Premier League · resolved market
Will Manchester United win on 2024-12-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x57a5b7d586a687620a84a46d10d127625915ee6b19f228b6d7ed30b340ea35d5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $82,031
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $84,153
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $82,031 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 470 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x37e0…024ebacked Yes | 52c | 11,900$6,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,188 | 189 | 50.3%95 W · 94 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac5…6a3dbacked No | 48c | 7,565$3,631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,933.92 | 227 | 44.5%101 W · 126 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf719…987abacked Yes | 26c | 4,614$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.65 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed No | 48c | 4,134$1,989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,144.84 | 146 | 59.6%87 W · 59 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 70c | 3,889$2,716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,173.05 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 73c | 3,767$2,768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$998.56 | 342 | 51.8%177 W · 165 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5e…5d34backed No | 76c | 2,475$1,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605.32 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed No | 71c | 2,196$1,569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.06 | 376 | 52.4%197 W · 179 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8a67…dc7cbacked Yes | 51c | 2,018$1,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,029.17 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed No | 50c | 2,010$1,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,005 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f7…039abacked No | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbac1…ce0ebacked Yes | 43c | 1,831$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790 | 113 | 42.5%48 W · 65 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked No | 45c | 1,337$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735.44 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed Yes | 2c | 1,250$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 5c | 1,179$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 422 | 40.3%170 W · 252 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc66d…644cbacked Yes | 52c | 1,004$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed No | 75c | 1,004$753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.95 | 283 | 55.5%157 W · 126 L | +17.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2453…28e2backed Yes | 55c | 1,002$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.4 | 256 | 37.9%97 W · 159 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed No | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 346 | 43.9%152 W · 194 L | -14.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e30…ef89backed Yes | 54c | 999.98$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.99 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Yes | 52c | 923.08$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 395 | 61.3%242 W · 153 L | -21.3wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6afa…8f06backed No | 45c | 901.99$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 46c | 827.45$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.12 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 21c | 826.91$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.36 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes | 24c | 823.65$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.68 | 406 | 40.9%166 W · 240 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…ae05backed Yes | 55c | 709.09$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x739d…cf47backed Yes | 15c | 692.31$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bb…9702backed Yes | 29c | 689.66$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 68 | 38.2%26 W · 42 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa645…0be6backed Yes | 30c | 666.5$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.95 | 72 | 30.6%22 W · 50 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe36e…ad3abacked Yes | 5c | 625.1$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.85 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked No | 58c | 621.73$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262 | 697 | 72.6%506 W · 191 L | +83.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb8…43f6backed Yes | 42c | 600$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5f…2184backed Yes | 53c | 599.98$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.99 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…269bbacked Yes | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…d9f9backed No | 46c | 567.11$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.93 | 79 | 67.1%53 W · 26 L | +7.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b5c…f96fbacked No | 46c | 549.98$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.99 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x420b…c128backed Yes | 42c | 536.91$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 49 | 26.5%13 W · 36 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7a…f6dbbacked Yes | 28c | 529.44$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1afb…e0c0backed No | 46c | 512.48$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.74 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 25c | 500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 449 | 39.6%178 W · 271 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed Yes | 50c | 454.96$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.7 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb3e…e974backed Yes | 55c | 427.85$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed No | 46c | 424.49$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.38 | 466 | 60.5%282 W · 184 L | +30.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa1…637bbacked No | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee9d…63e1backed No | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4c5…c8c1backed Yes | 40c | 411$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.61 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8766…c8f5backed Yes | 55c | 398.98$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f7f…d498backed Yes | 25c | 395.52$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.88 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa7dc…9908backed Yes | 37c | 362.82$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.11 | 89 | 37.1%33 W · 56 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dbc…bb1abacked Yes | 54c | 326.97$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.56 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -3.5wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd7c1…ecadbacked No | 46c | 314.26$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4707…7e5bbacked Yes | 54c | 278.13$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21d6…86fdbacked Yes | 55c | 272.73$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6afa…7953backed Yes | 55c | 272.73$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…ab9fbacked Yes | 23c | 270$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 119 | 15.1%18 W · 101 L | -10.4wins | -0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Yes | 27c | 258.19$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.71 | 240 | 62.5%150 W · 90 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Yes | 51c | 227.52$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.04 | 99 | 17.2%17 W · 82 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb37c…ed29backed Yes | 55c | 225$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed Yes | 52c | 221.98$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.43 | 171 | 43.3%74 W · 97 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93c6…d9dbbacked Yes | 9c | 209.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.9 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe763…3d69backed Yes | 55c | 209.09$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -4.3wins | -0.22per pick | 54cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf44d…68acbacked No | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7c…9f1cbacked Yes | 55c | 208.04$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.42 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03e9…9507backed No | 45c | 203.64$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bad…74a7backed No | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Yes | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb4d…2a7cbacked No | 48c | 192.31$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae10…929cbacked Yes | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc54c…7ceabacked Yes | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -3.9wins | -0.18per pick | 57cpaid | -46%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xacb7…ad89backed Yes | 52c | 191.42$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f0…90f4backed Yes | 30c | 190.03$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.01 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0e…4dc6backed No | 48c | 187.5$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.5 | 61 | 67.2%41 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…69f1backed Yes | 54c | 185$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 204 | 47.1%96 W · 108 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x964b…167abacked Yes | 55c | 183.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb44a…8e18backed Yes | 55c | 182.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8744…8f31backed Yes | 25c | 180$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa9f…17c7backed No | 46c | 162.11$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes | 52c | 160.01$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.21 | 296 | 43.6%129 W · 167 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5594…c0b2backed Yes | 52c | 148.77$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.85 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a09…4a9ebacked Yes | 25c | 141.64$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.41 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…e041backed Yes | 56c | 140.64$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.76 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -8.9wins | -0.16per pick | 58cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x05a1…a88fbacked Yes | 52c | 140.25$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12e1…51f6backed Yes | 8c | 139.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 95 | 34.7%33 W · 62 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcc…3ca9backed No | 50c | 138.84$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.42 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bb1…8bacbacked Yes | 55c | 137.07$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e2…4459backed Yes | 55c | 125.45$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52c7…d895backed Yes | 57c | 122.63$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.47 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d85…483cbacked No | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa574…4b9ebacked No | 48c | 116.29$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.47 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ca…eb95backed No | 54c | 109.54$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce97…4f56backed No | 49c | 108.82$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked No | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 156 | 36.5%57 W · 99 L | -11.7wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf033…9ea3backed Yes | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60c6…db1bbacked Yes | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd92…9e72backed Yes | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x728f…11ecbacked No | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c60…45b8backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb7c6…bcf8backed Yes | 52c | 99.24$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…66b0backed No | 47c | 98.59$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab3b…a825backed Yes | 54c | 98.15$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 154 | 61%94 W · 60 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Manchester United win on 2024-12-22?this page
- Will Bournemouth win on 2024-12-22?Yes won
- Will Manchester United vs. Bournemouth end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.