Champions League · resolved market
Will Dinamo Zagreb beat AC Milan?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2c848cf34845831c89b46904e9986a495bbd60b9c4581fbef44aeaa666f22d07
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,099
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,696
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,099 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Yes | 52c | 4,330$2,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,095.5 | 204 | 62.3%127 W · 77 L | +19.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Yes | 45c | 3,091$1,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,705.33 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 60c | 2,839$1,712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,711.89 | 368 | 51.1%188 W · 180 L | +15.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…612abacked No | 65c | 2,330$1,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,514.51 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…ed9dbacked No | 31c | 1,970$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602 | 109 | 31.2%34 W · 75 L | -9.7wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 37c | 1,400$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514 | 307 | 54.1%166 W · 141 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ab…5eb9backed Yes | 78c | 1,286$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.85 | 20 | 80%16 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 70cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce7…fd4abacked Yes | 70c | 1,200$838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed No | 14c | 600$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 173 | 22%38 W · 135 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Yes | 69c | 439.99$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.2 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe880…de2dbacked No | 59c | 250$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.5 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | -6.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb701…7cf6backed Yes | 41c | 200.49$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.49 | 84 | 33.3%28 W · 56 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +35%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe822…8ad9backed Yes | 17c | 185.6$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.69 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +61.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Yes | 16c | 143.82$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.81 | 168 | 36.3%61 W · 107 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Yes | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 114 | 43%49 W · 65 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99c2…ef35backed No | 34c | 80$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 74 | 60.8%45 W · 29 L | +6.5wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe3fe…978fbacked Yes | 71c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 68cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Dinamo Zagreb beat AC Milan?this page
- Will AC Milan beat Dinamo Zagreb?No won
- Will the match between Dinamo Zagreb and AC Milan end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.