Champions League · resolved market
Will Feyenoord beat Bayern Munich?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x31a3a83d9a9429d9f649569d294494107e24df45b68aab08134092b10c29a7d5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $57,875
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $74,184
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,875 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4a64…4430backed No | 40c | 13,338$5,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,342.33 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +12.7wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 25c | 5,000$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,750 | 210 | 37.1%78 W · 132 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc3…fce2backed No | 31c | 4,367$1,349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,348.72 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 79c | 4,272$3,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$897.19 | 254 | 50%127 W · 127 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 57c | 4,259$2,412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,847.5 | 368 | 51.1%188 W · 180 L | +15.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…ed9dbacked No | 51c | 3,077$1,561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,561 | 109 | 31.2%34 W · 75 L | -9.7wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 11c | 3,050$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,714.5 | 402 | 22.9%92 W · 310 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc745…9499backed Yes | 30c | 1,692$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,191.8 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +64.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa645…0be6backed Yes | 30c | 1,632$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,137.96 | 60 | 28.3%17 W · 43 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9544…f3fbbacked Yes | 69c | 1,160$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.61 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x30b9…9b83backed Yes | 67c | 1,106$741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.19 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 52cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5f…bf45backed Yes | 29c | 862.07$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.07 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 52c | 794.8$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.89 | 307 | 54.1%166 W · 141 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67b8…c769backed Yes | 75c | 792.05$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.75 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0113…6f26backed Yes | 54c | 748.52$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.32 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8803…eb1dbacked No | 48c | 733.61$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.07 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +61.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 50c | 387.63$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.05 | 174 | 66.1%115 W · 59 L | +11.8wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed No | 41c | 258.63$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.04 | 127 | 37%47 W · 80 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed No | 47c | 250.73$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.48 | 164 | 47.6%78 W · 86 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Yes | 11c | 245.66$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.8 | 168 | 36.3%61 W · 107 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe06c…62aebacked Yes | 66c | 238.18$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.39 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ad…68aabacked No | 65c | 218.3$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked No | 40c | 206.5$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.6 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…4bccbacked Yes | 56c | 200$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89 | 106 | 31.1%33 W · 73 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f03…9897backed No | 75c | 145$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe695…7493backed Yes | 25c | 137$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.75 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bb8…7471backed Yes | 27c | 129$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.17 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Yes | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3bb…ad38backed Yes | 55c | 113.8$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.21 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd754…6747backed Yes | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb018…8f4bbacked Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6909…36b5backed Yes | 55c | 97.18$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.88 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86ab…5fb4backed Yes | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x746f…2014backed Yes | 58c | 73.43$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92a0…4831backed No | 60c | 67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.12 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5036…416bbacked Yes | 79c | 60$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5db…3c45backed Yes | 20c | 60$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.80per pick | 20cpaid | +400%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1949…5867backed Yes | 58c | 57.43$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.12 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07d1…05a0backed Yes | 67c | 41.79$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.79 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed No | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 206 | 67.5%139 W · 67 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac8…77cdbacked No | 40c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc84a…9099backed Yes | 76c | 34.65$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.31 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87e9…67c6backed Yes | 70c | 32.14$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.64 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe815…93f4backed Yes | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +60.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Feyenoord beat Bayern Munich?this page
- Will Bayern Munich beat Feyenoord?No won
- Will the match between Feyenoord Rotterdam and Bayern Munich end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.