TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will Bayern Munich beat Feyenoord?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$66,789
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$74,549

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,789 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 147 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb8c4…7385backed No35c11,150$3,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,230.0221037.1%78 W · 132 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x12d6…dbbcbacked No27c6,000$1,620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,379.6412359.3%73 W · 50 L+12.4wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+16%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes72c5,170$3,709 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,70910931.2%34 W · 75 L-9.7wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-31.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1dd6…5d79backed Yes53c4,286$2,289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,288.76425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-56.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2863…0e3ebacked Yes50c3,550$1,775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,775.061154.5%6 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick64cpaid-25.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x62dd…869abacked Yes75c3,000$2,241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,240.710%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbde1…187fbacked Yes74c2,500$1,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,850666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick72cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No26c2,207$573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,633.7344955.7%250 W · 199 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed No26c2,012$526 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,486.2718754.5%102 W · 85 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd34b…0004backed No26c2,006$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,481.51425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed No26c2,000$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,48040222.9%92 W · 310 L+0.7wins0.00per pick23cpaid+9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed No56c1,610$909 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$700.9422647.3%107 W · 119 L+12.7wins+0.06per pick42cpaid-3.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1ba1…2af6backed No28c1,400$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0081100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+257.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f05…4480backed Yes75c1,283$962 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$962633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-42.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No26c1,200$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$892.9838048.7%185 W · 195 L+10.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a6f…6b82backed Yes73c1,150$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$839.73464.7%22 W · 12 L+3.5wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+14.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbc85…6062backed Yes74c1,052$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$780.1910%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No26c1,027$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$756.7721354%115 W · 98 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Yes74c1,000$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74014953%79 W · 70 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6ac…b899backed Yes20c1,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick21cpaid+66.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf00f…711abacked No26c849$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$624.091957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+11.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8803…eb1dbacked No48c816.1$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$427.01450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+61.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d6d…f360backed Yes10c700$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701020%2 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick21cpaid+36.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x96df…4caabacked Yes75c693.72$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$520.292250%11 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa075…09fdbacked Yes74c645.34$478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$477.55728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.24per pick52cpaid-51.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1638…339bbacked No25c572.12$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429.091330.8%4 W · 9 L+2.2wins+0.17per pick14cpaid+147%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8239…ddd7backed Yes8c553.52$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.955429.6%16 W · 38 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick24cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdf70…cfb7backed Yes11c453.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Yes54c369.09$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20015250.7%77 W · 75 L+9.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6909…36b5backed Yes73c333.1$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.16666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99c2…ef35backed Yes16c325.04$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.017460.8%45 W · 29 L+6.5wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+37.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x3aab…c911backed Yes32c309.98$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100119.1%1 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick14cpaid+1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a0b…f974backed Yes75c300.09$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.0710%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3989…27b1backed Yes73c300$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21910543.8%46 W · 59 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd2f…37ddbacked No25c285.67$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.8211132.4%36 W · 75 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-23.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x551c…a9c2backed Yes73c280$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.42259.1%13 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe06c…62aebacked Yes72c271.44$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.442958.6%17 W · 12 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9e8…0819backed Yes74c265.74$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.65633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-40.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked No27c250.02$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.7516836.3%61 W · 107 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87e9…67c6backed Yes23c250$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.5333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-52.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1457…e1f6backed Yes73c245.38$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.13250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick74cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Yes73c233.23$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17120667.5%139 W · 67 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x746f…2014backed Yes73c221.64$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.8250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-13.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaff0…3e1fbacked Yes33c221.2$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.941844.4%8 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes73c200$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14618650.5%94 W · 92 L-14.4wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-12%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9d4d…6d87backed Yes73c200$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick40cpaid-37.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x30b9…9b83backed Yes75c200$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.82728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.23per pick52cpaid-55.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfdbf…c88ebacked Yes50c184.35$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.183129%9 W · 22 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-26.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked No65c163$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.0517466.1%115 W · 59 L+11.8wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+11%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x71cd…912dbacked Yes35c163$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.0513232.6%43 W · 89 L+12.1wins+0.09per pick23cpaid+172.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x538a…bd78backed Yes10c161.03$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.452133.3%7 W · 14 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3432…a977backed Yes72c138.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe227…55d8backed Yes73c136.99$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004045%18 W · 22 L-3.5wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-22.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xae79…0735backed Yes49c127.27$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.36580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.19per pick61cpaid+26.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x74cd…2319backed Yes25c121.85$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.9910717.8%19 W · 88 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick14cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1179…710bbacked Yes74c119.72$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$891172.7%8 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick64cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x79f0…6c05backed Yes42c109.86$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.3110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5425…9fd6backed Yes23c109.57$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5327…3b80backed Yes23c108.65$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.996527.7%18 W · 47 L-8.3wins-0.13per pick41cpaid-32.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x039a…e3a0backed Yes24c104.17$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25540%2 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick22cpaid+50%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x66e7…e316backed Yes53c101$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.032951.7%15 W · 14 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x51b1…bce2backed Yes62c100.03$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.785518.2%10 W · 45 L-10.3wins-0.19per pick37cpaid-46.3%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x028f…c9cbbacked Yes73c100$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$732040%8 W · 12 L-2.2wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-21.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf22a…1697backed No26c99.98$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.963946.2%18 W · 21 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5036…416bbacked No26c99.98$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.994050%20 W · 20 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+13.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9895…469ebacked Yes72c98$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f7f…d498backed Yes19c96.75$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.381435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ab…1177backed Yes73c95.89$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e55…e60cbacked Yes28c94.98$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1928…acc4backed Yes54c92.59$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-32.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6776…8ca2backed Yes69c86.79$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick55cpaid+1.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed No26c73.99$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.7534449.7%171 W · 173 L-15.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x66b7…176cbacked Yes31c70$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.9333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa64a…21dabacked Yes22c68.18$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152722.2%6 W · 21 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick15cpaid+74.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a06…d20ebacked Yes74c67.57$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503145.2%14 W · 17 L-3.2wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-20.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x10db…5365backed Yes74c67.57$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x02aa…40c0backed Yes74c67.57$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc2e…2f8fbacked Yes37c67.39$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.8910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb71a…a01bbacked Yes73c61.96$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.23333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked Yes35c58.29$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.5330754.1%166 W · 141 L+11.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed No79c56.63$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.0525450%127 W · 127 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x818f…638bbacked Yes18c56$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x75ab…8c6abacked Yes73c55.62$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.6560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+26.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9be7…d10fbacked Yes49c54.38$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.6610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a5b…0749backed Yes75c53.33$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+25.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1306…c689backed Yes58c51.72$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306254.8%34 W · 28 L+4.1wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc84a…9099backed Yes52c51.36$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.591668.8%11 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick70cpaid-3.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed No47c51$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.0317348%83 W · 90 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-1.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7221…df5ebacked Yes75c50$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.5633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-53.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3bb8…7471backed No36c49.89$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.049341.9%39 W · 54 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x08d0…04f4backed Yes49c49.77$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.3210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8329…0accbacked Yes42c48.94$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.5510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c5f…8742backed Yes72c48.61$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c14…2401backed Yes66c46.19$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.6710%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb2d…47e4backed No26c46.15$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.15425%1 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick15cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xec92…98f5backed Yes71c46$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.666060%36 W · 24 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick63cpaid+0.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd09d…ad9bbacked Yes48c44.11$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.9710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3f0…64eabacked Yes74c41.89$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-16%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x99b7…d911backed Yes66c41.1$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.2410%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x272e…811cbacked Yes50c40.43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.2210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.