95 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 35c | 214$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.1 | 383 | 56.7%217 W · 166 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbf…2760backed Yes | 31c | 200$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79d1…b373backed No | 37c | 136.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +36%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe864…822fbacked No | 37c | 135.78$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked No | 35c | 123.72$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.42 | 123 | 59.3%73 W · 50 L | +12.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +16%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb014…4c7cbacked Yes | 35c | 114.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 186 | 50.5%94 W · 92 L | -14.4wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -12%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked No | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x028f…c9cbbacked Yes | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5036…416bbacked No | 37c | 99.99$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.99 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c15…a488backed Yes | 65c | 98.82$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0f…addabacked Yes | 63c | 95.21$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc51…dcdabacked Yes | 65c | 90.43$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 36c | 87.95$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.29 | 344 | 49.7%171 W · 173 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Yes | 62c | 87.55$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.28 | 168 | 36.3%61 W · 107 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdeab…b7f9backed Yes | 64c | 81.05$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8239…ddd7backed Yes | 32c | 81.03$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.2 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5652…ff34backed No | 38c | 78.95$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.95 | 100 | 40%40 W · 60 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 35c | 62.09$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.44 | 469 | 56.5%265 W · 204 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes | 64c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 244 | 55.7%136 W · 108 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…2858backed No | 36c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1276…6d30backed Yes | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a06…d20ebacked Yes | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x778c…68b4backed No | 37c | 37.44$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.58 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +53%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5f…7da2backed No | 36c | 35.89$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47cc…58cbbacked No | 35c | 34.61$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.49 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +71.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b9…26cabacked No | 36c | 31.47$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.14 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +62%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e0…4e29backed Yes | 64c | 31.42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc4…07fcbacked Yes | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd254…d207backed No | 37c | 30.51$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f6…2c3cbacked Yes | 63c | 30.51$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb1…1da2backed No | 37c | 29.89$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc86a…b47dbacked Yes | 64c | 29.26$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.73 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d5…4927backed No | 37c | 27.04$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc164…c4d6backed Yes | 65c | 26.64$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb02d…9c2fbacked Yes | 63c | 25.31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8421…37d7backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 27cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…da92backed Yes | 63c | 21.58$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf96…531dbacked Yes | 64c | 20.38$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79ed…6c23backed Yes | 64c | 20.35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95c8…9143backed Yes | 64c | 20.32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3fe…978fbacked No | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.3 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 68cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33f3…6073backed Yes | 63c | 16.55$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed1f…3462backed Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will AC Milan beat Dinamo Zagreb?this page
- Will Dinamo Zagreb beat AC Milan?Yes won
- Will the match between Dinamo Zagreb and AC Milan end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.